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Cremonese v Vicenza, Serie B, Sat, 16 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 21. Sat, 16 Jan 2027

CremoneseHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
VicenzaAway
LWDDDLeague form, oldest to newestLDDLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stadio Giovanni Zini. Photo: Vale93b, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Cremonese have 3 scored home results and Vicenza 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Cremonese at home: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Vicenza away: 0.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Cremonese scored 1.00 per home match (3 measured matches); Vicenza scored 1.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 6 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Cremonese: 1 wins; Vicenza: 2 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Cremonese at home and Vicenza away.

Cremonese at home

xG 1.28
  • Shots per match9.7
  • On target per match4.3
  • Goals per match1.0

Vicenza away

xG 1.18
  • Shots per match13.0
  • On target per match3.3
  • Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Cremonese
1.46
Expected goals, Vicenza
0.97
Most likely score
1-0 (13%)
Three or more goals
44%
Both clubs score
48%
Cremonese score at least once
77%
Vicenza score at least once
62%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Cremonese win–
Draw–
Vicenza win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Cremonese goals, columns are Vicenza goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%12%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
29%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.40 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Cremonese 6 matches, Vicenza 6, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.6%25.4%
2.552.5%47.5%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.513.6%86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.561.0%39.0%
1.523.7%76.3%
2.510.2%89.8%
3.53.4%96.6%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.557.7%42.3%
9.544.2%55.8%
10.534.6%65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.2%3.8%
1.592.3%7.7%
2.580.8%19.2%
3.565.4%34.6%
4.542.3%57.7%
5.519.2%80.8%
6.515.4%84.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Cremonese wins
1
Draws
2
Vicenza wins
Goals / meeting
1.50
6 goals in 4 meetings
Both scored
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Over 1.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Over 2.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Over 3.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Cremonese clean sheets
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Vicenza clean sheets
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Corners / meeting
8.25
4 with corner data
Cards / meeting
6.00
4 with card data
  1. Cremonese v VicenzaTue, 22 Feb 2022 · Serie B 2021-220–0HT 0–0
  2. Vicenza v CremoneseSun, 26 Sept 2021 · Serie B 2021-220–1HT 0–1
  3. Vicenza v CremoneseTue, 2 Mar 2021 · Serie B 2020-213–1HT 2–0
  4. Cremonese v VicenzaSat, 7 Nov 2020 · Serie B 2020-210–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Cremonese at homeWLWLWD
Vicenza awayLWWLDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Cremonese at home, Vicenza away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.63
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 61%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 23%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 7.8
    Corners per match
    League 9.78
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 58%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 44%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 34%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 3.7
    Cards per match
    League 4.20
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 66%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 42%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Cremonese at home, Vicenza away
Cremonese (home)Vicenza (away)
14Position17
LWDLast 5, oldest to newestLDL
3Played3
1.33Points per match0.33
33%Win %0%
1.00Scored / match1.00
1.33Conceded / match2.33
2.33Avg total goals3.33
33%Both scored67%
33%Clean sheets0%
67%Failed to score33%
1.28xG for1.18
1.00xG against1.11

Half by half

CremoneseVicenza
  • 0.671st half scored / match0.33
  • 1.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.332nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match1.33
  • 33%Leading at half-time0%
  • 67%1st half over 0.567%
  • 67%1st half over 1.567%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.567%
  • 33%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Cremonese at home, Vicenza away, this season.

Goals

CremoneseVicenza
  • 1.00Scored / match1.00
  • 1.33Conceded / match2.33
  • 2.33Match total / match3.33
  • 33%Scored 1+67%
  • 33%Scored 2+33%
  • 67%Conceded 1+100%
  • 33%Conceded 2+100%
  • 67%Match over 1.5100%
  • 67%Match over 2.5100%
  • 33%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

CremoneseVicenza
  • 9.67Shots for13.00
  • 13.00Shots against13.33
  • 4.33On target for3.33
  • 4.67On target against6.33
  • 10%Shot conversion8%
  • 1.28xG for1.18
  • 1.00xG against1.11

Corners

CremoneseVicenza
  • 4.00Corners for5.33
  • 3.33Corners against3.00
  • 7.33Match total8.33
  • 67%Over 7.5100%
  • 33%Over 8.533%
  • 33%Over 9.50%
  • 0%Over 10.50%
  • 0%Over 11.50%

Cards

CremoneseVicenza
  • 1.00Cards for2.33
  • 0.33Cards against3.67
  • 1.33Match total6.00
  • 33%Over 2.5100%
  • 0%Over 3.5100%
  • 0%Over 4.5100%
  • 0%Over 5.567%
  • 10.00Fouls committed14.67

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
12Arezzo6-77
13Virtus Entella616
14Cremonese6-26
15Juve Stabia6-36
16Empoli6-46
17Vicenza6-65
18Sampdoria6-74
19Catanzaro5-43
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie B matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.