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Eupen v Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring, Challenger Pro League, Sat, 13 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 20. Sat, 13 Feb 2027

EupenHome
vKick-off 18:00 UTC
Koninklijke Lierse SportkringAway
LWWWWLeague form, oldest to newestWDDLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Eupen have 2 scored home results and Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Eupen at home: 3.00 points per match (2 measured matches); Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring away: 0.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Eupen scored 3.50 per home match (2 measured matches); Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring scored 0.67 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.60 per club appearance across 94 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 5 pooled club appearances (80.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 47 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Eupen
2.05
Expected goals, Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring
0.53
Most likely score
2-0 (16%)
Three or more goals
48%
Both clubs score
36%
Eupen score at least once
87%
Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring score at least once
41%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Eupen win–
Draw–
Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Eupen goals, columns are Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
08%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
116%8%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
216%8%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
311%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
46%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
52%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.81 goals) and away average (1.38 goals).

Sample. Eupen 6 matches, Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring 6, the league 47, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 47 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.577.6%22.4%
2.563.3%36.7%
3.534.7%65.3%
4.522.4%77.6%

First-half goals · 47 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.5%24.5%
1.538.8%61.2%
2.516.3%83.7%
3.54.1%95.9%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Eupen at homeWDLWWW
Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring awayLDLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Eupen at home, Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring away
  • 83%
    Both teams scored
    League 53%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 83%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 64%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 67%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 21%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 3.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.19
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 67%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 38%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Eupen at home, Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring away
Eupen (home)Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring (away)
3Position8
WWLast 5, oldest to newestLDL
2Played3
3.00Points per match0.33
100%Win %0%
3.50Scored / match0.67
1.00Conceded / match2.33
4.50Avg total goals3.00
100%Both scored67%
0%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

EupenKoninklijke Lierse Sportkring
  • 1.501st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.501st half conceded / match1.33
  • 2.002nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 50%Leading at half-time0%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 100%1st half over 1.533%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 100%2nd half over 1.567%
  • 100%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Eupen at home, Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring away, this season.

Goals

EupenKoninklijke Lierse Sportkring
  • 3.50Scored / match0.67
  • 1.00Conceded / match2.33
  • 4.50Match total / match3.00
  • 100%Scored 1+67%
  • 100%Scored 2+0%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+67%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 100%Match over 2.567%
  • 100%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Challenger Pro League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.