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Hungry Lions FC v Cape Town City FC, Motsepe Foundation Championship, Sat, 13 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 23. Sat, 13 Mar 2027

Hungry Lions FCHome
vKick-off 13:30 UTC
Cape Town City FCAway
DLWDWLeague form, oldest to newestLDWWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Hungry Lions FC have 3 scored home results and Cape Town City FC 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Hungry Lions FC at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Cape Town City FC away: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Hungry Lions FC scored 2.00 per home match (3 measured matches); Cape Town City FC scored 1.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 0.95 per club appearance across 92 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 2 of 6 pooled club appearances (33.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Hungry Lions FC: 0 wins; Cape Town City FC: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 46 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Hungry Lions FC
1.17
Expected goals, Cape Town City FC
1.02
Most likely score
1-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
37%
Both clubs score
44%
Hungry Lions FC score at least once
69%
Cape Town City FC score at least once
64%
Season sample
6 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Hungry Lions FC win–
Draw–
Cape Town City FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Hungry Lions FC goals, columns are Cape Town City FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
011%11%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%13%7%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (0.98 goals) and away average (0.91 goals).

Sample. Hungry Lions FC 6 matches, Cape Town City FC 5, the league 46, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 18 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 46 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.554.2%45.8%
2.525.0%75.0%
3.514.6%85.4%
4.58.3%91.7%

First-half goals · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Hungry Lions FC wins
0
Draws
1
Cape Town City FC wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Hungry Lions FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Cape Town City FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Cape Town City FC v Hungry Lions FCSun, 6 Sept 2026 · Motsepe Foundation Championship 2026-272–1HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Hungry Lions FCDDLWDW
Cape Town City FCLDWWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Hungry Lions FC at home, Cape Town City FC away
  • 33%
    Both teams scored
    League 37%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 89%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 54%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 24%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 13%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 7%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 2.2
    Avg total goals
    League 1.89
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 18%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Hungry Lions FC at home, Cape Town City FC away
Hungry Lions FC (home)Cape Town City FC (away)
6Position7
DWWLast 5, oldest to newestLWD
3Played3
2.33Points per match1.33
67%Win %33%
2.00Scored / match1.00
0.67Conceded / match0.67
2.67Avg total goals1.67
33%Both scored33%
67%Clean sheets67%
0%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Hungry Lions FCCape Town City FC
  • 0.501st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.001st half conceded / match0.00
  • 1.502nd half scored / match0.00
  • 0.002nd half conceded / match0.00
  • 50%Leading at half-time50%
  • 50%1st half over 0.550%
  • 0%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.50%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 50%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Hungry Lions FC at home, Cape Town City FC away, this season.

Goals

Hungry Lions FCCape Town City FC
  • 2.00Scored / match1.00
  • 0.67Conceded / match0.67
  • 2.67Match total / match1.67
  • 100%Scored 1+67%
  • 100%Scored 2+33%
  • 33%Conceded 1+33%
  • 33%Conceded 2+33%
  • 100%Match over 1.567%
  • 33%Match over 2.533%
  • 33%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Motsepe Foundation Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.