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Gimhae City FC v Seongnam FC, K League 2, Sat, 28 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 34. Sat, 28 Nov 2026

Gimhae City FCHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Seongnam FCAway
LDLLDLeague form, oldest to newestDWLDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Gimhae City FC have 13 scored home results and Seongnam FC 14 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Gimhae City FC at home: 0.31 points per match (13 measured matches); Seongnam FC away: 1.07 points per match (14 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Gimhae City FC scored 0.77 per home match (13 measured matches); Seongnam FC scored 1.14 away (14). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.33 per club appearance across 446 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 19 of 27 pooled club appearances (70.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Gimhae City FC: 0 wins; Seongnam FC: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 223 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Gimhae City FC
0.76
Expected goals, Seongnam FC
1.55
Most likely score
0-1 (15%)
Three or more goals
41%
Both clubs score
42%
Gimhae City FC score at least once
53%
Seongnam FC score at least once
79%
Season sample
26 and 26 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Gimhae City FC win–
Draw–
Seongnam FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Gimhae City FC goals, columns are Seongnam FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%15%12%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%
18%12%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
23%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.38 goals) and away average (1.28 goals).

Sample. Gimhae City FC 26 matches, Seongnam FC 26, the league 223, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 223 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.573.3%26.7%
2.551.1%48.9%
3.532.4%67.6%
4.513.8%86.2%

First-half goals · 223 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.567.1%32.9%
1.529.3%70.7%
2.510.2%89.8%
3.52.2%97.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Gimhae City FC wins
1
Draws
1
Seongnam FC wins
Goals / meeting
1.50
3 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Gimhae City FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Seongnam FC clean sheets
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Gimhae City FC v Seongnam FCWed, 29 Jul 2026 · Korean Cup 20260–1HT 0–1
  2. Seongnam FC v Gimhae City FCFri, 5 Jun 2026 · K League 2 20261–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Gimhae City FC at homeLDLDLD
Seongnam FC awayLDWWLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Gimhae City FC at home, Seongnam FC away
  • 70%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 96%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 85%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 74%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 59%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 51%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 30%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 32%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 11%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 13%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.66
    13 + 14 matches
  • 74%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    13 + 14 matches
  • 26%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 29%
    13 + 14 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Gimhae City FC at home, Seongnam FC away
Gimhae City FC (home)Seongnam FC (away)
17Position11
DLDLDLast 5, oldest to newestLWWLL
13Played14
0.31Points per match1.07
0%Win %29%
0.77Scored / match1.14
2.23Conceded / match1.50
3.00Avg total goals2.64
69%Both scored71%
0%Clean sheets7%
31%Failed to score29%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Gimhae City FCSeongnam FC
  • 0.381st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.851st half conceded / match0.50
  • 0.382nd half scored / match0.64
  • 1.382nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 15%Leading at half-time29%
  • 77%1st half over 0.571%
  • 23%1st half over 1.529%
  • 77%2nd half over 0.579%
  • 54%2nd half over 1.564%
  • 0%Scored in both halves21%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Gimhae City FC at home, Seongnam FC away, this season.

Goals

Gimhae City FCSeongnam FC
  • 0.77Scored / match1.14
  • 2.23Conceded / match1.50
  • 3.00Match total / match2.64
  • 69%Scored 1+71%
  • 8%Scored 2+36%
  • 100%Conceded 1+93%
  • 69%Conceded 2+36%
  • 92%Match over 1.579%
  • 62%Match over 2.557%
  • 31%Match over 3.529%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for K League 2 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.