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For Sittard v Sparta Rotterdam, Eredivisie, Sat, 19 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 17. Sat, 19 Dec 2026

For SittardHome
vKick-off 17:00 UTC
Sparta RotterdamAway
WWLWDLeague form, oldest to newestLDLLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Photo: Weiderinder.de.vu, Public domain, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, For Sittard have 4 scored home results and Sparta Rotterdam 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: For Sittard at home: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Sparta Rotterdam away: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. For Sittard scored 1.25 per home match (4 measured matches); Sparta Rotterdam scored 2.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.87 per club appearance across 136 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 8 pooled club appearances (87.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. For Sittard: 1 wins; Sparta Rotterdam: 5 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, For Sittard at home and Sparta Rotterdam away.

For Sittard at home

xG 1.02
  • Shots per match9.7
  • On target per match4.3
  • Goals per match1.3

Sparta Rotterdam away

xG 2.11
  • Shots per match12.0
  • On target per match5.7
  • Goals per match2.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 68 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, For Sittard
2.16
Expected goals, Sparta Rotterdam
1.76
Most likely score
2-1 (8%)
Three or more goals
75%
Both clubs score
73%
For Sittard score at least once
88%
Sparta Rotterdam score at least once
83%
Season sample
8 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

For Sittard win–
Draw–
Sparta Rotterdam win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are For Sittard goals, columns are Sparta Rotterdam goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
02%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
14%8%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
25%8%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
33%6%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.72 goals) and away average (2.01 goals).

Sample. For Sittard 8 matches, Sparta Rotterdam 8, the league 68, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 68 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.590.0%10.0%
2.571.4%28.6%
3.560.0%40.0%
4.531.4%68.6%

First-half goals · 68 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.581.4%18.6%
1.550.0%50.0%
2.525.7%74.3%
3.55.7%94.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.572.3%27.7%
9.555.4%44.6%
10.552.3%47.7%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.584.6%15.4%
1.573.8%26.2%
2.549.2%50.8%
3.532.3%67.7%
4.515.4%84.6%
5.512.3%87.7%
6.54.6%95.4%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
For Sittard wins
4
Draws
5
Sparta Rotterdam wins
Goals / meeting
2.80
28 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
For Sittard clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
11.30
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.70
10 with card data
  1. For Sittard v Sparta RotterdamSat, 7 Feb 2026 · Eredivisie 2025-262–2HT 1–0
  2. Sparta Rotterdam v For SittardSat, 22 Nov 2025 · Eredivisie 2025-261–1HT 1–0
  3. For Sittard v Sparta RotterdamSat, 29 Mar 2025 · Eredivisie 2024-250–3HT 0–2
  4. Sparta Rotterdam v For SittardSat, 28 Sept 2024 · Eredivisie 2024-251–1HT 1–1
  5. Sparta Rotterdam v For SittardSat, 30 Mar 2024 · Eredivisie 2023-244–0HT 1–0
  6. For Sittard v Sparta RotterdamSat, 13 Jan 2024 · Eredivisie 2023-240–2HT 0–1
  7. For Sittard v Sparta RotterdamFri, 3 Feb 2023 · Eredivisie 2022-230–0HT 0–0
  8. Sparta Rotterdam v For SittardSat, 29 Oct 2022 · Eredivisie 2022-233–1HT 1–1
  9. For Sittard v Sparta RotterdamSat, 16 Apr 2022 · Eredivisie 2021-223–0HT 2–0
  10. Sparta Rotterdam v For SittardSun, 12 Sept 2021 · Eredivisie 2021-223–1HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
For Sittard at homeLWWLLD
Sparta Rotterdam awayLLWLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
For Sittard at home, Sparta Rotterdam away
  • 88%
    Both teams scored
    League 69%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 99%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 91%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 72%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 60%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 31%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 4.0
    Avg total goals
    League 3.74
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 82%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 50%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13.2
    Corners per match
    League 10.44
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 73%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 56%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 52%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 2.8
    Cards per match
    League 2.71
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 32%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 14%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
For Sittard at home, Sparta Rotterdam away
For Sittard (home)Sparta Rotterdam (away)
6Position12
WLLDLast 5, oldest to newestWLLD
4Played4
1.00Points per match1.00
25%Win %25%
1.25Scored / match2.00
2.25Conceded / match2.50
3.50Avg total goals4.50
75%Both scored100%
0%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score0%
1.02xG for2.11
3.66xG against2.13

Half by half

For SittardSparta Rotterdam
  • 0.751st half scored / match0.75
  • 0.751st half conceded / match0.75
  • 0.502nd half scored / match1.25
  • 1.502nd half conceded / match1.75
  • 25%Leading at half-time50%
  • 75%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 50%1st half over 1.525%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.5100%
  • 25%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

For Sittard at home, Sparta Rotterdam away, this season.

Goals

For SittardSparta Rotterdam
  • 1.25Scored / match2.00
  • 2.25Conceded / match2.50
  • 3.50Match total / match4.50
  • 75%Scored 1+100%
  • 25%Scored 2+50%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 50%Conceded 2+75%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 50%Match over 2.5100%
  • 50%Match over 3.575%

Shots and xG

For SittardSparta Rotterdam
  • 9.67Shots for12.00
  • 24.00Shots against16.67
  • 4.33On target for5.67
  • 9.67On target against5.33
  • 14%Shot conversion14%
  • 1.02xG for2.11
  • 3.66xG against2.13

Corners

For SittardSparta Rotterdam
  • 3.33Corners for4.67
  • 11.00Corners against7.33
  • 14.33Match total12.00
  • 100%Over 7.5100%
  • 100%Over 8.5100%
  • 100%Over 9.5100%
  • 100%Over 10.567%
  • 100%Over 11.567%

Cards

For SittardSparta Rotterdam
  • 0.67Cards for1.00
  • 2.67Cards against1.33
  • 3.33Match total2.33
  • 33%Over 2.533%
  • 33%Over 3.50%
  • 33%Over 4.50%
  • 33%Over 5.50%
  • 8.00Fouls committed9.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
4Twente8817
5Ajax81215
6For Sittard8-114
7Excelsior7611
8Go Ahead Eagles8211
10Heerenveen809
11Nijmegen8-19
12Sparta Rotterdam8-76
13Telstar7-75
14Cambuur7-95
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Eredivisie matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.