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FSV Frankfurt v SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz, Regionalliga Südwest, Sat, 27 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 21. Sat, 27 Feb 2027

FSV FrankfurtHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
SG Barockstadt Fulda-LehnerzAway
WWLLLLeague form, oldest to newestLLLDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, FSV Frankfurt have 6 scored home results and SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: FSV Frankfurt at home: 1.33 points per match (6 measured matches); SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz away: 0.83 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. FSV Frankfurt scored 1.50 per home match (6 measured matches); SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz scored 1.00 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.56 per club appearance across 188 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 12 pooled club appearances (58.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. FSV Frankfurt: 0 wins; SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 94 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, FSV Frankfurt
2.21
Expected goals, SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
1.24
Most likely score
2-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
67%
Both clubs score
63%
FSV Frankfurt score at least once
89%
SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz score at least once
71%
Season sample
10 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

FSV Frankfurt win–
Draw–
SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are FSV Frankfurt goals, columns are SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
17%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%10%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
36%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.64 goals) and away average (1.48 goals).

Sample. FSV Frankfurt 10 matches, SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz 11, the league 94, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 9 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 94 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.3%18.8%
2.564.6%35.4%
3.539.6%60.4%
4.519.8%80.2%

First-half goals · 94 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.577.1%22.9%
1.543.8%56.3%
2.517.7%82.3%
3.56.3%93.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
FSV Frankfurt wins
1
Draws
0
SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
FSV Frankfurt clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz v FSV FrankfurtFri, 28 Aug 2026 · Regionalliga Südwest 2026-272–2HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
FSV Frankfurt at homeDWDWLL
SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz awayWDLLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
FSV Frankfurt at home, SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz away
  • 58%
    Both teams scored
    League 64%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 82%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 65%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 33%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 39%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 8%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 19%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.12
    6 + 6 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 78%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 44%
    6 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
FSV Frankfurt at home, SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz away
FSV Frankfurt (home)SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz (away)
12Position18
WDWLLLast 5, oldest to newestDLLLD
6Played6
1.33Points per match0.83
33%Win %17%
1.50Scored / match1.00
1.17Conceded / match1.83
2.67Avg total goals2.83
50%Both scored67%
33%Clean sheets17%
17%Failed to score17%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FSV FrankfurtSG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
  • 0.671st half scored / match0.33
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.83
  • 0.832nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 33%Leading at half-time17%
  • 83%1st half over 0.567%
  • 33%1st half over 1.533%
  • 83%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 17%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 33%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

FSV Frankfurt at home, SG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz away, this season.

Goals

FSV FrankfurtSG Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
  • 1.50Scored / match1.00
  • 1.17Conceded / match1.83
  • 2.67Match total / match2.83
  • 83%Scored 1+83%
  • 50%Scored 2+17%
  • 67%Conceded 1+83%
  • 33%Conceded 2+50%
  • 83%Match over 1.567%
  • 50%Match over 2.550%
  • 33%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Regionalliga Südwest matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.