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CPD Porthmadog v Brickfield Rangers, Cymru North, Sat, 24 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 12. Sat, 24 Oct 2026

CPD PorthmadogHome
vKick-off 13:30 UTC
Brickfield RangersAway
LWWWWLeague form, oldest to newestWWWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, CPD Porthmadog have 5 scored home results and Brickfield Rangers 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: CPD Porthmadog at home: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches); Brickfield Rangers away: 2.40 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. CPD Porthmadog scored 1.40 per home match (5 measured matches); Brickfield Rangers scored 2.60 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.67 per club appearance across 172 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 10 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 86 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, CPD Porthmadog
0.91
Expected goals, Brickfield Rangers
1.39
Most likely score
0-1 (14%)
Three or more goals
40%
Both clubs score
45%
CPD Porthmadog score at least once
60%
Brickfield Rangers score at least once
75%
Season sample
11 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

CPD Porthmadog win–
Draw–
Brickfield Rangers win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are CPD Porthmadog goals, columns are Brickfield Rangers goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%14%10%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%
19%13%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
24%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.70 goals) and away average (1.64 goals).

Sample. CPD Porthmadog 11 matches, Brickfield Rangers 11, the league 86, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 86 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.8%18.2%
2.562.5%37.5%
3.546.6%53.4%
4.526.1%73.9%

First-half goals · 86 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.569.3%30.7%
1.537.5%62.5%
2.514.8%85.2%
3.58.0%92.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
CPD Porthmadog at homeWLLWW
Brickfield Rangers awayWWLWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
CPD Porthmadog at home, Brickfield Rangers away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 56%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 80%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 83%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 63%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 47%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 20%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 26%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 3.34
    5 + 5 matches
  • 60%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 70%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 10%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 37%
    5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
CPD Porthmadog at home, Brickfield Rangers away
CPD Porthmadog (home)Brickfield Rangers (away)
3Position1
WLLWWLast 5, oldest to newestWWLWW
5Played5
1.80Points per match2.40
60%Win %80%
1.40Scored / match2.60
1.00Conceded / match1.00
2.40Avg total goals3.60
40%Both scored60%
60%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

CPD PorthmadogBrickfield Rangers
  • 0.401st half scored / match0.40
  • 0.401st half conceded / match0.20
  • 1.002nd half scored / match2.20
  • 0.602nd half conceded / match0.80
  • 40%Leading at half-time20%
  • 80%1st half over 0.540%
  • 0%1st half over 1.520%
  • 80%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.5100%
  • 20%Scored in both halves40%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

CPD Porthmadog at home, Brickfield Rangers away, this season.

Goals

CPD PorthmadogBrickfield Rangers
  • 1.40Scored / match2.60
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.00
  • 2.40Match total / match3.60
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 20%Scored 2+80%
  • 40%Conceded 1+60%
  • 40%Conceded 2+40%
  • 60%Match over 1.5100%
  • 60%Match over 2.580%
  • 20%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers111627
2Newtown AFC101523
3CPD Porthmadog11723
4Mold Alex FC111421
5Bala Town11219
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Cymru North matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.