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Chrobry Głogów v Unia Skierniewice, Betclic 1. Liga, Sat, 28 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 16. Sat, 28 Nov 2026

Chrobry GłogówHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Unia SkierniewiceAway
WDDLLLeague form, oldest to newestLLWDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Chrobry Głogów have 6 scored home results and Unia Skierniewice 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Chrobry Głogów at home: 0.83 points per match (6 measured matches); Unia Skierniewice away: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Chrobry Głogów scored 0.50 per home match (6 measured matches); Unia Skierniewice scored 1.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.38 per club appearance across 166 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 10 pooled club appearances (40.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 83 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Chrobry Głogów
1.50
Expected goals, Unia Skierniewice
0.93
Most likely score
1-0 (13%)
Three or more goals
44%
Both clubs score
47%
Chrobry Głogów score at least once
78%
Unia Skierniewice score at least once
61%
Season sample
10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Chrobry Głogów win–
Draw–
Unia Skierniewice win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Chrobry Głogów goals, columns are Unia Skierniewice goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%12%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.53 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Chrobry Głogów 10 matches, Unia Skierniewice 10, the league 83, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.575.3%24.7%
2.550.6%49.4%
3.529.4%70.6%
4.512.9%87.1%

First-half goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.576.5%23.5%
1.534.1%65.9%
2.516.5%83.5%
3.53.5%96.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Chrobry Głogów at homeLDLWDL
Unia Skierniewice awayLWLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Chrobry Głogów at home, Unia Skierniewice away
  • 46%
    Both teams scored
    League 55%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 51%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 33%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 29%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 2.2
    Avg total goals
    League 2.76
    6 + 4 matches
  • 79%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 8%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    6 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Chrobry Głogów at home, Unia Skierniewice away
Chrobry Głogów (home)Unia Skierniewice (away)
10Position14
DLWDLLast 5, oldest to newestLWLD
6Played4
0.83Points per match1.00
17%Win %25%
0.50Scored / match1.00
1.17Conceded / match1.75
1.67Avg total goals2.75
17%Both scored75%
33%Clean sheets25%
67%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Chrobry GłogówUnia Skierniewice
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.831st half conceded / match0.25
  • 0.172nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match1.50
  • 33%Leading at half-time50%
  • 83%1st half over 0.575%
  • 17%1st half over 1.50%
  • 50%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 17%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Chrobry Głogów at home, Unia Skierniewice away, this season.

Goals

Chrobry GłogówUnia Skierniewice
  • 0.50Scored / match1.00
  • 1.17Conceded / match1.75
  • 1.67Match total / match2.75
  • 33%Scored 1+100%
  • 17%Scored 2+0%
  • 67%Conceded 1+75%
  • 17%Conceded 2+50%
  • 50%Match over 1.575%
  • 17%Match over 2.550%
  • 17%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Betclic 1. Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.