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FK Septemvri Sofia v Levski Sofia, Parva Liga, Sat, 28 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 16. Sat, 28 Nov 2026

FK Septemvri SofiaHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
Levski SofiaAway
WDLLLLeague form, oldest to newestWWWWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, FK Septemvri Sofia have 5 scored home results and Levski Sofia 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: FK Septemvri Sofia at home: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches); Levski Sofia away: 2.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. FK Septemvri Sofia scored 0.80 per home match (5 measured matches); Levski Sofia scored 1.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.31 per club appearance across 142 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 9 pooled club appearances (55.6%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. FK Septemvri Sofia: 0 wins; Levski Sofia: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 71 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, FK Septemvri Sofia
0.30
Expected goals, Levski Sofia
2.83
Most likely score
0-2 (18%)
Three or more goals
60%
Both clubs score
25%
FK Septemvri Sofia score at least once
26%
Levski Sofia score at least once
94%
Season sample
10 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

FK Septemvri Sofia win–
Draw–
Levski Sofia win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are FK Septemvri Sofia goals, columns are Levski Sofia goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%12%18%17%12%7%3%1%
11%4%5%5%4%2%1%under 1%
2under 1%1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.46 goals) and away average (1.15 goals).

Sample. FK Septemvri Sofia 10 matches, Levski Sofia 9, the league 71, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 12 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.575.3%24.7%
2.550.7%49.3%
3.526.0%74.0%
4.513.7%86.3%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.565.8%34.2%
1.534.2%65.8%
2.55.5%94.5%
3.51.4%98.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
FK Septemvri Sofia wins
0
Draws
1
Levski Sofia wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
FK Septemvri Sofia clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Levski Sofia clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Levski Sofia v FK Septemvri SofiaSat, 1 Aug 2026 · Parva Liga 2026-273–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
FK Septemvri Sofia at homeDLWLL
Levski Sofia awayDWLWWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
FK Septemvri Sofia at home, Levski Sofia away
  • 58%
    Both teams scored
    League 56%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 78%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 68%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 51%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 23%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 13%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.62
    5 + 4 matches
  • 40%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    5 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
FK Septemvri Sofia at home, Levski Sofia away
FK Septemvri Sofia (home)Levski Sofia (away)
12Position1
DLWLLLast 5, oldest to newestWWWD
5Played4
0.80Points per match2.50
20%Win %75%
0.80Scored / match1.75
2.00Conceded / match0.75
2.80Avg total goals2.50
40%Both scored75%
20%Clean sheets25%
40%Failed to score25%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FK Septemvri SofiaLevski Sofia
  • 0.001st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.801st half conceded / match0.00
  • 0.802nd half scored / match1.75
  • 1.202nd half conceded / match0.75
  • 0%Leading at half-time0%
  • 80%1st half over 0.50%
  • 0%1st half over 1.50%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

FK Septemvri Sofia at home, Levski Sofia away, this season.

Goals

FK Septemvri SofiaLevski Sofia
  • 0.80Scored / match1.75
  • 2.00Conceded / match0.75
  • 2.80Match total / match2.50
  • 60%Scored 1+75%
  • 20%Scored 2+75%
  • 80%Conceded 1+75%
  • 60%Conceded 2+0%
  • 80%Match over 1.575%
  • 60%Match over 2.575%
  • 20%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Parva Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.