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La Coruna v Malaga, La Liga, Sun, 7 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 23. Sun, 7 Feb 2027

La CorunaHome
vKick-off 19:00 UTC
MalagaAway
WWDLDLeague form, oldest to newestDDLLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Estadio Municipal de Abanca Riazor. Photo: Albert galiza, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, La Coruna have 4 scored home results and Malaga 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: La Coruna at home: 1.25 points per match (4 measured matches); Malaga away: 0.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. La Coruna scored 1.25 per home match (4 measured matches); Malaga scored 0.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.50 per club appearance across 146 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 8 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. La Coruna: 1 wins; Malaga: 3 wins; draws: 6.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, La Coruna at home and Malaga away.

La Coruna at home

xG 1.00
  • Shots per match11.8
  • On target per match4.3
  • Goals per match1.3

Malaga away

xG 0.45
  • Shots per match10.5
  • On target per match2.0
  • Goals per match0.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 73 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, La Coruna
1.75
Expected goals, Malaga
0.33
Most likely score
1-0 (22%)
Three or more goals
35%
Both clubs score
23%
La Coruna score at least once
83%
Malaga score at least once
28%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

La Coruna win–
Draw–
Malaga win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are La Coruna goals, columns are Malaga goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
012%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
122%7%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
219%6%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
311%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
45%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
52%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.70 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. La Coruna 7 matches, Malaga 8, the league 73, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 73 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.576.0%24.0%
2.556.0%44.0%
3.537.3%62.7%
4.522.7%77.3%

First-half goals · 73 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.7%33.3%
1.546.7%53.3%
2.517.3%82.7%
3.56.7%93.3%

Corners · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.550.7%49.3%
9.549.3%50.7%
10.539.4%60.6%

Yellow + red card events · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.595.8%4.2%
1.587.3%12.7%
2.576.1%23.9%
3.562.0%38.0%
4.547.9%52.1%
5.533.8%66.2%
6.514.1%85.9%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
La Coruna wins
6
Draws
3
Malaga wins
Goals / meeting
1.90
19 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
10%
1 of 10 meetings
La Coruna clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Malaga clean sheets
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
12.10
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.60
10 with card data
  1. Malaga v La CorunaMon, 24 Aug 2026 · La Liga 2026-271–1HT 1–1
  2. La Coruna v MalagaSat, 4 Apr 2026 · La Liga 2 2025-261–1HT 0–0
  3. Malaga v La CorunaSun, 12 Oct 2025 · La Liga 2 2025-263–0HT 2–0
  4. Malaga v La CorunaSat, 11 Jan 2025 · La Liga 2 2024-251–1HT 0–0
  5. La Coruna v MalagaSun, 6 Oct 2024 · La Liga 2 2024-250–0HT 0–0
  6. Malaga v La CorunaWed, 8 Jul 2020 · La Liga 2 2019-201–0HT 0–0
  7. La Coruna v MalagaSun, 20 Oct 2019 · La Liga 2 2019-200–2HT 0–1
  8. Malaga v La CorunaSun, 24 Feb 2019 · La Liga 2 2018-190–0HT 0–0
  9. La Coruna v MalagaSun, 7 Oct 2018 · La Liga 2 2018-191–1HT 0–0
  10. La Coruna v MalagaFri, 6 Apr 2018 · La Liga 2017-183–2HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
La Coruna at homeWLDWLD
Malaga awayWLLLDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
La Coruna at home, Malaga away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 77%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 56%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 22%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 2.3
    Avg total goals
    League 3.00
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 47%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 10.5
    Corners per match
    League 9.65
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 51%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 39%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.9
    Cards per match
    League 4.29
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 62%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 48%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
La Coruna at home, Malaga away
La Coruna (home)Malaga (away)
7Position19
DWLDLast 5, oldest to newestLLDL
4Played4
1.25Points per match0.25
25%Win %0%
1.25Scored / match0.25
1.00Conceded / match2.00
2.25Avg total goals2.25
75%Both scored25%
0%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score75%
1.00xG for0.45
1.07xG against1.55

Half by half

La CorunaMalaga
  • 0.751st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.501st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.502nd half scored / match0.25
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 50%Leading at half-time0%
  • 75%1st half over 0.550%
  • 25%1st half over 1.525%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.525%
  • 25%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

La Coruna at home, Malaga away, this season.

Goals

La CorunaMalaga
  • 1.25Scored / match0.25
  • 1.00Conceded / match2.00
  • 2.25Match total / match2.25
  • 75%Scored 1+25%
  • 25%Scored 2+0%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+50%
  • 75%Match over 1.575%
  • 25%Match over 2.525%
  • 25%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

La CorunaMalaga
  • 11.75Shots for10.50
  • 11.25Shots against17.75
  • 4.25On target for2.00
  • 5.00On target against6.50
  • 11%Shot conversion2%
  • 1.00xG for0.45
  • 1.07xG against1.55

Corners

La CorunaMalaga
  • 5.50Corners for5.25
  • 5.00Corners against5.25
  • 10.50Match total10.50
  • 100%Over 7.550%
  • 50%Over 8.550%
  • 50%Over 9.550%
  • 25%Over 10.550%
  • 25%Over 11.550%

Cards

La CorunaMalaga
  • 2.00Cards for2.00
  • 2.00Cards against1.75
  • 4.00Match total3.75
  • 75%Over 2.550%
  • 75%Over 3.550%
  • 25%Over 4.550%
  • 25%Over 5.525%
  • 13.00Fouls committed11.50

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
5Sevilla7113
6Alaves8411
7La Coruna7210
8Sociedad7-410
9Ath Bilbao618
17Levante6-45
18Elche7-65
19Malaga8-94
19Valencia7-94
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for La Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.