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Mainz v Leverkusen, Bundesliga, Sat, 17 May 2025: statistics and head to head

2024-25. Sat, 17 May 2025

MainzHome
22Full time, half-time 1–0

Draw. Goal margin: 0.

DLDWDLeague form, oldest to newestDWDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Mewa Arena. Photo: Steffen Prößdorf, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Mainz have 16 scored home results and Leverkusen 16 scored away results stored in 2024-25. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Mainz at home: 1.56 points per match (16 measured matches); Leverkusen away: 2.13 points per match (16 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Mainz scored 1.38 per home match (16 measured matches); Leverkusen scored 2.13 away (16). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.56 per club appearance across 594 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 21 of 32 pooled club appearances (65.6%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Mainz: 2 wins; Leverkusen: 7 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10
Second half12

The match in numbers

MainzLeverkusen
  • 20Shots7
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 7Corners3
  • 14Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards6
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Mainz

  • Shots20
  • On target6
  • Goals2

30% of shots on target, 33% of those scored.

Leverkusen

  • Shots7
  • On target4
  • Goals2

57% of shots on target, 50% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
Mainz wins
1
Draws
7
Leverkusen wins
Goals / meeting
2.70
27 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Mainz clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Leverkusen clean sheets
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
8.90
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
6.20
10 with card data
  1. Leverkusen v MainzTue, 14 Jan 2025 · Bundesliga 2024-251–0HT 0–0
  2. Leverkusen v MainzFri, 23 Feb 2024 · Bundesliga 2023-242–1HT 1–1
  3. Mainz v LeverkusenSat, 30 Sept 2023 · Bundesliga 2023-240–3HT 0–1
  4. Leverkusen v MainzSun, 19 Feb 2023 · Bundesliga 2022-232–3HT 1–2
  5. Mainz v LeverkusenSat, 27 Aug 2022 · Bundesliga 2022-230–3HT 0–3
  6. Mainz v LeverkusenFri, 18 Feb 2022 · Bundesliga 2021-223–2HT 0–1
  7. Leverkusen v MainzSat, 25 Sept 2021 · Bundesliga 2021-221–0HT 0–0
  8. Leverkusen v MainzSat, 13 Feb 2021 · Bundesliga 2020-212–2HT 1–0
  9. Mainz v LeverkusenSat, 17 Oct 2020 · Bundesliga 2020-210–1HT 0–1
  10. Leverkusen v MainzSat, 27 Jun 2020 · Bundesliga 2019-201–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Mainz at home, Leverkusen away
  • 68%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 94%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 91%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 81%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 47%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 60%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 38%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 43%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 15%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 21%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 2.9
    Avg total goals
    League 3.13
    17 + 17 matches
  • 82%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 41%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 44%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 9.4
    Corners per match
    League 9.64
    17 + 17 matches
  • 53%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 60%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 51%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 41%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 4.3
    Cards per match
    League 4.04
    17 + 17 matches
  • 68%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 56%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 38%
    17 + 17 matches

Stored season context, 2024-25

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2024-25

Mainz at home, Leverkusen away
Mainz (home)Leverkusen (away)
6Position2
DDDDDLast 5, oldest to newestWWDDD
17Played17
1.53Points per match2.06
35%Win %53%
1.41Scored / match2.12
1.06Conceded / match1.24
2.47Avg total goals3.35
59%Both scored77%
29%Clean sheets24%
18%Failed to score6%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

MainzLeverkusen
  • 0.711st half scored / match1.24
  • 0.471st half conceded / match0.53
  • 0.712nd half scored / match0.88
  • 0.592nd half conceded / match0.71
  • 47%Leading at half-time59%
  • 77%1st half over 0.588%
  • 29%1st half over 1.553%
  • 82%2nd half over 0.577%
  • 35%2nd half over 1.535%
  • 35%Scored in both halves29%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Mainz at home, Leverkusen away, this season.

Goals

MainzLeverkusen
  • 1.41Scored / match2.12
  • 1.06Conceded / match1.24
  • 2.47Match total / match3.35
  • 82%Scored 1+94%
  • 53%Scored 2+71%
  • 71%Conceded 1+77%
  • 35%Conceded 2+41%
  • 94%Match over 1.588%
  • 35%Match over 2.559%
  • 24%Match over 3.553%

Shots and xG

MainzLeverkusen
  • 13.12Shots for12.29
  • 11.29Shots against11.35
  • 4.76On target for4.76
  • 3.65On target against4.59
  • 11%Shot conversion17%

Corners

MainzLeverkusen
  • 5.82Corners for5.06
  • 3.76Corners against4.06
  • 9.59Match total9.12
  • 77%Over 7.565%
  • 59%Over 8.547%
  • 53%Over 9.547%
  • 47%Over 10.529%
  • 24%Over 11.524%

Cards

MainzLeverkusen
  • 2.41Cards for1.76
  • 2.82Cards against1.65
  • 5.24Match total3.41
  • 88%Over 2.565%
  • 88%Over 3.547%
  • 65%Over 4.535%
  • 35%Over 5.512%
  • 12.18Fouls committed10.00

The table, 2024-25

#ClubPGDPts
1Bayern Munich346782
2Leverkusen342969
3Ein Frankfurt342260
4Dortmund342057
5Freiburg34-455
6Mainz341252
7RB Leipzig34551
8Werder Bremen34-351
Full table →

Where to watch

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.