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FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo v FC Iberia 1999, Erovnuli Liga, Sat, 21 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 33. Sat, 21 Nov 2026

FC Samgurali TskhaltuboHome
vKick-off 10:30 UTC
FC Iberia 1999Away
DLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestWWWLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo have 13 scored home results and FC Iberia 1999 14 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo at home: 1.38 points per match (13 measured matches); FC Iberia 1999 away: 1.50 points per match (14 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo scored 1.38 per home match (13 measured matches); FC Iberia 1999 scored 1.57 away (14). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.33 per club appearance across 274 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 15 of 27 pooled club appearances (55.6%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo: 1 wins; FC Iberia 1999: 2 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 137 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo
1.23
Expected goals, FC Iberia 1999
1.97
Most likely score
1-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
62%
Both clubs score
61%
FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo score at least once
71%
FC Iberia 1999 score at least once
86%
Season sample
27 and 28 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo win–
Draw–
FC Iberia 1999 win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo goals, columns are FC Iberia 1999 goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%8%8%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%
15%10%10%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
23%6%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.39 goals) and away average (1.26 goals).

Sample. FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo 27 matches, FC Iberia 1999 28, the league 137, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 20 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 137 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.572.7%27.3%
2.553.2%46.8%
3.525.9%74.1%
4.514.4%85.6%

First-half goals · 137 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.9%33.1%
1.538.1%61.9%
2.516.5%83.5%
3.55.8%94.2%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo wins
0
Draws
2
FC Iberia 1999 wins
Goals / meeting
3.67
11 goals in 3 meetings
Both scored
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 2.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 3.5
33%
1 of 3 meetings
FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
FC Iberia 1999 clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. FC Iberia 1999 v FC Samgurali TskhaltuboSat, 5 Sept 2026 · Erovnuli Liga 20262–1HT 1–1
  2. FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo v FC Iberia 1999Mon, 25 May 2026 · Erovnuli Liga 20263–2HT 2–0
  3. FC Iberia 1999 v FC Samgurali TskhaltuboTue, 7 Apr 2026 · Erovnuli Liga 20262–1HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
FC Samgurali TskhaltuboWDLLLL
FC Iberia 1999LWWWLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo at home, FC Iberia 1999 away
  • 56%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 96%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 85%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 56%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 30%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 18%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 2.9
    Avg total goals
    League 2.66
    13 + 14 matches
  • 77%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 48%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 38%
    13 + 14 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo at home, FC Iberia 1999 away
FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo (home)FC Iberia 1999 (away)
7Position2
WLDLLLast 5, oldest to newestLLLWW
13Played14
1.38Points per match1.50
38%Win %50%
1.38Scored / match1.57
1.54Conceded / match1.36
2.92Avg total goals2.93
69%Both scored43%
15%Clean sheets29%
23%Failed to score29%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FC Samgurali TskhaltuboFC Iberia 1999
  • 0.541st half scored / match0.86
  • 0.771st half conceded / match0.86
  • 0.852nd half scored / match0.71
  • 0.772nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 23%Leading at half-time43%
  • 69%1st half over 0.586%
  • 39%1st half over 1.557%
  • 85%2nd half over 0.571%
  • 54%2nd half over 1.536%
  • 15%Scored in both halves36%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

FC Samgurali Tskhaltubo at home, FC Iberia 1999 away, this season.

Goals

FC Samgurali TskhaltuboFC Iberia 1999
  • 1.38Scored / match1.57
  • 1.54Conceded / match1.36
  • 2.92Match total / match2.93
  • 77%Scored 1+71%
  • 46%Scored 2+57%
  • 85%Conceded 1+71%
  • 39%Conceded 2+43%
  • 85%Match over 1.586%
  • 62%Match over 2.550%
  • 39%Match over 3.521%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Erovnuli Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.