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Derby v Hull, EFL Championship, Tue, 4 Nov 2025: statistics and head to head

2025-26. Tue, 4 Nov 2025

DerbyHome
21Full time, half-time 1–0
HullAway

Derby won by 1 goal.

LWLWLLeague form, oldest to newestLDDLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Pride Park Stadium. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Derby have 7 scored home results and Hull 6 scored away results stored in 2025-26. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Derby at home: 1.29 points per match (7 measured matches); Hull away: 1.33 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Derby scored 1.14 per home match (7 measured matches); Hull scored 1.67 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.25 per club appearance across 310 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 8 of 13 pooled club appearances (61.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Derby: 7 wins; Hull: 1 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10
Second half11

The match in numbers

DerbyHull
  • 9Shots8
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 6Corners5
  • 13Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Derby

  • Shots9
  • On target3
  • Goals2

33% of shots on target, 67% of those scored.

Hull

  • Shots8
  • On target2
  • Goals1

25% of shots on target, 50% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

7
Derby wins
2
Draws
1
Hull wins
Goals / meeting
2.10
21 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Derby clean sheets
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Hull clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.80
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.50
10 with card data
  1. Hull v DerbySat, 26 Apr 2025 · EFL Championship 2024-250–1HT 0–0
  2. Derby v HullSat, 26 Oct 2024 · EFL Championship 2024-251–1HT 0–0
  3. Derby v HullTue, 8 Feb 2022 · EFL Championship 2021-223–1HT 2–0
  4. Hull v DerbyWed, 18 Aug 2021 · EFL Championship 2021-220–1HT 0–0
  5. Derby v HullSat, 18 Jan 2020 · EFL Championship 2019-201–0HT 0–0
  6. Hull v DerbySat, 26 Oct 2019 · EFL Championship 2019-202–0HT 0–0
  7. Derby v HullSat, 9 Feb 2019 · EFL Championship 2018-192–0HT 1–0
  8. Hull v DerbySat, 1 Sept 2018 · EFL Championship 2018-191–2HT 0–1
  9. Hull v DerbyTue, 26 Dec 2017 · EFL Championship 2017-180–0HT 0–0
  10. Derby v HullFri, 8 Sept 2017 · EFL Championship 2017-185–0HT 4–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Derby at home, Hull away
  • 65%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 98%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 76%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 54%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 51%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 24%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 11%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 10%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.61
    23 + 23 matches
  • 78%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 72%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 35%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 35%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 10.9
    Corners per match
    League 10.35
    23 + 23 matches
  • 70%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 68%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 65%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 55%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 48%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 45%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 4.3
    Cards per match
    League 3.81
    23 + 23 matches
  • 59%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 52%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 48%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 33%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2025-26

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2025-26

Derby at home, Hull away
Derby (home)Hull (away)
8Position6
WWWWLLast 5, oldest to newestLDLDL
23Played23
1.57Points per match1.52
43%Win %43%
1.35Scored / match1.52
1.17Conceded / match1.39
2.52Avg total goals2.91
65%Both scored65%
30%Clean sheets26%
4%Failed to score13%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

DerbyHull
  • 0.611st half scored / match0.83
  • 0.611st half conceded / match0.52
  • 0.742nd half scored / match0.70
  • 0.572nd half conceded / match0.87
  • 35%Leading at half-time39%
  • 78%1st half over 0.578%
  • 26%1st half over 1.544%
  • 70%2nd half over 0.587%
  • 39%2nd half over 1.561%
  • 13%Scored in both halves39%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Derby at home, Hull away, this season.

Goals

DerbyHull
  • 1.35Scored / match1.52
  • 1.17Conceded / match1.39
  • 2.52Match total / match2.91
  • 96%Scored 1+87%
  • 30%Scored 2+52%
  • 70%Conceded 1+74%
  • 26%Conceded 2+48%
  • 74%Match over 1.578%
  • 39%Match over 2.570%
  • 17%Match over 3.530%

Shots and xG

DerbyHull
  • 11.91Shots for10.83
  • 11.09Shots against17.30
  • 3.74On target for4.22
  • 3.39On target against5.26
  • 11%Shot conversion14%

Corners

DerbyHull
  • 5.52Corners for4.48
  • 4.39Corners against7.39
  • 9.91Match total11.87
  • 78%Over 7.587%
  • 57%Over 8.583%
  • 48%Over 9.583%
  • 30%Over 10.565%
  • 22%Over 11.561%

Cards

DerbyHull
  • 2.17Cards for2.87
  • 2.00Cards against1.52
  • 4.17Match total4.39
  • 83%Over 2.570%
  • 61%Over 3.557%
  • 44%Over 4.552%
  • 22%Over 5.544%
  • 11.87Fouls committed11.61
Referee this season
S Martin
Matches
24
Cards / match
4.79
24 matches
Over 3.5 cards
75%
24 matches
Over 4.5 cards
50%
24 matches
Fouls / match
22.54
24 matches

The table, 2025-26

#ClubPGDPts
4Southampton462680
5Middlesbrough462580
6Hull46473
7Wrexham46471
8Derby46869
9Norwich46765
10Birmingham46164
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.