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Fylde v Kidderminster, National League, Sat, 6 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 31. Sat, 6 Feb 2027

FyldeHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
KidderminsterAway
LWLLWLeague form, oldest to newestDLLDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Fylde have 6 scored home results and Kidderminster 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Fylde at home: 1.33 points per match (6 measured matches); Kidderminster away: 1.33 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Fylde scored 1.50 per home match (6 measured matches); Kidderminster scored 1.33 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.55 per club appearance across 310 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 12 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Fylde: 1 wins; Kidderminster: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Fylde at home and Kidderminster away.

Fylde at home

  • Shots per match8.8
  • On target per match4.6
  • Goals per match1.5

Kidderminster away

  • Shots per match5.0
  • On target per match2.6
  • Goals per match1.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 155 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Fylde
1.19
Expected goals, Kidderminster
0.95
Most likely score
1-0 (14%)
Three or more goals
36%
Both clubs score
43%
Fylde score at least once
70%
Kidderminster score at least once
61%
Season sample
13 and 13 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Fylde win–
Draw–
Kidderminster win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Fylde goals, columns are Kidderminster goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
012%11%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
114%13%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.68 goals) and away average (1.42 goals).

Sample. Fylde 13 matches, Kidderminster 13, the league 155, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 155 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.580.9%19.1%
2.560.5%39.5%
3.538.2%61.8%
4.521.0%79.0%

First-half goals · 155 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.573.2%26.8%
1.533.1%66.9%
2.514.0%86.0%
3.54.5%95.5%

Corners · 143 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.564.1%35.9%
9.553.8%46.2%
10.542.8%57.2%

Yellow + red card events · 143 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.597.9%2.1%
1.590.3%9.7%
2.577.9%22.1%
3.564.1%35.9%
4.540.0%60.0%
5.529.0%71.0%
6.511.7%88.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Fylde wins
1
Draws
0
Kidderminster wins
Goals / meeting
2.50
5 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Fylde clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Kidderminster clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
5.00
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Kidderminster v FyldeTue, 12 Mar 2024 · National League 2023-241–1HT 0–1
  2. Fylde v KidderminsterTue, 15 Aug 2023 · National League 2023-242–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Fylde at homeDWDLLW
Kidderminster awayLWWDLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Fylde at home, Kidderminster away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 63%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 83%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 99%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 81%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 58%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 61%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 42%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 38%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 8%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 21%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.10
    6 + 6 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 74%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 33%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 9.5
    Corners per match
    League 9.91
    5 + 5 matches
  • 80%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 64%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 54%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 20%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 43%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 4.6
    Cards per match
    League 4.24
    5 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 64%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 40%
    5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Fylde at home, Kidderminster away
Fylde (home)Kidderminster (away)
7Position11
WDLLWLast 5, oldest to newestWWDLD
6Played6
1.33Points per match1.33
33%Win %33%
1.50Scored / match1.33
1.33Conceded / match1.33
2.83Avg total goals2.67
50%Both scored50%
33%Clean sheets33%
17%Failed to score50%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

FyldeKidderminster
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.17
  • 0.671st half conceded / match1.17
  • 1.172nd half scored / match1.17
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match0.17
  • 17%Leading at half-time0%
  • 67%1st half over 0.567%
  • 17%1st half over 1.550%
  • 83%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 17%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Fylde at home, Kidderminster away, this season.

Goals

FyldeKidderminster
  • 1.50Scored / match1.33
  • 1.33Conceded / match1.33
  • 2.83Match total / match2.67
  • 83%Scored 1+50%
  • 67%Scored 2+33%
  • 67%Conceded 1+67%
  • 67%Conceded 2+33%
  • 100%Match over 1.567%
  • 50%Match over 2.567%
  • 33%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

FyldeKidderminster
  • 8.80Shots for5.00
  • 9.60Shots against11.60
  • 4.60On target for2.60
  • 5.00On target against5.20
  • 16%Shot conversion32%

Corners

FyldeKidderminster
  • 5.00Corners for2.40
  • 4.40Corners against7.20
  • 9.40Match total9.60
  • 80%Over 7.580%
  • 80%Over 8.580%
  • 80%Over 9.560%
  • 20%Over 10.520%
  • 0%Over 11.520%

Cards

FyldeKidderminster
  • 1.60Cards for2.80
  • 2.80Cards against2.00
  • 4.40Match total4.80
  • 100%Over 2.5100%
  • 80%Over 3.5100%
  • 20%Over 4.540%
  • 20%Over 5.540%
  • 10.00Fouls committed11.80

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
5Worthing13924
6Altrincham13124
7Fylde13623
8Barrow13621
9Hornchurch13-421
10Halifax13720
11Kidderminster13320
12Aldershot13218
13Sutton13-418
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for National League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.