Skip to content
MatchDaySync

Les Herbiers v Aviron Bayonnais FC, National 1, Sat, 13 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 20. Sat, 13 Mar 2027

Les HerbiersHome
vKick-off 17:00 UTC
Aviron Bayonnais FCAway
LLWLWLeague form, oldest to newestWWWDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Les Herbiers have 2 scored home results and Aviron Bayonnais FC 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Les Herbiers at home: 0.00 points per match (2 measured matches); Aviron Bayonnais FC away: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Les Herbiers scored 0.50 per home match (2 measured matches); Aviron Bayonnais FC scored 2.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.18 per club appearance across 286 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 5 pooled club appearances (60.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Les Herbiers: 1 wins; Aviron Bayonnais FC: 0 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 143 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Les Herbiers
0.61
Expected goals, Aviron Bayonnais FC
1.43
Most likely score
0-1 (19%)
Three or more goals
33%
Both clubs score
35%
Les Herbiers score at least once
46%
Aviron Bayonnais FC score at least once
76%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Les Herbiers win–
Draw–
Aviron Bayonnais FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Les Herbiers goals, columns are Aviron Bayonnais FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
013%19%13%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%
18%11%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
22%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.22 goals) and away average (1.13 goals).

Sample. Les Herbiers 6 matches, Aviron Bayonnais FC 6, the league 143, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 26 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 143 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.566.2%33.8%
2.544.1%55.9%
3.525.5%74.5%
4.57.6%92.4%

First-half goals · 142 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.0%34.0%
1.531.3%68.8%
2.59.7%90.3%
3.53.5%96.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Les Herbiers wins
0
Draws
0
Aviron Bayonnais FC wins
Goals / meeting
1.00
1 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Les Herbiers clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Aviron Bayonnais FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Aviron Bayonnais FC v Les HerbiersFri, 2 Oct 2026 · National 1 2026-270–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Les HerbiersDLLWLW
Aviron Bayonnais FCWWWWDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Les Herbiers at home, Aviron Bayonnais FC away
  • 58%
    Both teams scored
    League 50%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 87%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 66%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 44%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 7%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 2.5
    Avg total goals
    League 2.36
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 31%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Les Herbiers at home, Aviron Bayonnais FC away
Les Herbiers (home)Aviron Bayonnais FC (away)
28Position6
LLLast 5, oldest to newestWWD
2Played3
0.00Points per match2.33
0%Win %67%
0.50Scored / match2.00
1.50Conceded / match1.00
2.00Avg total goals3.00
50%Both scored67%
0%Clean sheets33%
50%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Les HerbiersAviron Bayonnais FC
  • 0.501st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.001st half conceded / match0.33
  • 0.002nd half scored / match1.00
  • 1.502nd half conceded / match0.67
  • 50%Leading at half-time67%
  • 50%1st half over 0.567%
  • 0%1st half over 1.533%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 0%Scored in both halves67%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Les Herbiers at home, Aviron Bayonnais FC away, this season.

Goals

Les HerbiersAviron Bayonnais FC
  • 0.50Scored / match2.00
  • 1.50Conceded / match1.00
  • 2.00Match total / match3.00
  • 50%Scored 1+100%
  • 0%Scored 2+67%
  • 100%Conceded 1+67%
  • 50%Conceded 2+33%
  • 50%Match over 1.567%
  • 50%Match over 2.567%
  • 0%Match over 3.567%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for National 1 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.