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Hartlepool v Boreham Wood, National League, Sat, 3 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 43. Sat, 3 Apr 2027

HartlepoolHome
vKick-off 14:00 UTC
Boreham WoodAway
LLLLWLeague form, oldest to newestWWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Hartlepool have 6 scored home results and Boreham Wood 7 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Hartlepool at home: 1.00 points per match (6 measured matches); Boreham Wood away: 2.71 points per match (7 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Hartlepool scored 0.67 per home match (6 measured matches); Boreham Wood scored 2.43 away (7). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.55 per club appearance across 310 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 13 pooled club appearances (38.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Hartlepool: 3 wins; Boreham Wood: 3 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Hartlepool at home and Boreham Wood away.

Hartlepool at home

  • Shots per match7.7
  • On target per match3.5
  • Goals per match0.7

Boreham Wood away

  • Shots per match9.5
  • On target per match4.5
  • Goals per match2.4

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 155 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Hartlepool
0.65
Expected goals, Boreham Wood
2.26
Most likely score
0-2 (14%)
Three or more goals
56%
Both clubs score
43%
Hartlepool score at least once
48%
Boreham Wood score at least once
90%
Season sample
13 and 13 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Hartlepool win–
Draw–
Boreham Wood win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Hartlepool goals, columns are Boreham Wood goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
05%12%14%11%6%3%1%under 1%
14%8%9%7%4%2%1%under 1%
21%3%3%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.68 goals) and away average (1.42 goals).

Sample. Hartlepool 13 matches, Boreham Wood 13, the league 155, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 155 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.580.9%19.1%
2.560.5%39.5%
3.538.2%61.8%
4.521.0%79.0%

First-half goals · 155 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.573.2%26.8%
1.533.1%66.9%
2.514.0%86.0%
3.54.5%95.5%

Corners · 143 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.564.1%35.9%
9.553.8%46.2%
10.542.8%57.2%

Yellow + red card events · 143 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.597.9%2.1%
1.590.3%9.7%
2.577.9%22.1%
3.564.1%35.9%
4.540.0%60.0%
5.529.0%71.0%
6.511.7%88.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Hartlepool wins
4
Draws
3
Boreham Wood wins
Goals / meeting
2.70
27 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Hartlepool clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Boreham Wood clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
3.40
10 with card data
  1. Boreham Wood v HartlepoolSat, 11 Apr 2026 · National League 2025-263–0HT 0–0
  2. Hartlepool v Boreham WoodSat, 30 Aug 2025 · National League 2025-260–0HT 0–0
  3. Hartlepool v Boreham WoodSat, 17 Feb 2024 · National League 2023-243–1HT 1–1
  4. Boreham Wood v HartlepoolWed, 4 Oct 2023 · National League 2023-241–0HT 0–0
  5. Boreham Wood v HartlepoolMon, 5 Apr 2021 · National League 2020-212–2HT 2–1
  6. Hartlepool v Boreham WoodSat, 5 Dec 2020 · National League 2020-211–2HT 1–1
  7. Boreham Wood v HartlepoolSat, 29 Feb 2020 · National League 2019-201–1HT 1–0
  8. Hartlepool v Boreham WoodSat, 23 Nov 2019 · National League 2019-202–2HT 0–1
  9. Boreham Wood v HartlepoolSat, 16 Feb 2019 · National League 2018-190–4HT 0–1
  10. Hartlepool v Boreham WoodSat, 6 Oct 2018 · National League 2018-192–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Hartlepool at homeWLWLLL
Boreham Wood awayWWDWWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Hartlepool at home, Boreham Wood away
  • 37%
    Both teams scored
    League 63%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 99%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 67%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 81%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 44%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 61%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 23%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 38%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 7%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 21%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 3.10
    6 + 7 matches
  • 54%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 74%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 7%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 33%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 10.2
    Corners per match
    League 9.91
    6 + 6 matches
  • 58%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 64%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 54%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 43%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 3.2
    Cards per match
    League 4.24
    6 + 6 matches
  • 42%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 64%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 8%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 40%
    6 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Hartlepool at home, Boreham Wood away
Hartlepool (home)Boreham Wood (away)
20Position1
LWLLLLast 5, oldest to newestWDWWW
6Played7
1.00Points per match2.71
33%Win %86%
0.67Scored / match2.43
1.00Conceded / match0.71
1.67Avg total goals3.14
17%Both scored57%
33%Clean sheets43%
50%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

HartlepoolBoreham Wood
  • 0.171st half scored / match0.57
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.14
  • 0.502nd half scored / match1.86
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match0.57
  • 17%Leading at half-time43%
  • 50%1st half over 0.557%
  • 0%1st half over 1.514%
  • 83%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 17%2nd half over 1.586%
  • 17%Scored in both halves43%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Hartlepool at home, Boreham Wood away, this season.

Goals

HartlepoolBoreham Wood
  • 0.67Scored / match2.43
  • 1.00Conceded / match0.71
  • 1.67Match total / match3.14
  • 50%Scored 1+100%
  • 17%Scored 2+86%
  • 67%Conceded 1+57%
  • 17%Conceded 2+14%
  • 33%Match over 1.5100%
  • 17%Match over 2.571%
  • 17%Match over 3.529%

Shots and xG

HartlepoolBoreham Wood
  • 7.67Shots for9.50
  • 8.00Shots against5.83
  • 3.50On target for4.50
  • 4.67On target against2.67
  • 9%Shot conversion26%

Corners

HartlepoolBoreham Wood
  • 5.33Corners for7.00
  • 4.33Corners against3.67
  • 9.67Match total10.67
  • 83%Over 7.567%
  • 50%Over 8.567%
  • 50%Over 9.550%
  • 50%Over 10.550%
  • 33%Over 11.550%

Cards

HartlepoolBoreham Wood
  • 1.83Cards for1.17
  • 1.50Cards against1.83
  • 3.33Match total3.00
  • 83%Over 2.567%
  • 50%Over 3.533%
  • 17%Over 4.50%
  • 17%Over 5.50%
  • 16.50Fouls committed9.83

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Boreham Wood132135
2Harrogate131228
3Southend131227
18Tamworth13-914
19Wealdstone13-712
20Hartlepool13-712
21Boston Utd13-812
22Scunthorpe12-610
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for National League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.