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Durban City FC v Polokwane City, South African Premier Division, Fri, 27 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 11. Fri, 27 Nov 2026

Durban City FCHome
vKick-off 17:30 UTC
Polokwane CityAway
DWDLDLeague form, oldest to newestLDDDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Durban City FC have 3 scored home results and Polokwane City 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Durban City FC at home: 1.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Polokwane City away: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Durban City FC scored 0.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Polokwane City scored 1.33 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.14 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 6 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Durban City FC: 0 wins; Polokwane City: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Durban City FC
0.77
Expected goals, Polokwane City
0.66
Most likely score
0-0 (24%)
Three or more goals
17%
Both clubs score
26%
Durban City FC score at least once
54%
Polokwane City score at least once
48%
Season sample
7 and 7 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Durban City FC win–
Draw–
Polokwane City win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Durban City FC goals, columns are Polokwane City goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
024%16%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
118%12%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
32%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.23 goals) and away average (1.05 goals).

Sample. Durban City FC 7 matches, Polokwane City 7, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 18 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.8%32.2%
2.533.9%66.1%
3.523.7%76.3%
4.513.6%86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.555.9%44.1%
1.522.0%78.0%
2.55.1%94.9%
3.53.4%96.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Durban City FC wins
1
Draws
0
Polokwane City wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
2 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Durban City FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Polokwane City clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Durban City FC v Polokwane CityFri, 3 Oct 2025 · South African League Cup 20251–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Durban City FC at homeWWDDDW
Polokwane City awayDWDLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Durban City FC at home, Polokwane City away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 46%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 84%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 68%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 33%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 23%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 1.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.28
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 56%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 21%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Durban City FC at home, Polokwane City away
Durban City FC (home)Polokwane City (away)
10Position11
DDDLast 5, oldest to newestWLD
3Played3
1.00Points per match1.33
0%Win %33%
0.33Scored / match1.33
0.33Conceded / match1.67
0.67Avg total goals3.00
33%Both scored67%
67%Clean sheets0%
67%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Durban City FCPolokwane City
  • 0.001st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.331st half conceded / match1.33
  • 0.332nd half scored / match0.33
  • 0.002nd half conceded / match0.33
  • 0%Leading at half-time33%
  • 33%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.567%
  • 33%2nd half over 0.533%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 0%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Durban City FC at home, Polokwane City away, this season.

Goals

Durban City FCPolokwane City
  • 0.33Scored / match1.33
  • 0.33Conceded / match1.67
  • 0.67Match total / match3.00
  • 33%Scored 1+67%
  • 0%Scored 2+67%
  • 33%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+67%
  • 33%Match over 1.5100%
  • 0%Match over 2.567%
  • 0%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for South African Premier Division matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.