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Gil Vicente v Benfica, Primeira Liga, Sun, 21 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 23. Sun, 21 Feb 2027

Gil VicenteHome
vKick-off 11:00 UTC
BenficaAway
DLLDWLeague form, oldest to newestWWWLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. Photo: JP Ribeiro, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Gil Vicente have 4 scored home results and Benfica 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Gil Vicente at home: 1.75 points per match (4 measured matches); Benfica away: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Gil Vicente scored 1.00 per home match (4 measured matches); Benfica scored 3.20 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.38 per club appearance across 174 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 9 pooled club appearances (33.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Gil Vicente: 1 wins; Benfica: 9 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Gil Vicente at home and Benfica away.

Gil Vicente at home

xG 1.59
  • Shots per match18.3
  • On target per match5.0
  • Goals per match1.0

Benfica away

xG 2.05
  • Shots per match16.0
  • On target per match6.5
  • Goals per match3.2

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 87 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Gil Vicente
0.75
Expected goals, Benfica
1.54
Most likely score
0-1 (16%)
Three or more goals
40%
Both clubs score
41%
Gil Vicente score at least once
53%
Benfica score at least once
79%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Gil Vicente win–
Draw–
Benfica win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Gil Vicente goals, columns are Benfica goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%16%12%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%
18%12%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
23%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.33 goals) and away average (1.43 goals).

Sample. Gil Vicente 7 matches, Benfica 8, the league 87, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 87 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.576.4%23.6%
2.556.2%43.8%
3.537.1%62.9%
4.59.0%91.0%

First-half goals · 87 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.569.7%30.3%
1.539.3%60.7%
2.512.4%87.6%
3.54.5%95.5%

Corners · 62 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.546.9%53.1%
9.537.5%62.5%
10.525.0%75.0%

Yellow + red card events · 62 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.8%6.3%
1.590.6%9.4%
2.581.3%18.8%
3.567.2%32.8%
4.546.9%53.1%
5.526.6%73.4%
6.520.3%79.7%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Gil Vicente wins
0
Draws
9
Benfica wins
Goals / meeting
3.60
36 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
10 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Gil Vicente clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Benfica clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.50
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.80
10 with card data
  1. Benfica v Gil VicenteSun, 13 Sept 2026 · Primeira Liga 2026-273–1HT 1–1
  2. Gil Vicente v BenficaMon, 2 Mar 2026 · Primeira Liga 2025-261–2HT 0–1
  3. Benfica v Gil VicenteFri, 26 Sept 2025 · Primeira Liga 2025-262–1HT 2–1
  4. Gil Vicente v BenficaFri, 28 Mar 2025 · Primeira Liga 2024-250–3HT 0–1
  5. Benfica v Gil VicenteSat, 28 Sept 2024 · Primeira Liga 2024-255–1HT 2–1
  6. Benfica v Gil VicenteSun, 4 Feb 2024 · Primeira Liga 2023-243–0HT 2–0
  7. Gil Vicente v BenficaSat, 26 Aug 2023 · Primeira Liga 2023-242–3HT 0–1
  8. Gil Vicente v BenficaSat, 29 Apr 2023 · Primeira Liga 2022-230–2HT 0–0
  9. Benfica v Gil VicenteSun, 13 Nov 2022 · Primeira Liga 2022-233–1HT 2–1
  10. Benfica v Gil VicenteWed, 2 Feb 2022 · Primeira Liga 2021-221–2HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Gil Vicente at homeWLWWLD
Benfica awayWWWWLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Gil Vicente at home, Benfica away
  • 33%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 77%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 56%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 40%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 8%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.76
    4 + 5 matches
  • 88%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 70%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 23%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 39%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 7.1
    Corners per match
    League 8.61
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 47%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 37%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 24%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 4.1
    Cards per match
    League 4.44
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 68%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 47%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Gil Vicente at home, Benfica away
Gil Vicente (home)Benfica (away)
11Position5
WWLDLast 5, oldest to newestWWWLL
4Played5
1.75Points per match1.80
50%Win %60%
1.00Scored / match3.20
0.50Conceded / match1.20
1.50Avg total goals4.40
25%Both scored40%
50%Clean sheets60%
25%Failed to score0%
1.59xG for2.05
0.56xG against0.48

Half by half

Gil VicenteBenfica
  • 0.751st half scored / match0.80
  • 0.251st half conceded / match0.40
  • 0.252nd half scored / match2.40
  • 0.252nd half conceded / match0.80
  • 50%Leading at half-time60%
  • 75%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 25%1st half over 1.520%
  • 50%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.5100%
  • 0%Scored in both halves60%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Gil Vicente at home, Benfica away, this season.

Goals

Gil VicenteBenfica
  • 1.00Scored / match3.20
  • 0.50Conceded / match1.20
  • 1.50Match total / match4.40
  • 75%Scored 1+100%
  • 25%Scored 2+60%
  • 50%Conceded 1+40%
  • 0%Conceded 2+40%
  • 50%Match over 1.5100%
  • 0%Match over 2.5100%
  • 0%Match over 3.580%

Shots and xG

Gil VicenteBenfica
  • 18.25Shots for16.00
  • 8.75Shots against9.25
  • 5.00On target for6.50
  • 2.00On target against2.25
  • 6%Shot conversion23%
  • 1.59xG for2.05
  • 0.56xG against0.48

Corners

Gil VicenteBenfica
  • 4.75Corners for4.50
  • 2.50Corners against2.50
  • 7.25Match total7.00
  • 25%Over 7.550%
  • 0%Over 8.525%
  • 0%Over 9.525%
  • 0%Over 10.50%
  • 0%Over 11.50%

Cards

Gil VicenteBenfica
  • 0.75Cards for2.25
  • 2.00Cards against3.25
  • 2.75Match total5.50
  • 25%Over 2.5100%
  • 25%Over 3.5100%
  • 25%Over 4.575%
  • 0%Over 5.550%
  • 11.25Fouls committed12.25

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
3Santa Clara9819
4Sporting CP81118
5Benfica81316
6Sp Lisbon7915
7Estrela9114
9Arouca9112
10Sp Braga6211
11Gil Vicente7111
12Sporting Braga7011
13Moreirense10-89
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Primeira Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.