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Hapoel Kfar Shelem v Ironi Modiin, Israel National League, Fri, 30 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 12. Fri, 30 Oct 2026

Hapoel Kfar ShelemHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
Ironi ModiinAway
LDDWWLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Hapoel Kfar Shelem have 4 scored home results and Ironi Modiin 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Hapoel Kfar Shelem at home: 2.50 points per match (4 measured matches); Ironi Modiin away: 1.75 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Hapoel Kfar Shelem scored 2.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Ironi Modiin scored 2.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.54 per club appearance across 138 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 8 pooled club appearances (75.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 69 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Hapoel Kfar Shelem
2.56
Expected goals, Ironi Modiin
1.86
Most likely score
2-1 (7%)
Three or more goals
82%
Both clubs score
78%
Hapoel Kfar Shelem score at least once
92%
Ironi Modiin score at least once
84%
Season sample
8 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Hapoel Kfar Shelem win–
Draw–
Ironi Modiin win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Hapoel Kfar Shelem goals, columns are Ironi Modiin goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
01%2%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
13%6%5%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
24%7%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
33%6%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
42%4%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%2%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.52 goals) and away average (1.57 goals).

Sample. Hapoel Kfar Shelem 8 matches, Ironi Modiin 9, the league 69, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.577.5%22.5%
2.559.2%40.8%
3.538.0%62.0%
4.523.9%76.1%

First-half goals · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.570.4%29.6%
1.538.0%62.0%
2.514.1%85.9%
3.52.8%97.2%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Hapoel Kfar Shelem at homeWWDW
Ironi Modiin awayWDLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Hapoel Kfar Shelem at home, Ironi Modiin away
  • 75%
    Both teams scored
    League 55%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 78%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 59%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 38%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 23%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.09
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 71%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 38%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Hapoel Kfar Shelem at home, Ironi Modiin away
Hapoel Kfar Shelem (home)Ironi Modiin (away)
7Position13
WWDWLast 5, oldest to newestWDLW
4Played4
2.50Points per match1.75
75%Win %50%
2.75Scored / match2.00
1.50Conceded / match1.25
4.25Avg total goals3.25
75%Both scored75%
25%Clean sheets25%
0%Failed to score25%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Hapoel Kfar ShelemIroni Modiin
  • 1.251st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.251st half conceded / match0.50
  • 1.502nd half scored / match1.50
  • 1.252nd half conceded / match0.75
  • 75%Leading at half-time25%
  • 75%1st half over 0.550%
  • 50%1st half over 1.525%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 100%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 75%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Hapoel Kfar Shelem at home, Ironi Modiin away, this season.

Goals

Hapoel Kfar ShelemIroni Modiin
  • 2.75Scored / match2.00
  • 1.50Conceded / match1.25
  • 4.25Match total / match3.25
  • 100%Scored 1+75%
  • 100%Scored 2+75%
  • 75%Conceded 1+75%
  • 50%Conceded 2+25%
  • 100%Match over 1.575%
  • 75%Match over 2.575%
  • 75%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Israel National League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.