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Heroes de Zaci FC v Vaqueros Reynosa FC, Liga Premier Serie A, Sat, 23 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 17. Sat, 23 Jan 2027

Heroes de Zaci FCHome
vKick-off 01:00 UTC
Vaqueros Reynosa FCAway
DLDLLLeague form, oldest to newestDLWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Heroes de Zaci FC have 1 scored home results and Vaqueros Reynosa FC 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Heroes de Zaci FC at home: 0.00 points per match (1 measured matches); Vaqueros Reynosa FC away: 2.00 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Heroes de Zaci FC scored 0.00 per home match (1 measured match); Vaqueros Reynosa FC scored 2.33 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.66 per club appearance across 118 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 4 pooled club appearances (75.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Heroes de Zaci FC: 0 wins; Vaqueros Reynosa FC: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 59 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Heroes de Zaci FC
0.57
Expected goals, Vaqueros Reynosa FC
1.77
Most likely score
0-1 (17%)
Three or more goals
41%
Both clubs score
36%
Heroes de Zaci FC score at least once
44%
Vaqueros Reynosa FC score at least once
83%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Heroes de Zaci FC win–
Draw–
Vaqueros Reynosa FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Heroes de Zaci FC goals, columns are Vaqueros Reynosa FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%17%15%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%
16%10%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
22%3%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.10 goals) and away average (1.22 goals).

Sample. Heroes de Zaci FC 6 matches, Vaqueros Reynosa FC 6, the league 59, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 14 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 59 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.585.2%14.8%
2.567.2%32.8%
3.537.7%62.3%
4.526.2%73.8%

First-half goals · 59 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.3%19.7%
1.550.8%49.2%
2.523.0%77.0%
3.56.6%93.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Heroes de Zaci FC wins
1
Draws
0
Vaqueros Reynosa FC wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
2 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Heroes de Zaci FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Vaqueros Reynosa FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Vaqueros Reynosa FC v Heroes de Zaci FCTue, 15 Sept 2026 · Liga Premier Serie A 2026-271–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Heroes de Zaci FC at homeL
Vaqueros Reynosa FC awayWLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Heroes de Zaci FC at home, Vaqueros Reynosa FC away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 68%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 25%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 3.32
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 81%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 51%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Heroes de Zaci FC at home, Vaqueros Reynosa FC away
Heroes de Zaci FC (home)Vaqueros Reynosa FC (away)
18Position3
LLast 5, oldest to newestWLW
1Played3
0.00Points per match2.00
0%Win %67%
0.00Scored / match2.33
1.00Conceded / match2.00
1.00Avg total goals4.33
0%Both scored100%
0%Clean sheets0%
100%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Heroes de Zaci FCVaqueros Reynosa FC
  • 0.001st half scored / match0.67
  • 1.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.002nd half scored / match1.67
  • 0.002nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time33%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.533%
  • 0%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.5100%
  • 0%Scored in both halves67%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Heroes de Zaci FC at home, Vaqueros Reynosa FC away, this season.

Goals

Heroes de Zaci FCVaqueros Reynosa FC
  • 0.00Scored / match2.33
  • 1.00Conceded / match2.00
  • 1.00Match total / match4.33
  • 0%Scored 1+100%
  • 0%Scored 2+67%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+67%
  • 0%Match over 1.5100%
  • 0%Match over 2.5100%
  • 0%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga Premier Serie A matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.