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MatchDaySync

Leeds v Tottenham, Premier League, Sat, 7 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 10. Sat, 7 Nov 2026

LeedsHome
vKick-off 12:30 UTC
TottenhamAway
DDWDLLeague form, oldest to newestLDDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Elland Road. Photo: Arne Müseler , cropped by Blackcat / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Leeds have 3 scored home results and Tottenham 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Leeds at home: 1.67 points per match (3 measured matches); Tottenham away: 0.67 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Leeds scored 1.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Tottenham scored 0.33 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.44 per club appearance across 112 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 6 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 8. Leeds: 1 wins; Tottenham: 6 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Leeds at home and Tottenham away.

Leeds at home

xG 1.55
  • Shots per match13.3
  • On target per match3.3
  • Goals per match1.7

Tottenham away

xG 0.82
  • Shots per match10.0
  • On target per match2.0
  • Goals per match0.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 56 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Leeds
1.52
Expected goals, Tottenham
0.26
Most likely score
1-0 (26%)
Three or more goals
26%
Both clubs score
18%
Leeds score at least once
78%
Tottenham score at least once
23%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Leeds win–
Draw–
Tottenham win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Leeds goals, columns are Tottenham goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
017%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
126%7%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
219%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
310%3%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
44%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.57 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. Leeds 6 matches, Tottenham 6, the league 56, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 56 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.1%25.9%
2.553.4%46.6%
3.534.5%65.5%
4.520.7%79.3%

First-half goals · 56 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.558.6%41.4%
1.537.9%62.1%
2.517.2%82.8%
3.56.9%93.1%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.548.1%51.9%
9.544.2%55.8%
10.536.5%63.5%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.2%3.8%
1.588.5%11.5%
2.575.0%25.0%
3.553.8%46.2%
4.538.5%61.5%
5.521.2%78.8%
6.57.7%92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

8 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Leeds wins
1
Draws
6
Tottenham wins
Goals / meeting
3.88
31 goals in 8 meetings
Both scored
75%
6 of 8 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
8 of 8 meetings
Over 2.5
88%
7 of 8 meetings
Over 3.5
50%
4 of 8 meetings
Leeds clean sheets
0%
0 of 8 meetings
Tottenham clean sheets
25%
2 of 8 meetings
Corners / meeting
11.25
8 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.13
8 with card data
  1. Tottenham v LeedsMon, 11 May 2026 · Premier League 2025-261–1HT 0–0
  2. Leeds v TottenhamSat, 4 Oct 2025 · Premier League 2025-261–2HT 1–1
  3. Leeds v TottenhamSun, 28 May 2023 · Premier League 2022-231–4HT 0–1
  4. Tottenham v LeedsSat, 12 Nov 2022 · Premier League 2022-234–3HT 1–2
  5. Leeds v TottenhamSat, 26 Feb 2022 · Premier League 2021-220–4HT 0–3
  6. Tottenham v LeedsSun, 21 Nov 2021 · Premier League 2021-222–1HT 0–1
  7. Leeds v TottenhamSat, 8 May 2021 · Premier League 2020-213–1HT 2–1
  8. Tottenham v LeedsSat, 2 Jan 2021 · Premier League 2020-213–0HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Leeds at homeWWWDWD
Tottenham awayWLLDLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Leeds at home, Tottenham away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 54%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 20%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 2.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.87
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 59%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 37%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 10.2
    Corners per match
    League 9.38
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 83%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 48%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 83%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 44%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 36%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 3.5
    Cards per match
    League 3.88
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 54%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 38%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Leeds at home, Tottenham away
Leeds (home)Tottenham (away)
6Position18
DWDLast 5, oldest to newestLDD
3Played3
1.67Points per match0.67
33%Win %0%
1.67Scored / match0.33
0.67Conceded / match1.33
2.33Avg total goals1.67
67%Both scored33%
33%Clean sheets33%
33%Failed to score67%
1.55xG for0.82
1.16xG against2.40

Half by half

LeedsTottenham
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.67
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.33
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match0.67
  • 33%Leading at half-time0%
  • 67%1st half over 0.533%
  • 33%1st half over 1.533%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.567%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 33%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Leeds at home, Tottenham away, this season.

Goals

LeedsTottenham
  • 1.67Scored / match0.33
  • 0.67Conceded / match1.33
  • 2.33Match total / match1.67
  • 67%Scored 1+33%
  • 33%Scored 2+0%
  • 67%Conceded 1+67%
  • 0%Conceded 2+33%
  • 67%Match over 1.567%
  • 33%Match over 2.533%
  • 33%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

LeedsTottenham
  • 13.33Shots for10.00
  • 13.67Shots against19.00
  • 3.33On target for2.00
  • 4.67On target against5.00
  • 13%Shot conversion0%
  • 1.55xG for0.82
  • 1.16xG against2.40

Corners

LeedsTottenham
  • 4.67Corners for6.50
  • 4.67Corners against4.50
  • 9.33Match total11.00
  • 67%Over 7.5100%
  • 67%Over 8.5100%
  • 67%Over 9.5100%
  • 33%Over 10.550%
  • 0%Over 11.550%

Cards

LeedsTottenham
  • 1.00Cards for1.50
  • 3.00Cards against1.50
  • 4.00Match total3.00
  • 100%Over 2.550%
  • 67%Over 3.550%
  • 33%Over 4.50%
  • 0%Over 5.50%
  • 7.67Fouls committed14.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
4Brentford6610
5Chelsea6210
6Leeds639
7Liverpool539
8Everton539
16Sunderland6-64
17Bournemouth6-63
18Tottenham6-63
19Coventry5-93
20Fulham6-42
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Premier League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.