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Kyoto v Vissel Kobe, J1 League, Wed, 14 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 16. Wed, 14 Apr 2027

KyotoHome
vKick-off 10:00 UTC
Vissel KobeAway
DLLWLLeague form, oldest to newestWWWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Kyoto have 4 scored home results and Vissel Kobe 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Kyoto at home: 0.75 points per match (4 measured matches); Vissel Kobe away: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Kyoto scored 1.25 per home match (4 measured matches); Vissel Kobe scored 1.20 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.46 per club appearance across 180 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 9 pooled club appearances (44.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 8. Kyoto: 4 wins; Vissel Kobe: 3 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 90 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Kyoto
0.90
Expected goals, Vissel Kobe
1.75
Most likely score
0-1 (12%)
Three or more goals
50%
Both clubs score
49%
Kyoto score at least once
59%
Vissel Kobe score at least once
83%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Kyoto win–
Draw–
Vissel Kobe win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Kyoto goals, columns are Vissel Kobe goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
07%12%11%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
16%11%10%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
23%5%4%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.57 goals) and away average (1.34 goals).

Sample. Kyoto 9 matches, Vissel Kobe 9, the league 90, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 13 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 90 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.3%21.7%
2.553.3%46.7%
3.531.5%68.5%
4.518.5%81.5%

First-half goals · 90 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.567.4%32.6%
1.535.9%64.1%
2.512.0%88.0%
3.52.2%97.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

8 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Kyoto wins
1
Draws
3
Vissel Kobe wins
Goals / meeting
2.75
22 goals in 8 meetings
Both scored
50%
4 of 8 meetings
Over 1.5
88%
7 of 8 meetings
Over 2.5
50%
4 of 8 meetings
Over 3.5
25%
2 of 8 meetings
Kyoto clean sheets
38%
3 of 8 meetings
Vissel Kobe clean sheets
13%
1 of 8 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Kyoto v Vissel KobeSat, 6 Dec 2025 · J1 League 20252–0
  2. Vissel Kobe v KyotoWed, 26 Feb 2025 · J1 League 20251–1
  3. Kyoto v Vissel KobeSun, 6 Oct 2024 · J1 League 20242–3
  4. Vissel Kobe v KyotoSat, 27 Apr 2024 · J1 League 20240–1
  5. Vissel Kobe v KyotoSun, 3 Sept 2023 · J1 League 20232–1
  6. Kyoto v Vissel KobeSat, 1 Apr 2023 · J1 League 20230–3
  7. Kyoto v Vissel KobeSat, 3 Sept 2022 · J1 League 20222–0
  8. Vissel Kobe v KyotoSat, 2 Apr 2022 · J1 League 20221–3

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Kyoto at homeLWWLWL
Vissel Kobe awayLWLWWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Kyoto at home, Vissel Kobe away
  • 48%
    Both teams scored
    League 59%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 58%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 48%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 35%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 31%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 23%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 18%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.91
    4 + 5 matches
  • 78%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 68%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 36%
    4 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Kyoto at home, Vissel Kobe away
Kyoto (home)Vissel Kobe (away)
16Position5
LWLLLast 5, oldest to newestWLWWL
4Played5
0.75Points per match1.80
25%Win %60%
1.25Scored / match1.20
2.00Conceded / match1.00
3.25Avg total goals2.20
75%Both scored20%
0%Clean sheets60%
25%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

KyotoVissel Kobe
  • 0.751st half scored / match0.40
  • 0.501st half conceded / match0.40
  • 0.502nd half scored / match0.80
  • 1.502nd half conceded / match0.60
  • 50%Leading at half-time40%
  • 75%1st half over 0.580%
  • 50%1st half over 1.50%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.560%
  • 75%2nd half over 1.520%
  • 25%Scored in both halves20%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Kyoto at home, Vissel Kobe away, this season.

Goals

KyotoVissel Kobe
  • 1.25Scored / match1.20
  • 2.00Conceded / match1.00
  • 3.25Match total / match2.20
  • 75%Scored 1+80%
  • 50%Scored 2+40%
  • 100%Conceded 1+40%
  • 50%Conceded 2+20%
  • 75%Match over 1.540%
  • 75%Match over 2.520%
  • 50%Match over 3.520%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for J1 League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.