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FC Viktoria Köln v Rot-Weiss Essen, 3. Liga, Fri, 12 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 23. Fri, 12 Feb 2027

FC Viktoria KölnHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
Rot-Weiss EssenAway
WLWWWLeague form, oldest to newestWWWDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, FC Viktoria Köln have 4 scored home results and Rot-Weiss Essen 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: FC Viktoria Köln at home: 2.25 points per match (4 measured matches); Rot-Weiss Essen away: 1.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. FC Viktoria Köln scored 3.25 per home match (4 measured matches); Rot-Weiss Essen scored 1.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.66 per club appearance across 152 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 8 pooled club appearances (62.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. FC Viktoria Köln: 0 wins; Rot-Weiss Essen: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 76 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, FC Viktoria Köln
2.53
Expected goals, Rot-Weiss Essen
1.49
Most likely score
2-1 (9%)
Three or more goals
76%
Both clubs score
71%
FC Viktoria Köln score at least once
92%
Rot-Weiss Essen score at least once
77%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

FC Viktoria Köln win–
Draw–
Rot-Weiss Essen win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are FC Viktoria Köln goals, columns are Rot-Weiss Essen goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
02%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
15%7%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
26%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%7%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%5%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
52%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.72 goals) and away average (1.61 goals).

Sample. FC Viktoria Köln 7 matches, Rot-Weiss Essen 8, the league 76, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 76 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.579.5%20.5%
2.565.4%34.6%
3.541.0%59.0%
4.528.2%71.8%

First-half goals · 76 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.579.5%20.5%
1.547.4%52.6%
2.523.1%76.9%
3.511.5%88.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
FC Viktoria Köln wins
0
Draws
1
Rot-Weiss Essen wins
Goals / meeting
1.00
1 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
FC Viktoria Köln clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Rot-Weiss Essen clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Viktoria KölnSat, 5 Sept 2026 · 3. Liga 2026-271–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
FC Viktoria Köln at homeLDWWW
Rot-Weiss Essen awayLDWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
FC Viktoria Köln at home, Rot-Weiss Essen away
  • 63%
    Both teams scored
    League 63%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 66%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 41%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 28%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 4.4
    Avg total goals
    League 3.33
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 80%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 47%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
FC Viktoria Köln at home, Rot-Weiss Essen away
FC Viktoria Köln (home)Rot-Weiss Essen (away)
2Position3
LWWWLast 5, oldest to newestLDWD
4Played4
2.25Points per match1.25
75%Win %25%
3.25Scored / match1.75
1.50Conceded / match2.25
4.75Avg total goals4.00
50%Both scored75%
50%Clean sheets25%
0%Failed to score25%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FC Viktoria KölnRot-Weiss Essen
  • 1.251st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.751st half conceded / match1.00
  • 2.002nd half scored / match1.25
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match1.25
  • 50%Leading at half-time0%
  • 75%1st half over 0.550%
  • 75%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 75%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 50%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

FC Viktoria Köln at home, Rot-Weiss Essen away, this season.

Goals

FC Viktoria KölnRot-Weiss Essen
  • 3.25Scored / match1.75
  • 1.50Conceded / match2.25
  • 4.75Match total / match4.00
  • 100%Scored 1+75%
  • 100%Scored 2+75%
  • 50%Conceded 1+75%
  • 25%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.575%
  • 100%Match over 2.575%
  • 75%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for 3. Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.