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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Vegalta Sendai, J2 League, Sat, 15 May 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 37. Sat, 15 May 2027

Hokkaido Consadole SapporoHome
vKick-off 09:00 UTC
Vegalta SendaiAway
DDLWLLeague form, oldest to newestDWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have 5 scored home results and Vegalta Sendai 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo at home: 1.40 points per match (5 measured matches); Vegalta Sendai away: 2.50 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo scored 1.40 per home match (5 measured matches); Vegalta Sendai scored 1.83 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.27 per club appearance across 192 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 11 pooled club appearances (54.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo: 3 wins; Vegalta Sendai: 2 wins; draws: 5.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 96 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0.72
Expected goals, Vegalta Sendai
2.06
Most likely score
0-2 (13%)
Three or more goals
52%
Both clubs score
45%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo score at least once
51%
Vegalta Sendai score at least once
87%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo win–
Draw–
Vegalta Sendai win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo goals, columns are Vegalta Sendai goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
06%13%13%9%5%2%1%under 1%
14%9%9%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%
22%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.41 goals) and away average (1.13 goals).

Sample. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 9 matches, Vegalta Sendai 9, the league 96, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 8 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 96 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.572.4%27.6%
2.546.9%53.1%
3.525.5%74.5%
4.514.3%85.7%

First-half goals · 96 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.3%33.7%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.511.2%88.8%
3.55.1%94.9%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo wins
5
Draws
2
Vegalta Sendai wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
30 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Vegalta Sendai clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Vegalta Sendai v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSun, 13 Sept 2026 · J2 League 2026-271–1HT 1–1
  2. Vegalta Sendai v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSat, 10 Jul 2021 · J1 League 20211–1
  3. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Vegalta SendaiSat, 24 Apr 2021 · J1 League 20212–1
  4. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Vegalta SendaiSat, 3 Oct 2020 · J1 League 20203–3
  5. Vegalta Sendai v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSat, 18 Jul 2020 · J1 League 20202–2
  6. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Vegalta SendaiSat, 14 Sept 2019 · J1 League 20191–3
  7. Vegalta Sendai v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSun, 30 Jun 2019 · J1 League 20192–1
  8. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Vegalta SendaiSun, 4 Nov 2018 · J1 League 20181–0
  9. Vegalta Sendai v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSat, 28 Apr 2018 · J1 League 20182–2
  10. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Vegalta SendaiSat, 26 Aug 2017 · J1 League 20171–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo at homeLLLDLW
Vegalta Sendai awayWWLWWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo at home, Vegalta Sendai away
  • 57%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 47%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 47%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 37%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 20%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.53
    5 + 6 matches
  • 90%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 37%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 32%
    5 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo at home, Vegalta Sendai away
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (home)Vegalta Sendai (away)
19Position1
WLLDWLast 5, oldest to newestWWWWW
5Played6
1.40Points per match2.50
40%Win %83%
1.40Scored / match1.83
2.00Conceded / match0.67
3.40Avg total goals2.50
80%Both scored33%
20%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score17%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Hokkaido Consadole SapporoVegalta Sendai
  • 0.401st half scored / match1.17
  • 0.801st half conceded / match0.33
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.67
  • 1.202nd half conceded / match0.33
  • 40%Leading at half-time83%
  • 80%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 40%1st half over 1.533%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 80%2nd half over 1.517%
  • 40%Scored in both halves67%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo at home, Vegalta Sendai away, this season.

Goals

Hokkaido Consadole SapporoVegalta Sendai
  • 1.40Scored / match1.83
  • 2.00Conceded / match0.67
  • 3.40Match total / match2.50
  • 100%Scored 1+83%
  • 40%Scored 2+67%
  • 80%Conceded 1+50%
  • 40%Conceded 2+17%
  • 100%Match over 1.583%
  • 60%Match over 2.533%
  • 40%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for J2 League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.