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MatchDaySync

Elche v Ath Madrid, La Liga, Sun, 29 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 14. Sun, 29 Nov 2026

ElcheHome
vKick-off 19:00 UTC
Ath MadridAway
LLDLWLeague form, oldest to newestLWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Elche have 3 scored home results and Ath Madrid 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Elche at home: 0.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Ath Madrid away: 2.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Elche scored 1.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Ath Madrid scored 2.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.50 per club appearance across 146 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 7 pooled club appearances (57.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 8. Elche: 2 wins; Ath Madrid: 5 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Elche at home and Ath Madrid away.

Elche at home

xG 1.32
  • Shots per match12.7
  • On target per match5.0
  • Goals per match1.3

Ath Madrid away

xG 1.34
  • Shots per match13.3
  • On target per match5.0
  • Goals per match2.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 73 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Elche
1.19
Expected goals, Ath Madrid
3.16
Most likely score
1-3 (8%)
Three or more goals
81%
Both clubs score
66%
Elche score at least once
69%
Ath Madrid score at least once
96%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Elche win–
Draw–
Ath Madrid win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Elche goals, columns are Ath Madrid goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
01%4%7%7%5%3%2%1%
12%5%8%8%6%4%2%1%
21%3%5%5%4%2%1%1%
3under 1%1%2%2%2%1%1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.70 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. Elche 7 matches, Ath Madrid 8, the league 73, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 73 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.576.0%24.0%
2.556.0%44.0%
3.537.3%62.7%
4.522.7%77.3%

First-half goals · 73 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.7%33.3%
1.546.7%53.3%
2.517.3%82.7%
3.56.7%93.3%

Corners · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.550.7%49.3%
9.549.3%50.7%
10.539.4%60.6%

Yellow + red card events · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.595.8%4.2%
1.587.3%12.7%
2.576.1%23.9%
3.562.0%38.0%
4.547.9%52.1%
5.533.8%66.2%
6.514.1%85.9%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

8 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
Elche wins
1
Draws
5
Ath Madrid wins
Goals / meeting
2.25
18 goals in 8 meetings
Both scored
38%
3 of 8 meetings
Over 1.5
63%
5 of 8 meetings
Over 2.5
25%
2 of 8 meetings
Over 3.5
25%
2 of 8 meetings
Elche clean sheets
13%
1 of 8 meetings
Ath Madrid clean sheets
50%
4 of 8 meetings
Corners / meeting
8.50
8 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.63
8 with card data
  1. Elche v Ath MadridWed, 22 Apr 2026 · La Liga 2025-263–2HT 2–2
  2. Ath Madrid v ElcheSat, 23 Aug 2025 · La Liga 2025-261–1HT 1–1
  3. Elche v Ath MadridSun, 14 May 2023 · La Liga 2022-231–0HT 1–0
  4. Ath Madrid v ElcheThu, 29 Dec 2022 · La Liga 2022-232–0HT 0–0
  5. Elche v Ath MadridWed, 11 May 2022 · La Liga 2021-220–2HT 0–1
  6. Ath Madrid v ElcheSun, 22 Aug 2021 · La Liga 2021-221–0HT 1–0
  7. Elche v Ath MadridSat, 1 May 2021 · La Liga 2020-210–1HT 0–1
  8. Ath Madrid v ElcheSat, 19 Dec 2020 · La Liga 2020-213–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Elche at homeDWLLLL
Ath Madrid awayLLWLWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Elche at home, Ath Madrid away
  • 58%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 77%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 56%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 22%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 4.1
    Avg total goals
    League 3.00
    3 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 47%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 8.8
    Corners per match
    League 9.65
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 51%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 49%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 39%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 3.7
    Cards per match
    League 4.29
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 62%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 48%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Elche at home, Ath Madrid away
Elche (home)Ath Madrid (away)
18Position2
LLLLast 5, oldest to newestWLWW
3Played4
0.00Points per match2.25
0%Win %75%
1.33Scored / match2.00
3.67Conceded / match1.25
5.00Avg total goals3.25
67%Both scored50%
0%Clean sheets25%
33%Failed to score25%
1.32xG for1.34
2.86xG against0.86

Half by half

ElcheAth Madrid
  • 0.001st half scored / match1.00
  • 2.001st half conceded / match0.25
  • 1.332nd half scored / match1.00
  • 1.672nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time25%
  • 100%1st half over 0.550%
  • 100%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 100%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Elche at home, Ath Madrid away, this season.

Goals

ElcheAth Madrid
  • 1.33Scored / match2.00
  • 3.67Conceded / match1.25
  • 5.00Match total / match3.25
  • 67%Scored 1+75%
  • 67%Scored 2+75%
  • 100%Conceded 1+75%
  • 100%Conceded 2+25%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 100%Match over 2.5100%
  • 100%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

ElcheAth Madrid
  • 12.67Shots for13.33
  • 14.67Shots against13.00
  • 5.00On target for5.00
  • 5.67On target against4.00
  • 11%Shot conversion15%
  • 1.32xG for1.34
  • 2.86xG against0.86

Corners

ElcheAth Madrid
  • 3.67Corners for4.33
  • 4.33Corners against5.33
  • 8.00Match total9.67
  • 33%Over 7.567%
  • 33%Over 8.567%
  • 33%Over 9.567%
  • 33%Over 10.567%
  • 33%Over 11.533%

Cards

ElcheAth Madrid
  • 3.00Cards for1.33
  • 1.33Cards against1.67
  • 4.33Match total3.00
  • 67%Over 2.567%
  • 67%Over 3.567%
  • 67%Over 4.50%
  • 67%Over 5.50%
  • 14.33Fouls committed10.33

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Barcelona82724
2Ath Madrid81019
3Real Madrid81118
4Betis7216
16Santander7-107
17Levante6-45
18Elche7-65
19Malaga8-94
19Valencia7-94
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for La Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.