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Girona v Eldense, La Liga 2, Sun, 16 May 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 39. Sun, 16 May 2027

GironaHome
vKick-off 19:00 UTC
EldenseAway
WLWWDLeague form, oldest to newestWLLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Montilivi Stadium. Photo: Jmsolerb, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Girona have 5 scored home results and Eldense 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Girona at home: 1.60 points per match (5 measured matches); Eldense away: 0.75 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Girona scored 1.80 per home match (5 measured matches); Eldense scored 0.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 182 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 9 pooled club appearances (33.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Girona at home and Eldense away.

Girona at home

xG 1.71
  • Shots per match17.2
  • On target per match5.6
  • Goals per match1.8

Eldense away

xG 0.61
  • Shots per match11.5
  • On target per match3.3
  • Goals per match0.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 91 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Girona
1.81
Expected goals, Eldense
0.74
Most likely score
1-0 (14%)
Three or more goals
47%
Both clubs score
44%
Girona score at least once
84%
Eldense score at least once
52%
Season sample
8 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Girona win–
Draw–
Eldense win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Girona goals, columns are Eldense goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
08%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
114%10%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
213%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
38%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.48 goals) and away average (1.16 goals).

Sample. Girona 8 matches, Eldense 9, the league 91, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 91 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.572.0%28.0%
2.549.5%50.5%
3.532.3%67.7%
4.517.2%82.8%

First-half goals · 91 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.569.9%30.1%
1.533.3%66.7%
2.516.1%83.9%
3.54.3%95.7%

Corners · 88 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.548.9%51.1%
9.537.8%62.2%
10.525.6%74.4%

Yellow + red card events · 88 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.598.9%1.1%
1.595.6%4.4%
2.586.7%13.3%
3.581.1%18.9%
4.560.0%40.0%
5.542.2%57.8%
6.530.0%70.0%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Girona at homeDDWLWD
Eldense awayDLLLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Girona at home, Eldense away
  • 30%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 90%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 53%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 49%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 10%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 32%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 2.2
    Avg total goals
    League 2.65
    5 + 4 matches
  • 55%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 70%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 23%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 33%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 9.7
    Corners per match
    League 8.83
    5 + 4 matches
  • 43%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 49%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 38%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 25%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 4.6
    Cards per match
    League 5.30
    5 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 82%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 65%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 60%
    5 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Girona at home, Eldense away
Girona (home)Eldense (away)
5Position13
DWLWDLast 5, oldest to newestLLWL
5Played4
1.60Points per match0.75
40%Win %25%
1.80Scored / match0.25
1.00Conceded / match1.25
2.80Avg total goals1.50
60%Both scored0%
40%Clean sheets25%
20%Failed to score75%
1.71xG for0.61
1.33xG against1.42

Half by half

GironaEldense
  • 0.801st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.25
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match0.25
  • 60%Leading at half-time0%
  • 60%1st half over 0.550%
  • 20%1st half over 1.525%
  • 60%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 20%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Girona at home, Eldense away, this season.

Goals

GironaEldense
  • 1.80Scored / match0.25
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.25
  • 2.80Match total / match1.50
  • 80%Scored 1+25%
  • 40%Scored 2+0%
  • 60%Conceded 1+75%
  • 40%Conceded 2+25%
  • 80%Match over 1.525%
  • 40%Match over 2.525%
  • 20%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

GironaEldense
  • 17.20Shots for11.50
  • 11.40Shots against11.00
  • 5.60On target for3.25
  • 4.40On target against4.00
  • 11%Shot conversion2%
  • 1.71xG for0.61
  • 1.33xG against1.42

Corners

GironaEldense
  • 5.00Corners for6.25
  • 4.80Corners against3.25
  • 9.80Match total9.50
  • 80%Over 7.575%
  • 60%Over 8.525%
  • 40%Over 9.525%
  • 40%Over 10.525%
  • 40%Over 11.525%

Cards

GironaEldense
  • 2.20Cards for2.00
  • 3.20Cards against1.75
  • 5.40Match total3.75
  • 100%Over 2.575%
  • 100%Over 3.575%
  • 80%Over 4.550%
  • 20%Over 5.50%
  • 9.80Fouls committed12.50

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
3Almeria8818
4Sabadell9316
5Girona8614
6Mallorca8514
7Burgos8314
11Celta B9-111
12Las Palmas8-111
13Eldense9-111
14Tenerife8-211
15Leganes8-511
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for La Liga 2 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.