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FK Otrant-Olympic v FK Sutjeska Nikšić, Montenegrin First League, Sat, 24 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 12. Sat, 24 Oct 2026

FK Otrant-OlympicHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
FK Sutjeska NikšićAway
WLWWDLeague form, oldest to newestDWWWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, FK Otrant-Olympic have 5 scored home results and FK Sutjeska Nikšić 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: FK Otrant-Olympic at home: 1.60 points per match (5 measured matches); FK Sutjeska Nikšić away: 1.20 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. FK Otrant-Olympic scored 1.60 per home match (5 measured matches); FK Sutjeska Nikšić scored 0.40 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.07 per club appearance across 96 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 2 of 10 pooled club appearances (20.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. FK Otrant-Olympic: 1 wins; FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 0 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 48 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, FK Otrant-Olympic
1.31
Expected goals, FK Sutjeska Nikšić
1.00
Most likely score
1-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
41%
Both clubs score
46%
FK Otrant-Olympic score at least once
73%
FK Sutjeska Nikšić score at least once
63%
Season sample
10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

FK Otrant-Olympic win–
Draw–
FK Sutjeska Nikšić win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are FK Otrant-Olympic goals, columns are FK Sutjeska Nikšić goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%10%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%13%7%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
29%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.27 goals) and away average (0.88 goals).

Sample. FK Otrant-Olympic 10 matches, FK Sutjeska Nikšić 10, the league 48, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 48 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.560.0%40.0%
2.538.0%62.0%
3.518.0%82.0%
4.516.0%84.0%

First-half goals · 48 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.562.0%38.0%
1.530.0%70.0%
2.514.0%86.0%
3.58.0%92.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
FK Otrant-Olympic wins
0
Draws
0
FK Sutjeska Nikšić wins
Goals / meeting
5.00
5 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
FK Otrant-Olympic clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
FK Sutjeska Nikšić clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. FK Sutjeska Nikšić v FK Otrant-OlympicSat, 15 Aug 2026 · Montenegrin First League 2026-271–4HT 1–2

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
FK Otrant-Olympic at homeDLWWD
FK Sutjeska Nikšić awayLLDDWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
FK Otrant-Olympic at home, FK Sutjeska Nikšić away
  • 20%
    Both teams scored
    League 37%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 60%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 77%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 60%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 37%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 20%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 17%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 15%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 1.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.15
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 63%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 29%
    5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
FK Otrant-Olympic at home, FK Sutjeska Nikšić away
FK Otrant-Olympic (home)FK Sutjeska Nikšić (away)
1Position2
DLWWDLast 5, oldest to newestLDDWD
5Played5
1.60Points per match1.20
40%Win %20%
1.60Scored / match0.40
1.20Conceded / match0.20
2.80Avg total goals0.60
40%Both scored0%
40%Clean sheets80%
40%Failed to score80%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FK Otrant-OlympicFK Sutjeska Nikšić
  • 0.601st half scored / match0.40
  • 0.401st half conceded / match0.20
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.00
  • 0.802nd half conceded / match0.00
  • 20%Leading at half-time20%
  • 60%1st half over 0.540%
  • 40%1st half over 1.520%
  • 80%2nd half over 0.50%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 60%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

FK Otrant-Olympic at home, FK Sutjeska Nikšić away, this season.

Goals

FK Otrant-OlympicFK Sutjeska Nikšić
  • 1.60Scored / match0.40
  • 1.20Conceded / match0.20
  • 2.80Match total / match0.60
  • 60%Scored 1+20%
  • 60%Scored 2+20%
  • 60%Conceded 1+20%
  • 40%Conceded 2+0%
  • 80%Match over 1.520%
  • 60%Match over 2.50%
  • 40%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Montenegrin First League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.