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FC Rapid Bucuresti v UTA Arad, Liga 1, Sat, 12 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 19. Sat, 12 Dec 2026

vKick-off 14:00 UTC
UTA AradAway
DDWWWLeague form, oldest to newestWWLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, FC Rapid Bucuresti have 8 scored home results and UTA Arad 9 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: FC Rapid Bucuresti at home: 2.13 points per match (8 measured matches); UTA Arad away: 0.67 points per match (9 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. FC Rapid Bucuresti scored 1.75 per home match (8 measured matches); UTA Arad scored 1.11 away (9). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.40 per club appearance across 240 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 11 of 17 pooled club appearances (64.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. FC Rapid Bucuresti: 6 wins; UTA Arad: 0 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 120 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, FC Rapid Bucuresti
2.46
Expected goals, UTA Arad
0.41
Most likely score
2-0 (17%)
Three or more goals
55%
Both clubs score
31%
FC Rapid Bucuresti score at least once
91%
UTA Arad score at least once
33%
Season sample
12 and 14 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

FC Rapid Bucuresti win–
Draw–
UTA Arad win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are FC Rapid Bucuresti goals, columns are UTA Arad goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
06%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
114%6%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
217%7%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
314%6%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
49%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
54%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
62%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
71%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.87 goals) and away average (0.93 goals).

Sample. FC Rapid Bucuresti 12 matches, UTA Arad 14, the league 120, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 12 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 120 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.573.8%26.2%
2.554.9%45.1%
3.539.3%60.7%
4.515.6%84.4%

First-half goals · 84 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.565.1%34.9%
1.532.6%67.4%
2.514.0%86.0%
3.55.8%94.2%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

6
FC Rapid Bucuresti wins
4
Draws
0
UTA Arad wins
Goals / meeting
2.30
23 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
FC Rapid Bucuresti clean sheets
50%
5 of 10 meetings
UTA Arad clean sheets
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. UTA Arad v FC Rapid BucurestiFri, 7 Aug 2026 · Liga 1 2026-270–0HT 0–0
  2. UTA Arad v FC Rapid BucurestiMon, 26 Jan 2026 · Liga 1 2025-261–2
  3. FC Rapid Bucuresti v UTA AradFri, 29 Aug 2025 · Liga 1 2025-262–0
  4. FC Rapid Bucuresti v UTA AradSat, 9 Nov 2024 · Liga 1 2024-252–0
  5. UTA Arad v FC Rapid BucurestiSat, 13 Jul 2024 · Liga 1 2024-251–1
  6. FC Rapid Bucuresti v UTA AradWed, 28 Feb 2024 · Liga 1 2023-244–1
  7. UTA Arad v FC Rapid BucurestiFri, 20 Oct 2023 · Liga 1 2023-242–2
  8. UTA Arad v FC Rapid BucurestiSun, 18 Dec 2022 · Liga 1 2022-231–1
  9. FC Rapid Bucuresti v UTA AradSat, 20 Aug 2022 · Liga 1 2022-231–0
  10. UTA Arad v FC Rapid BucurestiSat, 9 Apr 2022 · Liga 1 2021-220–2

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

FC Rapid Bucuresti at home, UTA Arad away
  • 65%
    Both teams scored
    League 49%
    8 + 9 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    8 + 9 matches
  • 82%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 74%
    8 + 9 matches
  • 64%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 55%
    8 + 9 matches
  • 47%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 39%
    8 + 9 matches
  • 6%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 15%
    8 + 9 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.79
    8 + 9 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 65%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 32%
    6 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

FC Rapid Bucuresti at home, UTA Arad away
FC Rapid Bucuresti (home)UTA Arad (away)
2Position12
LDDWWLast 5, oldest to newestLWWLL
8Played9
2.13Points per match0.67
63%Win %22%
1.75Scored / match1.11
0.88Conceded / match2.33
2.63Avg total goals3.44
75%Both scored56%
13%Clean sheets0%
13%Failed to score44%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FC Rapid BucurestiUTA Arad
  • 0.671st half scored / match0.33
  • 0.331st half conceded / match1.00
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match1.33
  • 33%Leading at half-time17%
  • 67%1st half over 0.567%
  • 17%1st half over 1.533%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.567%
  • 17%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

FC Rapid Bucuresti at home, UTA Arad away, this season.

Goals

FC Rapid BucurestiUTA Arad
  • 1.75Scored / match1.11
  • 0.88Conceded / match2.33
  • 2.63Match total / match3.44
  • 88%Scored 1+56%
  • 50%Scored 2+33%
  • 88%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+67%
  • 75%Match over 1.589%
  • 50%Match over 2.578%
  • 38%Match over 3.556%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga 1 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.