Feyenoord vs Excelsior stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 13. Sat, 21 Nov 2026

vKick-off 17:45 UTC

DWWWWLeague form, oldest to newestWWDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Feyenoord have 4 scored home results and Excelsior 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Feyenoord at home: 2.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Excelsior away: 2.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Feyenoord scored 2.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Excelsior scored 2.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.87 per club appearance across 136 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 8 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Feyenoord: 9 wins; Excelsior: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Feyenoord at home and Excelsior away.

Feyenoord at home

xG 2.99

Shots per match27.7
On target per match10.0
Goals per match2.8

Excelsior away

xG 1.77

Shots per match12.3
On target per match5.5
Goals per match2.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 68 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Feyenoord: 2.14
Expected goals, Excelsior: 1.08
Most likely score: 2-1 (10%)
Three or more goals: 62%
Both clubs score: 58%
Feyenoord score at least once: 88%
Excelsior score at least once: 66%
Season sample: 8 and 7 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Feyenoord win–

Draw–

Excelsior win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Feyenoord goals, columns are Excelsior goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

01234567

04%4%2%1%

19%9%5%2%

29%10%5%2%1%

37%7%4%1%

43%4%2%1%

51%2%1%

61%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.72 goals) and away average (2.01 goals).

Sample. Feyenoord 8 matches, Excelsior 7, the league 68, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 68 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	90.0%	10.0%
2.5	71.4%	28.6%
3.5	60.0%	40.0%
4.5	31.4%	68.6%

First-half goals · 68 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	81.4%	18.6%
1.5	50.0%	50.0%
2.5	25.7%	74.3%
3.5	5.7%	94.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	72.3%	27.7%
9.5	55.4%	44.6%
10.5	52.3%	47.7%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	84.6%	15.4%
1.5	73.8%	26.2%
2.5	49.2%	50.8%
3.5	32.3%	67.7%
4.5	15.4%	84.6%
5.5	12.3%	87.7%
6.5	4.6%	95.4%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Feyenoord wins

Draws

Excelsior wins

Goals / meeting

3.60

36 goals in 10 meetings

Both scored

50%

5 of 10 meetings

Over 1.5

90%

9 of 10 meetings

Over 2.5

80%

8 of 10 meetings

Over 3.5

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Feyenoord clean sheets

50%

5 of 10 meetings

Excelsior clean sheets

0 of 10 meetings

Corners / meeting

10.20

10 with corner data

Cards / meeting

2.00

10 with card data

Feyenoord v ExcelsiorSun, 15 Mar 2026 · Eredivisie 2025-262–1HT 0–1
Excelsior v FeyenoordSat, 16 Aug 2025 · Eredivisie 2025-261–2HT 1–2
Feyenoord v ExcelsiorSun, 19 May 2024 · Eredivisie 2023-244–0HT 0–0
Excelsior v FeyenoordSat, 25 Nov 2023 · Eredivisie 2023-242–4HT 1–1
Excelsior v FeyenoordSun, 7 May 2023 · Eredivisie 2022-230–2HT 0–1
Feyenoord v ExcelsiorSun, 13 Nov 2022 · Eredivisie 2022-235–1HT 2–1
Excelsior v FeyenoordSun, 3 Feb 2019 · Eredivisie 2018-192–1HT 0–0
Feyenoord v ExcelsiorSun, 19 Aug 2018 · Eredivisie 2018-193–0HT 1–0
Feyenoord v ExcelsiorSun, 1 Apr 2018 · Eredivisie 2017-185–0HT 3–0
Excelsior v FeyenoordSun, 20 Aug 2017 · Eredivisie 2017-180–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Feyenoord at homeDLWLLW

Sat, 10 Octv AZ Alkmaar2–0C ––– · Y –––
Sun, 4 Octv Ajax1–4C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 26 Septv PEC Zwolle Vrouwen2–3C ––– · Y –––
Sun, 20 Septv Utrecht5–0C 6–3 · Y 2–2
Sun, 6 Septv PSV Eindhoven0–6C ––– · Y –––
Sun, 30 Augv Den Haag2–2C 11–3 · Y 0–3

