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Lausanne v FC Thun, Swiss Super League, Sun, 1 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 12. Sun, 1 Nov 2026

LausanneHome
vKick-off 15:30 UTC
FC ThunAway
LLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Lausanne have 6 scored home results and FC Thun 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Lausanne at home: 0.33 points per match (6 measured matches); FC Thun away: 1.50 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Lausanne scored 0.83 per home match (6 measured matches); FC Thun scored 2.50 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.97 per club appearance across 186 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 12 pooled club appearances (75.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Lausanne: 0 wins; FC Thun: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 93 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Lausanne
0.91
Expected goals, FC Thun
1.58
Most likely score
0-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
46%
Both clubs score
48%
Lausanne score at least once
60%
FC Thun score at least once
79%
Season sample
12 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Lausanne win–
Draw–
FC Thun win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Lausanne goals, columns are FC Thun goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
08%13%10%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
18%12%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
23%5%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.97 goals) and away average (1.97 goals).

Sample. Lausanne 12 matches, FC Thun 10, the league 93, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 93 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.588.4%11.6%
2.580.0%20.0%
3.556.8%43.2%
4.538.9%61.1%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.581.4%18.6%
1.549.2%50.8%
2.523.7%76.3%
3.58.5%91.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Lausanne wins
1
Draws
0
FC Thun wins
Goals / meeting
0.00
0 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Lausanne clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
FC Thun clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. FC Thun v LausanneWed, 2 Sept 2026 · Swiss Super League 2026-270–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Lausanne at homeDDLLLL
FC Thun awayWLWLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Lausanne at home, FC Thun away
  • 75%
    Both teams scored
    League 72%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 89%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 83%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 81%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 75%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 57%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 42%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 39%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 4.3
    Avg total goals
    League 3.94
    6 + 6 matches
  • 80%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 82%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 49%
    5 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Lausanne at home, FC Thun away
Lausanne (home)FC Thun (away)
15Position14
DLLLLLast 5, oldest to newestLWLWL
6Played6
0.33Points per match1.50
0%Win %50%
0.83Scored / match2.50
2.50Conceded / match2.67
3.33Avg total goals5.17
50%Both scored100%
0%Clean sheets0%
50%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

LausanneFC Thun
  • 0.401st half scored / match0.83
  • 0.201st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.602nd half scored / match1.67
  • 2.002nd half conceded / match1.67
  • 40%Leading at half-time33%
  • 60%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.567%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.5100%
  • 20%Scored in both halves83%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Lausanne at home, FC Thun away, this season.

Goals

LausanneFC Thun
  • 0.83Scored / match2.50
  • 2.50Conceded / match2.67
  • 3.33Match total / match5.17
  • 50%Scored 1+100%
  • 33%Scored 2+100%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 67%Conceded 2+67%
  • 83%Match over 1.5100%
  • 67%Match over 2.5100%
  • 67%Match over 3.583%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
11FC St. Gallen 18799-313
13Thun9-810
14FC Thun10-1010
15Lausanne12-147
16Vaduz9-36
16FC Vaduz9-36
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Swiss Super League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.