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Fløya v FK Fauske/Sprint, 3rd Division, Group 5, Sun, 1 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 26. Sun, 1 Nov 2026

FløyaHome
vKick-off 11:00 UTC
FK Fauske/SprintAway
WWWWWLeague form, oldest to newestWWWLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Fløya have 10 scored home results and FK Fauske/Sprint 10 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Fløya at home: 2.30 points per match (10 measured matches); FK Fauske/Sprint away: 1.70 points per match (10 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Fløya scored 2.80 per home match (10 measured matches); FK Fauske/Sprint scored 2.80 away (10). The competition's pooled scoring average was 2.25 per club appearance across 310 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 17 of 20 pooled club appearances (85.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Fløya: 0 wins; FK Fauske/Sprint: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 155 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Fløya
4.43
Expected goals, FK Fauske/Sprint
1.60
Most likely score
4-1 (7%)
Three or more goals
93%
Both clubs score
79%
Fløya score at least once
99%
FK Fauske/Sprint score at least once
80%
Season sample
22 and 21 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Fløya win–
Draw–
FK Fauske/Sprint win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Fløya goals, columns are FK Fauske/Sprint goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
0under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
11%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
23%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%6%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
44%7%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
54%6%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
63%4%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
72%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.61 goals) and away average (1.88 goals).

Sample. Fløya 22 matches, FK Fauske/Sprint 21, the league 155, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 155 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.593.6%6.4%
2.582.2%17.8%
3.563.1%36.9%
4.543.3%56.7%

First-half goals · 155 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.588.5%11.5%
1.559.9%40.1%
2.531.2%68.8%
3.514.6%85.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Fløya wins
0
Draws
1
FK Fauske/Sprint wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Fløya clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
FK Fauske/Sprint clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. FK Fauske/Sprint v FløyaSat, 27 Jun 2026 · 3rd Division, Group 5 20263–1HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Fløya at homeWWDLWW
FK Fauske/Sprint awayWLLWWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Fløya at home, FK Fauske/Sprint away
  • 85%
    Both teams scored
    League 76%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 95%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 99%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 95%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 94%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 95%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 83%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 85%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 63%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 60%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 43%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 5.1
    Avg total goals
    League 4.49
    10 + 10 matches
  • 95%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 89%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 85%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 60%
    10 + 10 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Fløya at home, FK Fauske/Sprint away
Fløya (home)FK Fauske/Sprint (away)
3Position8
WWDWWLast 5, oldest to newestLLWWL
10Played10
2.30Points per match1.70
70%Win %50%
2.80Scored / match2.80
1.20Conceded / match3.30
4.00Avg total goals6.10
80%Both scored90%
20%Clean sheets0%
10%Failed to score10%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FløyaFK Fauske/Sprint
  • 1.101st half scored / match1.00
  • 1.001st half conceded / match1.80
  • 1.702nd half scored / match1.80
  • 0.202nd half conceded / match1.50
  • 40%Leading at half-time30%
  • 90%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 70%1st half over 1.5100%
  • 90%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.580%
  • 70%Scored in both halves60%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Fløya at home, FK Fauske/Sprint away, this season.

Goals

FløyaFK Fauske/Sprint
  • 2.80Scored / match2.80
  • 1.20Conceded / match3.30
  • 4.00Match total / match6.10
  • 90%Scored 1+90%
  • 90%Scored 2+70%
  • 80%Conceded 1+100%
  • 30%Conceded 2+80%
  • 90%Match over 1.5100%
  • 90%Match over 2.5100%
  • 80%Match over 3.590%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#ClubPGDPts
1Skedsmo222147
2Alta IF222845
3Fløya222445
4Harstad IL223440
5Finnsnes IL22637
6Skjetten23533
7Kongsvinger 223-1732
8FK Fauske/Sprint21-1131
9Lillestrøm SK 2221628
10Strømsgodset II23-227
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for 3rd Division, Group 5 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.