Excelsior awayWWWWDD

Sat, 19 Sept@ Ajax2–2C 0–9 · Y 2–1
Tue, 8 Sept@ Nijmegen2–2C 4–2 · Y 3–1
Sat, 5 Sept@ Willem II3–0C 6–7 · Y 1–2
Fri, 7 Aug@ Cambuur4–0C 8–5 · Y 0–0
Sun, 17 May@ Sparta Rotterdam3–2C 2–5 · Y 0–4
Sat, 2 May@ Groningen3–2C 8–5 · Y 0–0

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Feyenoord at home, Excelsior away

50%
Both teams scored
League 69%
4 + 4 matches
100%
Over 0.5 goals
League 99%
4 + 4 matches
100%
Over 1.5 goals
League 91%
4 + 4 matches
88%
Over 2.5 goals
League 72%
4 + 4 matches
75%
Over 3.5 goals
League 60%
4 + 4 matches
13%
Over 4.5 goals
League 31%
4 + 4 matches
3.8
Avg total goals
League 3.74
4 + 4 matches
100%
1st half over 0.5
League 82%
4 + 4 matches
75%
1st half over 1.5
League 50%
4 + 4 matches
11.0
Corners per match
League 10.44
3 + 4 matches
88%
Corners over 8.5
League 73%
3 + 4 matches
58%
Corners over 9.5
League 56%
3 + 4 matches
58%
Corners over 10.5
League 52%
3 + 4 matches
2.4
Cards per match
League 2.71
3 + 4 matches
29%
Cards over 3.5
League 32%
3 + 4 matches
0%
Cards over 4.5
League 14%
3 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Feyenoord at home, Excelsior away

Feyenoord (home)		Excelsior (away)
1	Position	7
DDWW	Last 5, oldest to newest	WWDD
4	Played	4
2.00	Points per match	2.00
50%	Win %	50%
2.75	Scored / match	2.75
1.00	Conceded / match	1.00
3.75	Avg total goals	3.75
50%	Both scored	50%
50%	Clean sheets	50%
0%	Failed to score	0%
2.99	xG for	1.77
0.80	xG against	1.32

Half by half

FeyenoordExcelsior

1.501st half scored / match1.75
0.251st half conceded / match0.50
1.252nd half scored / match1.00
0.752nd half conceded / match0.50
75%Leading at half-time50%
100%1st half over 0.5100%
50%1st half over 1.5100%
100%2nd half over 0.5100%
75%2nd half over 1.550%
50%Scored in both halves100%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Feyenoord at home, Excelsior away, this season.

Goals

FeyenoordExcelsior

2.75Scored / match2.75
1.00Conceded / match1.00
3.75Match total / match3.75
100%Scored 1+100%
100%Scored 2+100%
50%Conceded 1+50%
50%Conceded 2+50%
100%Match over 1.5100%
75%Match over 2.5100%
75%Match over 3.575%

Shots and xG

FeyenoordExcelsior

27.67Shots for12.25
9.00Shots against17.75
10.00On target for5.50
3.67On target against3.75
11%Shot conversion22%
2.99xG for1.77
0.80xG against1.32

Corners

FeyenoordExcelsior

7.67Corners for4.50
4.00Corners against5.75
11.67Match total10.25
100%Over 7.575%
100%Over 8.575%
67%Over 9.550%
67%Over 10.550%
67%Over 11.550%

Cards

FeyenoordExcelsior

0.67Cards for1.50
1.67Cards against1.00
2.33Match total2.50
67%Over 2.575%
33%Over 3.525%
0%Over 4.50%
0%Over 5.50%
6.33Fouls committed13.25

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	20	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	16	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	10	19
5	Ajax	8	12	15
6	For Sittard	8	-1	14
7	Excelsior	7	6	11
8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	11
9	Groningen	7	2	11

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Eredivisie matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.