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Kolding IF v Esbjerg, Betinia Liga, Fri, 4 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 17. Fri, 4 Dec 2026

Kolding IFHome
vKick-off 18:00 UTC
EsbjergAway
WLDDDLeague form, oldest to newestLLDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Kolding IF have 5 scored home results and Esbjerg 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Kolding IF at home: 1.00 points per match (5 measured matches); Esbjerg away: 0.60 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Kolding IF scored 1.00 per home match (5 measured matches); Esbjerg scored 1.20 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.40 per club appearance across 118 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 10 pooled club appearances (60.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Kolding IF: 0 wins; Esbjerg: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 59 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Kolding IF
1.76
Expected goals, Esbjerg
1.19
Most likely score
1-1 (11%)
Three or more goals
57%
Both clubs score
58%
Kolding IF score at least once
83%
Esbjerg score at least once
69%
Season sample
10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Kolding IF win–
Draw–
Esbjerg win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Kolding IF goals, columns are Esbjerg goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
05%6%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
19%11%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%10%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.42 goals) and away average (1.37 goals).

Sample. Kolding IF 10 matches, Esbjerg 10, the league 59, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 8 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 59 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.7%21.3%
2.554.1%45.9%
3.531.1%68.9%
4.513.1%86.9%

First-half goals · 59 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.4%24.6%
1.534.4%65.6%
2.514.8%85.2%
3.54.9%95.1%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Kolding IF wins
1
Draws
0
Esbjerg wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
2 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Kolding IF clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Esbjerg clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Esbjerg v Kolding IFSat, 25 Jul 2026 · Betinia Liga 2026-271–1HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Kolding IF at homeLLWLDD
Esbjerg awayLLWLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Kolding IF at home, Esbjerg away
  • 60%
    Both teams scored
    League 63%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 90%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 31%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 2.9
    Avg total goals
    League 2.80
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 40%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Kolding IF at home, Esbjerg away
Kolding IF (home)Esbjerg (away)
9Position12
LLWDDLast 5, oldest to newestWLLLL
5Played5
1.00Points per match0.60
20%Win %20%
1.00Scored / match1.20
1.20Conceded / match2.40
2.20Avg total goals3.60
60%Both scored60%
20%Clean sheets0%
40%Failed to score40%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Kolding IFEsbjerg
  • 0.601st half scored / match0.60
  • 0.601st half conceded / match0.40
  • 0.402nd half scored / match0.60
  • 0.602nd half conceded / match2.00
  • 20%Leading at half-time20%
  • 80%1st half over 0.560%
  • 40%1st half over 1.540%
  • 60%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 20%2nd half over 1.580%
  • 20%Scored in both halves40%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Kolding IF at home, Esbjerg away, this season.

Goals

Kolding IFEsbjerg
  • 1.00Scored / match1.20
  • 1.20Conceded / match2.40
  • 2.20Match total / match3.60
  • 60%Scored 1+60%
  • 40%Scored 2+40%
  • 80%Conceded 1+100%
  • 20%Conceded 2+80%
  • 60%Match over 1.580%
  • 40%Match over 2.580%
  • 20%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
7AB10312
8Vendsyssel FF9-410
9Kolding IF10-29
10Hillerød Fodbold10-39
11HB Køge9-67
12Esbjerg10-96
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Betinia Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.