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Llandudno FC v Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC, Cymru Premier, Fri, 12 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 25. Fri, 12 Feb 2027

Llandudno FCHome
vKick-off 19:45 UTC
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFCAway
DLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestLDDWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Llandudno FC have 7 scored home results and Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC 7 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Llandudno FC at home: 1.86 points per match (7 measured matches); Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC away: 0.71 points per match (7 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Llandudno FC scored 1.71 per home match (7 measured matches); Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC scored 0.86 away (7). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.64 per club appearance across 208 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 8 of 14 pooled club appearances (57.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 104 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Llandudno FC
1.88
Expected goals, Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
0.91
Most likely score
1-0 (12%)
Three or more goals
53%
Both clubs score
51%
Llandudno FC score at least once
85%
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC score at least once
60%
Season sample
13 and 13 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Llandudno FC win–
Draw–
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Llandudno FC goals, columns are Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
06%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
112%10%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
211%10%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
37%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.78 goals) and away average (1.51 goals).

Sample. Llandudno FC 13 matches, Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC 13, the league 104, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 104 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.579.2%20.8%
2.560.4%39.6%
3.538.7%61.3%
4.525.5%74.5%

First-half goals · 104 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.574.5%25.5%
1.539.6%60.4%
2.522.6%77.4%
3.510.4%89.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Llandudno FC at homeWWWDLL
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC awayLWLLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Llandudno FC at home, Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC away
  • 57%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    7 + 7 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 99%
    7 + 7 matches
  • 79%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    7 + 7 matches
  • 43%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 61%
    7 + 7 matches
  • 36%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 38%
    7 + 7 matches
  • 21%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 25%
    7 + 7 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.29
    7 + 7 matches
  • 64%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 75%
    7 + 7 matches
  • 29%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 39%
    7 + 7 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Llandudno FC at home, Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC away
Llandudno FC (home)Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC (away)
10Position11
WWDLLLast 5, oldest to newestWLLLD
7Played7
1.86Points per match0.71
57%Win %14%
1.71Scored / match0.86
1.29Conceded / match1.71
3.00Avg total goals2.57
57%Both scored57%
29%Clean sheets14%
14%Failed to score29%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Llandudno FCBriton Ferry Llansawel AFC
  • 0.571st half scored / match0.43
  • 0.861st half conceded / match0.71
  • 1.142nd half scored / match0.43
  • 0.432nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 14%Leading at half-time29%
  • 57%1st half over 0.571%
  • 43%1st half over 1.514%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.586%
  • 57%2nd half over 1.529%
  • 43%Scored in both halves14%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Llandudno FC at home, Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC away, this season.

Goals

Llandudno FCBriton Ferry Llansawel AFC
  • 1.71Scored / match0.86
  • 1.29Conceded / match1.71
  • 3.00Match total / match2.57
  • 86%Scored 1+71%
  • 57%Scored 2+14%
  • 71%Conceded 1+86%
  • 29%Conceded 2+43%
  • 86%Match over 1.571%
  • 43%Match over 2.543%
  • 43%Match over 3.529%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Cymru Premier matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.