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Forfar v Annan Athletic, Scottish League Two, Sat, 6 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 24. Sat, 6 Feb 2027

ForfarHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Annan AthleticAway
DLLWLLeague form, oldest to newestWLWLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Forfar have 4 scored home results and Annan Athletic 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Forfar at home: 2.25 points per match (4 measured matches); Annan Athletic away: 0.75 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Forfar scored 1.25 per home match (4 measured matches); Annan Athletic scored 0.50 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.70 per club appearance across 90 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 1 of 8 pooled club appearances (12.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Forfar: 6 wins; Annan Athletic: 3 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Forfar at home and Annan Athletic away.

Forfar at home

  • Shots per match9.3
  • On target per match3.8
  • Goals per match1.3

Annan Athletic away

  • Shots per match9.5
  • On target per match3.0
  • Goals per match0.5

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 45 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Forfar
0.86
Expected goals, Annan Athletic
0.79
Most likely score
0-0 (19%)
Three or more goals
23%
Both clubs score
32%
Forfar score at least once
57%
Annan Athletic score at least once
55%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Forfar win–
Draw–
Annan Athletic win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Forfar goals, columns are Annan Athletic goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
019%15%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
116%13%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
32%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.02 goals) and away average (1.38 goals).

Sample. Forfar 9 matches, Annan Athletic 9, the league 45, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.580.9%19.1%
2.561.7%38.3%
3.542.6%57.4%
4.527.7%72.3%

First-half goals · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.9%19.1%
1.540.4%59.6%
2.519.1%80.9%
3.58.5%91.5%

Corners · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.557.4%42.6%
9.553.2%46.8%
10.542.6%57.4%

Yellow + red card events · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.6%6.4%
1.589.4%10.6%
2.580.9%19.1%
3.557.4%42.6%
4.538.3%61.7%
5.525.5%74.5%
6.514.9%85.1%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

6
Forfar wins
1
Draws
3
Annan Athletic wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
30 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Forfar clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Annan Athletic clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.00
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.40
10 with card data
  1. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 19 Sept 2026 · Scottish League Two 2026-271–0HT 1–0
  2. Annan Athletic v ForfarSat, 2 May 2026 · Scottish League Two 2025-261–1HT 1–1
  3. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 21 Feb 2026 · Scottish League Two 2025-262–1HT 1–0
  4. Annan Athletic v ForfarSat, 13 Dec 2025 · Scottish League Two 2025-263–1HT 0–1
  5. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 20 Sept 2025 · Scottish League Two 2025-261–0HT 1–0
  6. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 18 Mar 2023 · Scottish League Two 2022-232–1HT 1–1
  7. Annan Athletic v ForfarSat, 7 Jan 2023 · Scottish League Two 2022-230–2HT 0–2
  8. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 5 Nov 2022 · Scottish League Two 2022-231–4HT 0–2
  9. Annan Athletic v ForfarSat, 3 Sept 2022 · Scottish League Two 2022-232–1HT 0–1
  10. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 16 Apr 2022 · Scottish League Two 2021-225–1HT 5–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Forfar at homeWLWLWW
Annan Athletic awayWLLLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Forfar at home, Annan Athletic away
  • 13%
    Both teams scored
    League 53%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 82%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 42%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 27%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 1.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.40
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 82%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 9.6
    Corners per match
    League 9.96
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 58%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 53%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 42%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 2.9
    Cards per match
    League 4.20
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 58%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 38%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Forfar at home, Annan Athletic away
Forfar (home)Annan Athletic (away)
8Position9
WWLWLast 5, oldest to newestWLLL
4Played4
2.25Points per match0.75
75%Win %25%
1.25Scored / match0.50
0.75Conceded / match1.00
2.00Avg total goals1.50
0%Both scored25%
75%Clean sheets25%
25%Failed to score50%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

ForfarAnnan Athletic
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.251st half conceded / match0.50
  • 0.252nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 75%Leading at half-time0%
  • 100%1st half over 0.550%
  • 25%1st half over 1.50%
  • 50%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.525%
  • 25%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Forfar at home, Annan Athletic away, this season.

Goals

ForfarAnnan Athletic
  • 1.25Scored / match0.50
  • 0.75Conceded / match1.00
  • 2.00Match total / match1.50
  • 75%Scored 1+50%
  • 25%Scored 2+0%
  • 25%Conceded 1+75%
  • 25%Conceded 2+25%
  • 50%Match over 1.525%
  • 50%Match over 2.525%
  • 0%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

ForfarAnnan Athletic
  • 9.25Shots for9.50
  • 11.50Shots against9.75
  • 3.75On target for3.00
  • 4.50On target against4.00
  • 14%Shot conversion5%

Corners

ForfarAnnan Athletic
  • 5.25Corners for5.25
  • 5.75Corners against3.00
  • 11.00Match total8.25
  • 100%Over 7.550%
  • 75%Over 8.525%
  • 50%Over 9.525%
  • 50%Over 10.525%
  • 50%Over 11.50%

Cards

ForfarAnnan Athletic
  • 1.25Cards for1.50
  • 0.75Cards against2.25
  • 2.00Match total3.75
  • 25%Over 2.575%
  • 0%Over 3.550%
  • 0%Over 4.525%
  • 0%Over 5.525%
  • 14.75Fouls committed11.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
6Kelty Hearts9-512
7Dumbarton9-512
8Forfar9-611
9Annan Athletic9-29
10Stirling9-118
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Scottish League Two matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.