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MatchDaySync

Ipswich v Hull, Premier League, Sat, 23 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 22. Sat, 23 Jan 2027

IpswichHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
HullAway
LLWLWLeague form, oldest to newestWWDDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Ipswich have 3 scored home results and Hull 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Ipswich at home: 2.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Hull away: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Ipswich scored 1.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Hull scored 1.33 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.44 per club appearance across 112 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 6 pooled club appearances (66.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Ipswich: 4 wins; Hull: 4 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Ipswich at home and Hull away.

Ipswich at home

xG 1.28
  • Shots per match12.0
  • On target per match4.0
  • Goals per match1.3

Hull away

xG 1.23
  • Shots per match14.0
  • On target per match3.7
  • Goals per match1.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 56 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Ipswich
0.91
Expected goals, Hull
1.51
Most likely score
0-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
44%
Both clubs score
47%
Ipswich score at least once
60%
Hull score at least once
78%
Season sample
6 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Ipswich win–
Draw–
Hull win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Ipswich goals, columns are Hull goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%13%10%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
18%12%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
24%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.57 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. Ipswich 6 matches, Hull 5, the league 56, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 56 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.1%25.9%
2.553.4%46.6%
3.534.5%65.5%
4.520.7%79.3%

First-half goals · 56 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.558.6%41.4%
1.537.9%62.1%
2.517.2%82.8%
3.56.9%93.1%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.548.1%51.9%
9.544.2%55.8%
10.536.5%63.5%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.2%3.8%
1.588.5%11.5%
2.575.0%25.0%
3.553.8%46.2%
4.538.5%61.5%
5.521.2%78.8%
6.57.7%92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Ipswich wins
2
Draws
4
Hull wins
Goals / meeting
2.70
27 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Ipswich clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Hull clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.70
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.40
10 with card data
  1. Ipswich v HullTue, 3 Mar 2026 · EFL Championship 2025-261–0HT 0–0
  2. Hull v IpswichTue, 25 Nov 2025 · EFL Championship 2025-260–2HT 0–0
  3. Hull v IpswichSat, 27 Apr 2024 · EFL Championship 2023-243–3HT 1–2
  4. Ipswich v HullTue, 3 Oct 2023 · EFL Championship 2023-243–0HT 2–0
  5. Hull v IpswichTue, 23 Feb 2021 · EFL League One 2020-210–1HT 0–1
  6. Ipswich v HullTue, 24 Nov 2020 · EFL League One 2020-210–3HT 0–2
  7. Ipswich v HullSat, 30 Mar 2019 · EFL Championship 2018-190–2HT 0–1
  8. Hull v IpswichSat, 15 Sept 2018 · EFL Championship 2018-192–0HT 1–0
  9. Ipswich v HullTue, 13 Mar 2018 · EFL Championship 2017-180–3HT 0–2
  10. Hull v IpswichSat, 18 Nov 2017 · EFL Championship 2017-182–2HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Ipswich at homeWWWLLW
Hull awayLDWLDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Ipswich at home, Hull away
  • 67%
    Both teams scored
    League 54%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 20%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.87
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 59%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 37%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 9.3
    Corners per match
    League 9.38
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 48%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 44%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 36%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 4.4
    Cards per match
    League 3.88
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 54%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 38%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Ipswich at home, Hull away
Ipswich (home)Hull (away)
9Position10
WLWLast 5, oldest to newestWDL
3Played3
2.00Points per match1.33
67%Win %33%
1.33Scored / match1.33
1.33Conceded / match1.33
2.67Avg total goals2.67
67%Both scored67%
0%Clean sheets33%
33%Failed to score0%
1.28xG for1.23
0.67xG against1.21

Half by half

IpswichHull
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.67
  • 1.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match0.33
  • 0%Leading at half-time33%
  • 67%1st half over 0.567%
  • 67%1st half over 1.567%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 33%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Ipswich at home, Hull away, this season.

Goals

IpswichHull
  • 1.33Scored / match1.33
  • 1.33Conceded / match1.33
  • 2.67Match total / match2.67
  • 67%Scored 1+100%
  • 67%Scored 2+33%
  • 100%Conceded 1+67%
  • 33%Conceded 2+67%
  • 100%Match over 1.567%
  • 67%Match over 2.567%
  • 0%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

IpswichHull
  • 12.00Shots for14.00
  • 10.50Shots against11.67
  • 4.00On target for3.67
  • 5.50On target against5.00
  • 8%Shot conversion10%
  • 1.28xG for1.23
  • 0.67xG against1.21

Corners

IpswichHull
  • 3.50Corners for4.33
  • 4.00Corners against6.67
  • 7.50Match total11.00
  • 50%Over 7.5100%
  • 0%Over 8.567%
  • 0%Over 9.567%
  • 0%Over 10.567%
  • 0%Over 11.533%

Cards

IpswichHull
  • 0.50Cards for4.33
  • 3.00Cards against1.00
  • 3.50Match total5.33
  • 100%Over 2.5100%
  • 50%Over 3.5100%
  • 0%Over 4.5100%
  • 0%Over 5.533%
  • 9.00Fouls committed10.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
7Liverpool539
8Everton539
9Ipswich6-39
10Hull528
11Newcastle508
12Man United606
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Premier League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.