Heerenveen vs Excelsior stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 9. Fri, 16 Oct 2026

HeerenveenHome

vResult not stored

ExcelsiorAway

DLDWLLeague form, oldest to newestWWDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Abe Lenstra Stadion. Photo: Udo Ockema, CC BY 2.5, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Heerenveen have 4 scored home results and Excelsior 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Heerenveen at home: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Excelsior away: 2.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Heerenveen scored 0.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Excelsior scored 2.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.87 per club appearance across 136 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 8 pooled club appearances (37.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Heerenveen: 5 wins; Excelsior: 3 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Heerenveen at home and Excelsior away.

Heerenveen at home

xG 1.07

Shots per match15.5
On target per match5.0
Goals per match0.8

Excelsior away

xG 1.77

Shots per match12.3
On target per match5.5
Goals per match2.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

The kick-off has passed but no result is stored, so the prediction is closed and no figure is shown.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Heerenveen wins

Draws

Excelsior wins

Goals / meeting

2.40

24 goals in 10 meetings

Both scored

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Over 1.5

60%

6 of 10 meetings

Over 2.5

60%

6 of 10 meetings

Over 3.5

10%

1 of 10 meetings

Heerenveen clean sheets

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Excelsior clean sheets

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Corners / meeting

11.30

10 with corner data

Cards / meeting

2.50

10 with card data

Excelsior v HeerenveenSat, 7 Mar 2026 · Eredivisie 2025-261–2HT 0–1
Heerenveen v ExcelsiorSat, 4 Oct 2025 · Eredivisie 2025-262–1HT 0–1
Excelsior v HeerenveenFri, 19 Jan 2024 · Eredivisie 2023-243–0HT 2–0
Heerenveen v ExcelsiorSat, 23 Sept 2023 · Eredivisie 2023-240–3HT 0–2
Heerenveen v ExcelsiorSat, 13 May 2023 · Eredivisie 2022-230–0HT 0–0
Excelsior v HeerenveenSat, 5 Nov 2022 · Eredivisie 2022-230–1HT 0–0
Heerenveen v ExcelsiorSat, 30 Mar 2019 · Eredivisie 2018-191–0HT 0–0
Excelsior v HeerenveenSat, 22 Sept 2018 · Eredivisie 2018-193–3HT 2–0
Heerenveen v ExcelsiorSat, 24 Feb 2018 · Eredivisie 2017-180–1HT 0–1
Excelsior v HeerenveenSat, 16 Sept 2017 · Eredivisie 2017-181–2HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Heerenveen at homeLLLDWW

Excelsior awayWWWWDD

Sat, 19 Sept@ Ajax2–2C 0–9 · Y 2–1
Tue, 8 Sept@ Nijmegen2–2C 4–2 · Y 3–1
Sat, 5 Sept@ Willem II3–0C 6–7 · Y 1–2
Fri, 7 Aug@ Cambuur4–0C 8–5 · Y 0–0
Sun, 17 May@ Sparta Rotterdam3–2C 2–5 · Y 0–4
Sat, 2 May@ Groningen3–2C 8–5 · Y 0–0

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Heerenveen at home, Excelsior away

38%
Both teams scored
League 69%
4 + 4 matches
88%
Over 0.5 goals
League 99%
4 + 4 matches
75%
Over 1.5 goals
League 91%
4 + 4 matches
63%
Over 2.5 goals
League 72%
4 + 4 matches
50%
Over 3.5 goals
League 60%
4 + 4 matches
13%
Over 4.5 goals
League 31%
4 + 4 matches
2.9
Avg total goals
League 3.74
4 + 4 matches
63%
1st half over 0.5
League 82%
4 + 4 matches
63%
1st half over 1.5
League 50%
4 + 4 matches
10.3
Corners per match
League 10.44
4 + 4 matches
63%
Corners over 8.5
League 73%
4 + 4 matches
50%
Corners over 9.5
League 56%
4 + 4 matches
50%
Corners over 10.5
League 52%
4 + 4 matches
2.6
Cards per match
League 2.71
4 + 4 matches
13%
Cards over 3.5
League 32%
4 + 4 matches
0%
Cards over 4.5
League 14%
4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Heerenveen at home, Excelsior away

Heerenveen (home)		Excelsior (away)
10	Position	7
WLLD	Last 5, oldest to newest	WWDD
4	Played	4
1.00	Points per match	2.00
25%	Win %	50%
0.75	Scored / match	2.75
1.25	Conceded / match	1.00
2.00	Avg total goals	3.75
25%	Both scored	50%
50%	Clean sheets	50%
50%	Failed to score	0%
1.07	xG for	1.77
1.27	xG against	1.32

Half by half

HeerenveenExcelsior

0.501st half scored / match1.75
0.251st half conceded / match0.50
0.252nd half scored / match1.00
1.002nd half conceded / match0.50
25%Leading at half-time50%
25%1st half over 0.5100%
25%1st half over 1.5100%
75%2nd half over 0.5100%
50%2nd half over 1.550%
0%Scored in both halves100%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Heerenveen at home, Excelsior away, this season.

Goals

HeerenveenExcelsior

0.75Scored / match2.75
1.25Conceded / match1.00
2.00Match total / match3.75
50%Scored 1+100%
25%Scored 2+100%
50%Conceded 1+50%
50%Conceded 2+50%
50%Match over 1.5100%
25%Match over 2.5100%
25%Match over 3.575%

Shots and xG

HeerenveenExcelsior

15.50Shots for12.25
16.25Shots against17.75
5.00On target for5.50
5.00On target against3.75
5%Shot conversion22%
1.07xG for1.77
1.27xG against1.32

Corners

HeerenveenExcelsior

5.25Corners for4.50
5.00Corners against5.75
10.25Match total10.25
75%Over 7.575%
50%Over 8.575%
50%Over 9.550%
50%Over 10.550%
50%Over 11.550%

Cards

HeerenveenExcelsior

1.50Cards for1.50
1.25Cards against1.00
2.75Match total2.50
75%Over 2.575%
0%Over 3.525%
0%Over 4.50%
0%Over 5.50%
8.75Fouls committed13.25

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
5	Ajax	8	12	15
6	For Sittard	8	-1	14
7	Excelsior	7	6	11
8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	11
9	Groningen	7	2	11
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	Nijmegen	8	-1	9
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	-7	6

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Eredivisie matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.