Skip to content
MatchDaySync

Kolos Kovalivka v Bukovyna Chernivtsi, Ukrainian Premier League, Sat, 15 May 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 27. Sat, 15 May 2027

Kolos KovalivkaHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
Bukovyna ChernivtsiAway
DDLWWLeague form, oldest to newestLWDDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Kolos Kovalivka have 3 scored home results and Bukovyna Chernivtsi 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Kolos Kovalivka at home: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Bukovyna Chernivtsi away: 0.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Kolos Kovalivka scored 1.00 per home match (3 measured matches); Bukovyna Chernivtsi scored 0.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.18 per club appearance across 108 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 1 of 6 pooled club appearances (16.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 54 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Kolos Kovalivka
1.08
Expected goals, Bukovyna Chernivtsi
0.65
Most likely score
1-0 (19%)
Three or more goals
25%
Both clubs score
31%
Kolos Kovalivka score at least once
66%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi score at least once
48%
Season sample
7 and 7 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Kolos Kovalivka win–
Draw–
Bukovyna Chernivtsi win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Kolos Kovalivka goals, columns are Bukovyna Chernivtsi goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
018%12%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
119%12%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.35 goals) and away average (1.00 goals).

Sample. Kolos Kovalivka 7 matches, Bukovyna Chernivtsi 7, the league 54, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 54 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.573.2%26.8%
2.546.4%53.6%
3.519.6%80.4%
4.510.7%89.3%

First-half goals · 54 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.564.3%35.7%
1.526.8%73.2%
2.58.9%91.1%
3.53.6%96.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Kolos Kovalivka at homeDLLW
Bukovyna Chernivtsi awayLWDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Kolos Kovalivka at home, Bukovyna Chernivtsi away
  • 17%
    Both teams scored
    League 39%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 83%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 74%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 46%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 19%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 9%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 1.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.35
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 65%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 26%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Kolos Kovalivka at home, Bukovyna Chernivtsi away
Kolos Kovalivka (home)Bukovyna Chernivtsi (away)
7Position12
DLWLast 5, oldest to newestLDL
3Played3
1.33Points per match0.33
33%Win %0%
1.00Scored / match0.00
1.00Conceded / match1.67
2.00Avg total goals1.67
33%Both scored0%
33%Clean sheets33%
67%Failed to score100%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Kolos KovalivkaBukovyna Chernivtsi
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.00
  • 1.001st half conceded / match0.67
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.00
  • 0.002nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time0%
  • 67%1st half over 0.533%
  • 67%1st half over 1.533%
  • 33%2nd half over 0.567%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 33%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Kolos Kovalivka at home, Bukovyna Chernivtsi away, this season.

Goals

Kolos KovalivkaBukovyna Chernivtsi
  • 1.00Scored / match0.00
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.67
  • 2.00Match total / match1.67
  • 33%Scored 1+0%
  • 33%Scored 2+0%
  • 67%Conceded 1+67%
  • 33%Conceded 2+67%
  • 67%Match over 1.567%
  • 33%Match over 2.533%
  • 33%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Ukrainian Premier League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.