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FK Viktoria Žižkov v MFK Karviná, FNL, Sat, 20 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 19. Sat, 20 Mar 2027

FK Viktoria ŽižkovHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
MFK KarvináAway
LDWWWLeague form, oldest to newestLWLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, FK Viktoria Žižkov have 4 scored home results and MFK Karviná 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: FK Viktoria Žižkov at home: 1.75 points per match (4 measured matches); MFK Karviná away: 1.50 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. FK Viktoria Žižkov scored 1.50 per home match (4 measured matches); MFK Karviná scored 1.83 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.51 per club appearance across 158 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 10 pooled club appearances (60.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. FK Viktoria Žižkov: 0 wins; MFK Karviná: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 79 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, FK Viktoria Žižkov
0.85
Expected goals, MFK Karviná
2.11
Most likely score
0-2 (12%)
Three or more goals
57%
Both clubs score
50%
FK Viktoria Žižkov score at least once
57%
MFK Karviná score at least once
88%
Season sample
10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

FK Viktoria Žižkov win–
Draw–
MFK Karviná win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are FK Viktoria Žižkov goals, columns are MFK Karviná goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
05%11%12%8%4%2%1%under 1%
14%9%10%7%4%2%1%under 1%
22%4%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
31%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.61 goals) and away average (1.41 goals).

Sample. FK Viktoria Žižkov 10 matches, MFK Karviná 10, the league 79, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 13 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 79 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.580.2%19.8%
2.560.5%39.5%
3.540.7%59.3%
4.518.5%81.5%

First-half goals · 79 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.579.0%21.0%
1.545.7%54.3%
2.523.5%76.5%
3.56.2%93.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
FK Viktoria Žižkov wins
0
Draws
1
MFK Karviná wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
FK Viktoria Žižkov clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
MFK Karviná clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. MFK Karviná v FK Viktoria ŽižkovFri, 21 Aug 2026 · FNL 2026-273–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
FK Viktoria Žižkov at homeWLDLW
MFK Karviná awayWWDLLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
FK Viktoria Žižkov at home, MFK Karviná away
  • 58%
    Both teams scored
    League 65%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 79%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 81%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 58%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 61%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 29%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 41%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 29%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 18%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 3.1
    Avg total goals
    League 3.01
    4 + 6 matches
  • 79%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 80%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 58%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 46%
    4 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
FK Viktoria Žižkov at home, MFK Karviná away
FK Viktoria Žižkov (home)MFK Karviná (away)
11Position1
WLDWLast 5, oldest to newestWWLLW
4Played6
1.75Points per match1.50
50%Win %50%
1.50Scored / match1.83
1.25Conceded / match1.67
2.75Avg total goals3.50
50%Both scored67%
50%Clean sheets17%
0%Failed to score17%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FK Viktoria ŽižkovMFK Karviná
  • 0.501st half scored / match1.33
  • 1.001st half conceded / match0.67
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.252nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 25%Leading at half-time50%
  • 75%1st half over 0.583%
  • 50%1st half over 1.567%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 25%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

FK Viktoria Žižkov at home, MFK Karviná away, this season.

Goals

FK Viktoria ŽižkovMFK Karviná
  • 1.50Scored / match1.83
  • 1.25Conceded / match1.67
  • 2.75Match total / match3.50
  • 100%Scored 1+83%
  • 25%Scored 2+50%
  • 50%Conceded 1+83%
  • 25%Conceded 2+67%
  • 75%Match over 1.583%
  • 50%Match over 2.567%
  • 25%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for FNL matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.