Skip to content
MatchDaySync

Harstad IL v Strømsgodset II, 3rd Division, Group 5, Sun, 1 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 26. Sun, 1 Nov 2026

Harstad ILHome
vKick-off 11:00 UTC
Strømsgodset IIAway
WWWLDLeague form, oldest to newestLLLDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Harstad IL have 11 scored home results and Strømsgodset II 11 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Harstad IL at home: 2.36 points per match (11 measured matches); Strømsgodset II away: 0.91 points per match (11 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Harstad IL scored 4.55 per home match (11 measured matches); Strømsgodset II scored 1.64 away (11). The competition's pooled scoring average was 2.25 per club appearance across 310 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 18 of 22 pooled club appearances (81.8%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Harstad IL: 0 wins; Strømsgodset II: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 155 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Harstad IL
3.60
Expected goals, Strømsgodset II
1.27
Most likely score
3-1 (8%)
Three or more goals
86%
Both clubs score
70%
Harstad IL score at least once
97%
Strømsgodset II score at least once
72%
Season sample
22 and 23 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Harstad IL win–
Draw–
Strømsgodset II win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Harstad IL goals, columns are Strømsgodset II goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
01%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
13%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
25%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
36%8%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
46%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
54%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
62%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
71%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.61 goals) and away average (1.88 goals).

Sample. Harstad IL 22 matches, Strømsgodset II 23, the league 155, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 155 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.593.6%6.4%
2.582.2%17.8%
3.563.1%36.9%
4.543.3%56.7%

First-half goals · 155 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.588.5%11.5%
1.559.9%40.1%
2.531.2%68.8%
3.514.6%85.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Harstad IL wins
1
Draws
0
Strømsgodset II wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Harstad IL clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Strømsgodset II clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Strømsgodset II v Harstad ILSat, 13 Jun 2026 · 3rd Division, Group 5 20262–2HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Harstad IL at homeWLWWWD
Strømsgodset II awayLWLLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Harstad IL at home, Strømsgodset II away
  • 82%
    Both teams scored
    League 76%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 99%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 94%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 91%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 83%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 77%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 63%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 50%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 43%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 5.0
    Avg total goals
    League 4.49
    11 + 11 matches
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 89%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 77%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 60%
    11 + 11 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Harstad IL at home, Strømsgodset II away
Harstad IL (home)Strømsgodset II (away)
4Position10
WWWWDLast 5, oldest to newestWLLLD
11Played11
2.36Points per match0.91
73%Win %27%
4.55Scored / match1.64
1.27Conceded / match2.55
5.82Avg total goals4.18
91%Both scored73%
9%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score27%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Harstad ILStrømsgodset II
  • 2.181st half scored / match0.73
  • 0.451st half conceded / match1.36
  • 2.362nd half scored / match0.91
  • 0.822nd half conceded / match1.18
  • 91%Leading at half-time27%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 91%1st half over 1.564%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.591%
  • 82%2nd half over 1.582%
  • 73%Scored in both halves36%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Harstad IL at home, Strømsgodset II away, this season.

Goals

Harstad ILStrømsgodset II
  • 4.55Scored / match1.64
  • 1.27Conceded / match2.55
  • 5.82Match total / match4.18
  • 100%Scored 1+73%
  • 91%Scored 2+46%
  • 91%Conceded 1+100%
  • 27%Conceded 2+82%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 91%Match over 2.591%
  • 91%Match over 3.564%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#ClubPGDPts
2Alta IF222845
3Fløya222445
4Harstad IL223440
5Finnsnes IL22637
6Skjetten23533
8FK Fauske/Sprint21-1131
9Lillestrøm SK 2221628
10Strømsgodset II23-227
11Skjervøy23-2127
12Tromsø IL II21-418
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for 3rd Division, Group 5 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.