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Juventus v Bologna, Serie A, Sun, 21 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 25. Sun, 21 Feb 2027

JuventusHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
BolognaAway
WWDLWLeague form, oldest to newestLLDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Juventus Stadium. Photo: forzaq8 from kuwait, kuwait, CC BY 2.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Juventus have 3 scored home results and Bologna 2 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Juventus at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Bologna away: 0.00 points per match (2 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Juventus scored 1.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Bologna scored 0.00 away (2). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.45 per club appearance across 106 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 1 of 5 pooled club appearances (20.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Juventus: 4 wins; Bologna: 0 wins; draws: 6.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Juventus at home and Bologna away.

Juventus at home

xG 1.53
  • Shots per match16.3
  • On target per match5.3
  • Goals per match1.7

Bologna away

xG 0.83
  • Shots per match10.5
  • On target per match2.5
  • Goals per match0.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 53 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Juventus
1.41
Expected goals, Bologna
0.31
Most likely score
1-0 (25%)
Three or more goals
25%
Both clubs score
20%
Juventus score at least once
76%
Bologna score at least once
27%
Season sample
5 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Juventus win–
Draw–
Bologna win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Juventus goals, columns are Bologna goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
018%6%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
125%8%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
218%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
38%3%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.55 goals) and away average (1.36 goals).

Sample. Juventus 5 matches, Bologna 5, the league 53, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 53 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.8%18.2%
2.556.4%43.6%
3.527.3%72.7%
4.518.2%81.8%

First-half goals · 53 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.565.5%34.5%
1.534.5%65.5%
2.516.4%83.6%
3.59.1%90.9%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.555.8%44.2%
9.542.3%57.7%
10.534.6%65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.592.3%7.7%
1.578.8%21.2%
2.567.3%32.7%
3.546.2%53.8%
4.525.0%75.0%
5.517.3%82.7%
6.53.8%96.2%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Juventus wins
6
Draws
0
Bologna wins
Goals / meeting
2.60
26 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Juventus clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Bologna clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
7.90
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.10
10 with card data
  1. Juventus v BolognaSun, 19 Apr 2026 · Serie A 2025-262–0HT 1–0
  2. Bologna v JuventusSun, 14 Dec 2025 · Serie A 2025-260–1HT 0–0
  3. Bologna v JuventusSun, 4 May 2025 · Serie A 2024-251–1HT 0–1
  4. Juventus v BolognaSat, 7 Dec 2024 · Serie A 2024-252–2HT 0–1
  5. Bologna v JuventusMon, 20 May 2024 · Serie A 2023-243–3HT 2–0
  6. Juventus v BolognaSun, 27 Aug 2023 · Serie A 2023-241–1HT 0–1
  7. Bologna v JuventusSun, 30 Apr 2023 · Serie A 2022-231–1HT 1–0
  8. Juventus v BolognaSun, 2 Oct 2022 · Serie A 2022-233–0HT 1–0
  9. Juventus v BolognaSat, 16 Apr 2022 · Serie A 2021-221–1HT 0–0
  10. Bologna v JuventusSat, 18 Dec 2021 · Serie A 2021-220–2HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Juventus at homeDLWDWW
Bologna awayLWWLLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Juventus at home, Bologna away
  • 17%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 100%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 83%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 57%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 17%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 1.5
    Avg total goals
    League 2.91
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 8.1
    Corners per match
    League 9.50
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 56%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 42%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 34%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 2.5
    Cards per match
    League 3.32
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 46%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 24%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Juventus at home, Bologna away
Juventus (home)Bologna (away)
7Position19
WDWLast 5, oldest to newestLL
3Played2
2.33Points per match0.00
67%Win %0%
1.67Scored / match0.00
0.33Conceded / match1.00
2.00Avg total goals1.00
33%Both scored0%
67%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score100%
1.53xG for0.83
0.31xG against0.68

Half by half

JuventusBologna
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.001st half conceded / match0.00
  • 1.332nd half scored / match0.00
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 33%Leading at half-time0%
  • 33%1st half over 0.50%
  • 0%1st half over 1.50%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 67%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 33%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Juventus at home, Bologna away, this season.

Goals

JuventusBologna
  • 1.67Scored / match0.00
  • 0.33Conceded / match1.00
  • 2.00Match total / match1.00
  • 100%Scored 1+0%
  • 67%Scored 2+0%
  • 33%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+0%
  • 100%Match over 1.50%
  • 0%Match over 2.50%
  • 0%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

JuventusBologna
  • 16.33Shots for10.50
  • 6.00Shots against10.00
  • 5.33On target for2.50
  • 2.00On target against2.50
  • 10%Shot conversion0%
  • 1.53xG for0.83
  • 0.31xG against0.68

Corners

JuventusBologna
  • 7.00Corners for1.00
  • 2.67Corners against5.50
  • 9.67Match total6.50
  • 100%Over 7.550%
  • 67%Over 8.550%
  • 33%Over 9.550%
  • 33%Over 10.50%
  • 33%Over 11.50%

Cards

JuventusBologna
  • 1.33Cards for0.50
  • 2.67Cards against0.50
  • 4.00Match total1.00
  • 100%Over 2.50%
  • 67%Over 3.50%
  • 33%Over 4.50%
  • 0%Over 5.50%
  • 14.33Fouls committed11.50

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
5Milan5611
6Napoli6410
7Juventus5410
8Como5310
9Frosinone6210
17Parma6-64
18Fiorentina6-74
19Bologna5-32
20Venezia5-90
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie A matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.