Skip to content
MatchDaySync

Laval v Rodez, Ligue 2, Sat, 22 May 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 34. Sat, 22 May 2027

LavalHome
vKick-off 16:45 UTC
RodezAway
LLLDLLeague form, oldest to newestDLLLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Laval have 4 scored home results and Rodez 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Laval at home: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Rodez away: 0.75 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Laval scored 1.00 per home match (4 measured matches); Rodez scored 1.50 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.27 per club appearance across 142 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 8 pooled club appearances (62.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 9. Laval: 5 wins; Rodez: 2 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Laval at home and Rodez away.

Laval at home

xG 1.04
  • Shots per match15.0
  • On target per match4.5
  • Goals per match1.0

Rodez away

xG 1.31
  • Shots per match15.3
  • On target per match4.7
  • Goals per match1.5

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 71 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Laval
2.34
Expected goals, Rodez
2.77
Most likely score
2-2 (6%)
Three or more goals
88%
Both clubs score
85%
Laval score at least once
90%
Rodez score at least once
94%
Season sample
8 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Laval win–
Draw–
Rodez win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Laval goals, columns are Rodez goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
01%2%2%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%
11%4%5%5%3%2%1%under 1%
22%5%6%6%4%2%1%under 1%
31%4%5%5%3%2%1%under 1%
41%2%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.34 goals) and away average (1.20 goals).

Sample. Laval 8 matches, Rodez 8, the league 71, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 71 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.1%32.9%
2.543.8%56.2%
3.528.8%71.2%
4.516.4%83.6%

First-half goals · 71 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.558.9%41.1%
1.531.5%68.5%
2.513.7%86.3%
3.52.7%97.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.558.5%41.5%
9.536.9%63.1%
10.530.8%69.2%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.9%3.1%
1.592.3%7.7%
2.573.8%26.2%
3.553.8%46.2%
4.540.0%60.0%
5.524.6%75.4%
6.57.7%92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

9 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

5
Laval wins
2
Draws
2
Rodez wins
Goals / meeting
2.44
22 goals in 9 meetings
Both scored
67%
6 of 9 meetings
Over 1.5
67%
6 of 9 meetings
Over 2.5
56%
5 of 9 meetings
Over 3.5
33%
3 of 9 meetings
Laval clean sheets
22%
2 of 9 meetings
Rodez clean sheets
22%
2 of 9 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.11
9 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.78
9 with card data
  1. Rodez v LavalSat, 8 Aug 2026 · Ligue 2 2026-273–1HT 0–0
  2. Laval v RodezFri, 24 Apr 2026 · Ligue 2 2025-260–0HT 0–0
  3. Rodez v LavalFri, 22 Aug 2025 · Ligue 2 2025-261–1HT 1–0
  4. Laval v RodezFri, 18 Apr 2025 · Ligue 2 2024-252–1HT 1–0
  5. Rodez v LavalTue, 24 Sept 2024 · Ligue 2 2024-251–3HT 1–0
  6. Rodez v LavalSat, 27 Jan 2024 · Ligue 2 2023-241–2HT 0–0
  7. Laval v RodezSat, 19 Aug 2023 · Ligue 2 2023-241–0HT 0–0
  8. Rodez v LavalSat, 15 Apr 2023 · Ligue 2 2022-231–0HT 1–0
  9. Laval v RodezFri, 13 Jan 2023 · Ligue 2 2022-233–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Laval at homeDWWLLD
Rodez awayDWLWLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Laval at home, Rodez away
  • 63%
    Both teams scored
    League 56%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 89%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 68%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 44%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 28%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 15%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.54
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 59%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 31%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 11.1
    Corners per match
    League 8.95
    4 + 3 matches
  • 88%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 59%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 63%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 37%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 46%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 30%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 4.0
    Cards per match
    League 3.94
    4 + 3 matches
  • 54%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 54%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 54%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 40%
    4 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Laval at home, Rodez away
Laval (home)Rodez (away)
18Position15
WLLDLast 5, oldest to newestLWLL
4Played4
1.00Points per match0.75
25%Win %25%
1.00Scored / match1.50
1.75Conceded / match2.50
2.75Avg total goals4.00
75%Both scored50%
0%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score50%
1.04xG for1.31
1.35xG against2.35

Half by half

LavalRodez
  • 0.251st half scored / match0.50
  • 1.251st half conceded / match1.75
  • 0.752nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match0.75
  • 0%Leading at half-time0%
  • 75%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 75%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.525%
  • 25%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Laval at home, Rodez away, this season.

Goals

LavalRodez
  • 1.00Scored / match1.50
  • 1.75Conceded / match2.50
  • 2.75Match total / match4.00
  • 75%Scored 1+50%
  • 25%Scored 2+25%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 50%Conceded 2+100%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 75%Match over 2.550%
  • 0%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

LavalRodez
  • 15.00Shots for15.33
  • 12.25Shots against15.00
  • 4.50On target for4.67
  • 4.50On target against6.67
  • 7%Shot conversion13%
  • 1.04xG for1.31
  • 1.35xG against2.35

Corners

LavalRodez
  • 5.25Corners for6.67
  • 4.00Corners against6.33
  • 9.25Match total13.00
  • 100%Over 7.5100%
  • 75%Over 8.5100%
  • 25%Over 9.5100%
  • 25%Over 10.567%
  • 0%Over 11.567%

Cards

LavalRodez
  • 2.25Cards for1.00
  • 2.75Cards against2.00
  • 5.00Match total3.00
  • 75%Over 2.533%
  • 75%Over 3.533%
  • 75%Over 4.533%
  • 50%Over 5.50%
  • 14.00Fouls committed13.67

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
13Nantes8-48
14Grenoble8-58
15Rodez8-47
16Boulogne8-26
17Clermont8-36
18Laval8-75
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Ligue 2 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.