Gateshead vs Yeovil stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 36. Sat, 27 Feb 2027

vKick-off 15:00 UTC

LLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestWWDWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Gateshead have 6 scored home results and Yeovil 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Gateshead at home: 0.67 points per match (6 measured matches); Yeovil away: 1.83 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Gateshead scored 0.83 per home match (6 measured matches); Yeovil scored 2.17 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.55 per club appearance across 310 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 12 pooled club appearances (58.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 7. Gateshead: 4 wins; Yeovil: 2 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Gateshead at home and Yeovil away.

Gateshead at home

Shots per match5.8
On target per match2.7
Goals per match0.8

Yeovil away

Shots per match4.8
On target per match2.8
Goals per match2.2

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 155 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Gateshead: 0.50
Expected goals, Yeovil: 3.48
Most likely score: 0-3 (14%)
Three or more goals: 75%
Both clubs score: 38%
Gateshead score at least once: 39%
Yeovil score at least once: 97%
Season sample: 13 and 13 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Gateshead win–

Draw–

Yeovil win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Gateshead goals, columns are Yeovil goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

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02%7%12%14%12%8%5%2%

11%3%6%7%6%4%2%1%

21%1%2%1%1%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.68 goals) and away average (1.42 goals).

Sample. Gateshead 13 matches, Yeovil 13, the league 155, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 24 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 155 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	80.9%	19.1%
2.5	60.5%	39.5%
3.5	38.2%	61.8%
4.5	21.0%	79.0%

First-half goals · 155 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	73.2%	26.8%
1.5	33.1%	66.9%
2.5	14.0%	86.0%
3.5	4.5%	95.5%

Corners · 143 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	64.1%	35.9%
9.5	53.8%	46.2%
10.5	42.8%	57.2%

Yellow + red card events · 143 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	97.9%	2.1%
1.5	90.3%	9.7%
2.5	77.9%	22.1%
3.5	64.1%	35.9%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	29.0%	71.0%
6.5	11.7%	88.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

7 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Gateshead wins

Draws

Yeovil wins

Goals / meeting

3.57

25 goals in 7 meetings

Both scored

57%

4 of 7 meetings

Over 1.5

86%

6 of 7 meetings

Over 2.5

86%

6 of 7 meetings

Over 3.5

57%

4 of 7 meetings

Gateshead clean sheets

29%

2 of 7 meetings

Yeovil clean sheets

29%

2 of 7 meetings

Corners / meeting

9.00

1 with corner data · small sample

Cards / meeting

3.86

7 with card data

Yeovil v GatesheadSat, 22 Aug 2026 · National League 2026-273–0HT 1–0
Gateshead v YeovilSat, 28 Mar 2026 · National League 2025-262–1HT 0–0
Yeovil v GatesheadMon, 25 Aug 2025 · National League 2025-263–4HT 3–0
Yeovil v GatesheadFri, 17 Jan 2025 · National League 2024-250–0HT 0–0
Gateshead v YeovilSat, 24 Aug 2024 · National League 2024-253–1HT 2–1
Gateshead v YeovilTue, 4 Apr 2023 · National League 2022-234–0HT 2–0
Yeovil v GatesheadSat, 12 Nov 2022 · National League 2022-233–1HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Gateshead at homeWLDLLL

Sat, 3 Octv Worthing1–2C 5–4 · Y 4–0
Tue, 29 Septv Altrincham0–1C 3–5 · Y 2–2
Sat, 19 Septv Southend1–6C 4–3 · Y 1–1
Sat, 5 Septv Solihull1–1C 0–6 · Y 1–1
Fri, 28 Augv Sutton0–1C 2–4 · Y 3–3
Sat, 15 Augv Woking2–0C 4–6 · Y 0–1

Yeovil awayDWLDWW

Sat, 10 Oct@ Wealdstone6–0C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 26 Sept@ Kidderminster1–0C 5–2 · Y 1–2
Tue, 15 Sept@ Aldershot1–1C 4–3 · Y 3–3
Sat, 5 Sept@ Southend2–3C 2–9 · Y 1–3
Fri, 28 Aug@ Barrow2–1C 3–9 · Y 3–1
Sat, 8 Aug@ Scunthorpe1–1C 3–4 · Y 1–2

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Gateshead at home, Yeovil away

58%
Both teams scored
League 63%
6 + 6 matches
100%
Over 0.5 goals
League 99%
6 + 6 matches
75%
Over 1.5 goals
League 81%
6 + 6 matches
42%
Over 2.5 goals
League 61%
6 + 6 matches
25%
Over 3.5 goals
League 38%
6 + 6 matches
25%
Over 4.5 goals
League 21%
6 + 6 matches
2.9
Avg total goals
League 3.10
6 + 6 matches
50%
1st half over 0.5
League 74%
6 + 6 matches
17%
1st half over 1.5
League 33%
6 + 6 matches
8.2
Corners per match
League 9.91
6 + 5 matches
37%
Corners over 8.5
League 64%
6 + 5 matches
28%
Corners over 9.5
League 54%
6 + 5 matches
20%
Corners over 10.5
League 43%
6 + 5 matches
3.6
Cards per match
League 4.24
6 + 5 matches
55%
Cards over 3.5
League 64%
6 + 5 matches
18%
Cards over 4.5
League 40%
6 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Gateshead at home, Yeovil away

Gateshead (home)		Yeovil (away)
24	Position	4
LDLLL	Last 5, oldest to newest	WLDWW
6	Played	6
0.67	Points per match	1.83
17%	Win %	50%
0.83	Scored / match	2.17
1.83	Conceded / match	1.00
2.67	Avg total goals	3.17
50%	Both scored	67%
17%	Clean sheets	33%
33%	Failed to score	0%
–	xG for	–
–	xG against	–

Half by half

GatesheadYeovil

0.171st half scored / match0.50
1.331st half conceded / match0.00
0.672nd half scored / match1.67
0.502nd half conceded / match1.00
0%Leading at half-time50%
50%1st half over 0.550%
33%1st half over 1.50%
83%2nd half over 0.5100%
33%2nd half over 1.567%
0%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Gateshead at home, Yeovil away, this season.

Goals

GatesheadYeovil

0.83Scored / match2.17
1.83Conceded / match1.00
2.67Match total / match3.17
67%Scored 1+100%
17%Scored 2+50%
83%Conceded 1+67%
33%Conceded 2+17%
67%Match over 1.583%
33%Match over 2.550%
17%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

GatesheadYeovil

5.83Shots for4.80
10.00Shots against10.00
2.67On target for2.80
6.00On target against5.60
14%Shot conversion29%

Corners

GatesheadYeovil

3.00Corners for3.40
4.67Corners against5.40
7.67Match total8.80
50%Over 7.540%
33%Over 8.540%
17%Over 9.540%
0%Over 10.540%
0%Over 11.520%

Cards

GatesheadYeovil

1.83Cards for1.80
1.33Cards against2.20
3.17Match total4.00
50%Over 2.5100%
50%Over 3.560%
17%Over 4.520%
17%Over 5.520%
15.33Fouls committed12.80

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
2	Harrogate	13	12	28
3	Southend	13	12	27
4	Yeovil	13	17	25
5	Worthing	13	9	24
6	Altrincham	13	1	24
22	Scunthorpe	12	-6	10
23	Solihull	13	-22	7
24	Gateshead	13	-23	4

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for National League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.