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Logroño United v Costa Adeje Tenerife, Liga F Moeve, Sun, 7 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 19. Sun, 7 Feb 2027

Logroño UnitedHome
vKick-off 11:00 UTC
Costa Adeje TenerifeAway
LWLLLLeague form, oldest to newestDDLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Logroño United have 3 scored home results and Costa Adeje Tenerife 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Logroño United at home: 1.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Costa Adeje Tenerife away: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Logroño United scored 0.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Costa Adeje Tenerife scored 1.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.43 per club appearance across 96 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 6 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Logroño United: 0 wins; Costa Adeje Tenerife: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 48 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Logroño United
1.09
Expected goals, Costa Adeje Tenerife
0.80
Most likely score
1-0 (16%)
Three or more goals
29%
Both clubs score
37%
Logroño United score at least once
67%
Costa Adeje Tenerife score at least once
55%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Logroño United win–
Draw–
Costa Adeje Tenerife win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Logroño United goals, columns are Costa Adeje Tenerife goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
015%12%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
116%13%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
29%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.46 goals) and away average (1.40 goals).

Sample. Logroño United 6 matches, Costa Adeje Tenerife 6, the league 48, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 24 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 48 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.562.0%38.0%
2.550.0%50.0%
3.540.0%60.0%
4.524.0%76.0%

First-half goals · 48 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.562.0%38.0%
1.538.0%62.0%
2.518.0%82.0%
3.510.0%90.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Logroño United wins
0
Draws
1
Costa Adeje Tenerife wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Logroño United clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Costa Adeje Tenerife clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Costa Adeje Tenerife v Logroño UnitedSun, 4 Oct 2026 · Liga F Moeve 2026-272–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Logroño UnitedWLWLLL
Costa Adeje TenerifeLDDLWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Logroño United at home, Costa Adeje Tenerife away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 44%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 92%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 63%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 50%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 40%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 23%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.85
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 62%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 37%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Logroño United at home, Costa Adeje Tenerife away
Logroño United (home)Costa Adeje Tenerife (away)
12Position9
LWLLast 5, oldest to newestLDW
3Played3
1.00Points per match1.33
33%Win %33%
0.67Scored / match1.00
1.33Conceded / match2.33
2.00Avg total goals3.33
33%Both scored67%
0%Clean sheets0%
67%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Logroño UnitedCosta Adeje Tenerife
  • 0.001st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.67
  • 0.672nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match1.67
  • 0%Leading at half-time0%
  • 67%1st half over 0.533%
  • 0%1st half over 1.533%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.5100%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Logroño United at home, Costa Adeje Tenerife away, this season.

Goals

Logroño UnitedCosta Adeje Tenerife
  • 0.67Scored / match1.00
  • 1.33Conceded / match2.33
  • 2.00Match total / match3.33
  • 33%Scored 1+67%
  • 33%Scored 2+33%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 33%Conceded 2+33%
  • 67%Match over 1.5100%
  • 33%Match over 2.567%
  • 0%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga F Moeve matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.