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East Fife v Airdrie Utd, Scottish League One, Sat, 21 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 16. Sat, 21 Nov 2026

East FifeHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Airdrie UtdAway
DDLLDLeague form, oldest to newestLWWWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, East Fife have 5 scored home results and Airdrie Utd 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: East Fife at home: 1.00 points per match (5 measured matches); Airdrie Utd away: 1.00 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. East Fife scored 1.00 per home match (5 measured matches); Airdrie Utd scored 1.00 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.40 per club appearance across 98 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 10 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. East Fife: 1 wins; Airdrie Utd: 7 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, East Fife at home and Airdrie Utd away.

East Fife at home

  • Shots per match9.0
  • On target per match4.8
  • Goals per match1.0

Airdrie Utd away

  • Shots per match7.5
  • On target per match3.3
  • Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 49 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, East Fife
0.86
Expected goals, Airdrie Utd
0.60
Most likely score
0-0 (23%)
Three or more goals
18%
Both clubs score
26%
East Fife score at least once
58%
Airdrie Utd score at least once
45%
Season sample
10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

East Fife win–
Draw–
Airdrie Utd win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are East Fife goals, columns are Airdrie Utd goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
023%14%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
120%12%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
29%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
32%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.61 goals) and away average (1.18 goals).

Sample. East Fife 10 matches, Airdrie Utd 10, the league 49, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 49 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.5%25.5%
2.558.8%41.2%
3.527.5%72.5%
4.515.7%84.3%

First-half goals · 49 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.7%33.3%
1.527.5%72.5%
2.511.8%88.2%
3.55.9%94.1%

Corners · 44 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.565.2%34.8%
9.543.5%56.5%
10.532.6%67.4%

Yellow + red card events · 44 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.5%6.5%
1.589.1%10.9%
2.580.4%19.6%
3.576.1%23.9%
4.558.7%41.3%
5.534.8%65.2%
6.521.7%78.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
East Fife wins
2
Draws
7
Airdrie Utd wins
Goals / meeting
2.20
22 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
East Fife clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Airdrie Utd clean sheets
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.50
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.00
10 with card data
  1. Airdrie Utd v East FifeSat, 29 Aug 2026 · Scottish League One 2026-270–0HT 0–0
  2. East Fife v Airdrie UtdSat, 2 Apr 2022 · Scottish League One 2021-220–2HT 0–1
  3. Airdrie Utd v East FifeSat, 8 Jan 2022 · Scottish League One 2021-223–0HT 3–0
  4. East Fife v Airdrie UtdSat, 13 Nov 2021 · Scottish League One 2021-220–1HT 0–1
  5. Airdrie Utd v East FifeSat, 18 Sept 2021 · Scottish League One 2021-223–0HT 1–0
  6. Airdrie Utd v East FifeTue, 20 Apr 2021 · Scottish League One 2020-212–0HT 0–0
  7. East Fife v Airdrie UtdSat, 5 Dec 2020 · Scottish League One 2020-212–0HT 1–0
  8. Airdrie Utd v East FifeSat, 7 Mar 2020 · Scottish League One 2019-201–0HT 1–0
  9. East Fife v Airdrie UtdSat, 11 Jan 2020 · Scottish League One 2019-202–2HT 1–2
  10. Airdrie Utd v East FifeSat, 30 Nov 2019 · Scottish League One 2019-204–0HT 3–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
East Fife at homeLDWLLL
Airdrie Utd awayWLLWWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
East Fife at home, Airdrie Utd away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 45%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 80%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 92%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 80%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 59%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 27%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.80
    5 + 5 matches
  • 60%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 10%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 27%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 9.6
    Corners per match
    League 9.09
    5 + 4 matches
  • 70%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 66%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 35%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 43%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 35%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 32%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 4.9
    Cards per match
    League 4.68
    5 + 4 matches
  • 80%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 77%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 70%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 59%
    5 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
East Fife at home, Airdrie Utd away
East Fife (home)Airdrie Utd (away)
7Position5
WDDLLLast 5, oldest to newestDLLWD
5Played5
1.00Points per match1.00
20%Win %20%
1.00Scored / match1.00
1.40Conceded / match1.80
2.40Avg total goals2.80
40%Both scored60%
40%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score40%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

East FifeAirdrie Utd
  • 0.001st half scored / match0.60
  • 0.401st half conceded / match0.60
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.40
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match1.20
  • 0%Leading at half-time40%
  • 40%1st half over 0.580%
  • 0%1st half over 1.520%
  • 80%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 80%2nd half over 1.560%
  • 0%Scored in both halves40%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

East Fife at home, Airdrie Utd away, this season.

Goals

East FifeAirdrie Utd
  • 1.00Scored / match1.00
  • 1.40Conceded / match1.80
  • 2.40Match total / match2.80
  • 60%Scored 1+60%
  • 40%Scored 2+40%
  • 60%Conceded 1+80%
  • 60%Conceded 2+60%
  • 80%Match over 1.580%
  • 60%Match over 2.580%
  • 20%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

East FifeAirdrie Utd
  • 9.00Shots for7.50
  • 10.20Shots against10.50
  • 4.80On target for3.25
  • 5.00On target against4.75
  • 11%Shot conversion10%

Corners

East FifeAirdrie Utd
  • 2.60Corners for5.00
  • 5.00Corners against6.50
  • 7.60Match total11.50
  • 40%Over 7.5100%
  • 40%Over 8.5100%
  • 20%Over 9.550%
  • 20%Over 10.550%
  • 20%Over 11.550%

Cards

East FifeAirdrie Utd
  • 2.20Cards for3.75
  • 1.40Cards against2.50
  • 3.60Match total6.25
  • 60%Over 2.5100%
  • 60%Over 3.5100%
  • 40%Over 4.5100%
  • 20%Over 5.550%
  • 12.20Fouls committed13.75

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
3East Kilbride10517
4Montrose10-615
5Airdrie Utd10-413
6Queen of Sth10-1610
7East Fife10-39
8Alloa10-49
9Peterhead10-107
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Scottish League One matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.