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Cobresal v Audax Italiano, Liga de Primera, Sun, 22 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 28. Sun, 22 Nov 2026

CobresalHome
vKick-off 21:00 UTC
Audax ItalianoAway
DWLWDLeague form, oldest to newestDDLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Cobresal have 12 scored home results and Audax Italiano 11 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Cobresal at home: 1.58 points per match (12 measured matches); Audax Italiano away: 0.82 points per match (11 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Cobresal scored 1.58 per home match (12 measured matches); Audax Italiano scored 0.64 away (11). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.40 per club appearance across 360 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 23 pooled club appearances (39.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Cobresal: 0 wins; Audax Italiano: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 180 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Cobresal
1.47
Expected goals, Audax Italiano
1.30
Most likely score
1-1 (12%)
Three or more goals
52%
Both clubs score
56%
Cobresal score at least once
77%
Audax Italiano score at least once
73%
Season sample
24 and 23 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Cobresal win–
Draw–
Audax Italiano win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Cobresal goals, columns are Audax Italiano goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
06%8%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
19%12%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%9%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%4%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.60 goals) and away average (1.20 goals).

Sample. Cobresal 24 matches, Audax Italiano 23, the league 180, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 180 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.571.4%28.6%
2.553.8%46.2%
3.530.8%69.2%
4.517.0%83.0%

First-half goals · 180 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.571.4%28.6%
1.536.3%63.7%
2.514.3%85.7%
3.53.3%96.7%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Cobresal wins
1
Draws
1
Audax Italiano wins
Goals / meeting
2.50
5 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Cobresal clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Audax Italiano clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Audax Italiano v CobresalSat, 23 May 2026 · Liga de Primera 20262–1HT 1–1
  2. Cobresal v Audax ItalianoWed, 4 Mar 2026 · CONMEBOL Sudamericana 20261–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Cobresal at homeDWLWWD
Audax Italiano awayWWDLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Cobresal at home, Audax Italiano away
  • 39%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    12 + 11 matches
  • 91%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    12 + 11 matches
  • 61%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 72%
    12 + 11 matches
  • 44%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    12 + 11 matches
  • 30%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 31%
    12 + 11 matches
  • 26%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 17%
    12 + 11 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.80
    12 + 11 matches
  • 83%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 72%
    12 + 11 matches
  • 26%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 36%
    12 + 11 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Cobresal at home, Audax Italiano away
Cobresal (home)Audax Italiano (away)
14Position10
WLWWDLast 5, oldest to newestDWDLW
12Played11
1.58Points per match0.82
50%Win %18%
1.58Scored / match0.64
1.42Conceded / match1.64
3.00Avg total goals2.27
42%Both scored36%
33%Clean sheets36%
25%Failed to score46%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

CobresalAudax Italiano
  • 0.581st half scored / match0.55
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.64
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.09
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 42%Leading at half-time36%
  • 83%1st half over 0.582%
  • 25%1st half over 1.527%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.555%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.527%
  • 42%Scored in both halves9%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Cobresal at home, Audax Italiano away, this season.

Goals

CobresalAudax Italiano
  • 1.58Scored / match0.64
  • 1.42Conceded / match1.64
  • 3.00Match total / match2.27
  • 75%Scored 1+55%
  • 50%Scored 2+9%
  • 67%Conceded 1+64%
  • 42%Conceded 2+46%
  • 67%Match over 1.555%
  • 42%Match over 2.546%
  • 42%Match over 3.518%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga de Primera matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.