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Mainz v Wolfsburg, Bundesliga, Sat, 19 Apr 2025: statistics and head to head

2024-25. Sat, 19 Apr 2025

MainzHome
22Full time, half-time 2–1
WolfsburgAway

Draw. Goal margin: 0.

DLDWDLeague form, oldest to newestDLLDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Mewa Arena. Photo: Steffen Prößdorf, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Mainz have 14 scored home results and Wolfsburg 14 scored away results stored in 2024-25. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Mainz at home: 1.64 points per match (14 measured matches); Wolfsburg away: 1.64 points per match (14 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Mainz scored 1.36 per home match (14 measured matches); Wolfsburg scored 1.86 away (14). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.55 per club appearance across 522 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 16 of 28 pooled club appearances (57.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Mainz: 3 wins; Wolfsburg: 6 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half21
Second half01

The match in numbers

MainzWolfsburg
  • 18Shots16
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 7Corners5
  • 15Fouls8
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Mainz

  • Shots18
  • On target7
  • Goals2

39% of shots on target, 29% of those scored.

Wolfsburg

  • Shots16
  • On target4
  • Goals2

25% of shots on target, 50% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Mainz wins
1
Draws
6
Wolfsburg wins
Goals / meeting
3.80
38 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
10 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Mainz clean sheets
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Wolfsburg clean sheets
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.80
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.10
10 with card data
  1. Wolfsburg v MainzSun, 8 Dec 2024 · Bundesliga 2024-254–3HT 1–2
  2. Wolfsburg v MainzSat, 18 May 2024 · Bundesliga 2023-241–3HT 1–1
  3. Mainz v WolfsburgSat, 13 Jan 2024 · Bundesliga 2023-241–1HT 0–1
  4. Wolfsburg v MainzSun, 30 Apr 2023 · Bundesliga 2022-233–0HT 3–0
  5. Mainz v WolfsburgSat, 5 Nov 2022 · Bundesliga 2022-230–3HT 0–1
  6. Wolfsburg v MainzFri, 22 Apr 2022 · Bundesliga 2021-225–0HT 5–0
  7. Mainz v WolfsburgSat, 4 Dec 2021 · Bundesliga 2021-223–0HT 2–0
  8. Wolfsburg v MainzSat, 22 May 2021 · Bundesliga 2020-212–3HT 0–1
  9. Mainz v WolfsburgTue, 19 Jan 2021 · Bundesliga 2020-210–2HT 0–0
  10. Wolfsburg v MainzSun, 23 Feb 2020 · Bundesliga 2019-204–0HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Mainz at home, Wolfsburg away
  • 59%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 94%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 82%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 81%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 47%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 60%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 35%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 43%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 12%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 21%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.13
    17 + 17 matches
  • 71%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 35%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 44%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 10.0
    Corners per match
    League 9.64
    17 + 17 matches
  • 65%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 60%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 62%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 51%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 44%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 41%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 4.8
    Cards per match
    League 4.04
    17 + 17 matches
  • 68%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 56%
    17 + 17 matches
  • 53%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 38%
    17 + 17 matches

Stored season context, 2024-25

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2024-25

Mainz at home, Wolfsburg away
Mainz (home)Wolfsburg (away)
6Position11
DDDDDLast 5, oldest to newestLLDLW
17Played17
1.53Points per match1.59
35%Win %47%
1.41Scored / match1.71
1.06Conceded / match1.41
2.47Avg total goals3.12
59%Both scored59%
29%Clean sheets24%
18%Failed to score24%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

MainzWolfsburg
  • 0.711st half scored / match0.94
  • 0.471st half conceded / match0.47
  • 0.712nd half scored / match0.76
  • 0.592nd half conceded / match0.94
  • 47%Leading at half-time41%
  • 77%1st half over 0.565%
  • 29%1st half over 1.541%
  • 82%2nd half over 0.582%
  • 35%2nd half over 1.559%
  • 35%Scored in both halves35%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Mainz at home, Wolfsburg away, this season.

Goals

MainzWolfsburg
  • 1.41Scored / match1.71
  • 1.06Conceded / match1.41
  • 2.47Match total / match3.12
  • 82%Scored 1+77%
  • 53%Scored 2+59%
  • 71%Conceded 1+77%
  • 35%Conceded 2+29%
  • 94%Match over 1.571%
  • 35%Match over 2.559%
  • 24%Match over 3.547%

Shots and xG

MainzWolfsburg
  • 13.12Shots for12.12
  • 11.29Shots against15.12
  • 4.76On target for3.94
  • 3.65On target against5.06
  • 11%Shot conversion14%

Corners

MainzWolfsburg
  • 5.82Corners for4.65
  • 3.76Corners against5.71
  • 9.59Match total10.35
  • 77%Over 7.588%
  • 59%Over 8.571%
  • 53%Over 9.571%
  • 47%Over 10.541%
  • 24%Over 11.535%

Cards

MainzWolfsburg
  • 2.41Cards for2.65
  • 2.82Cards against1.65
  • 5.24Match total4.29
  • 88%Over 2.577%
  • 88%Over 3.547%
  • 65%Over 4.541%
  • 35%Over 5.524%
  • 12.18Fouls committed10.59

The table, 2024-25

#ClubPGDPts
4Dortmund342057
5Freiburg34-455
6Mainz341252
7RB Leipzig34551
8Werder Bremen34-351
9Stuttgart341150
10M'gladbach34-245
11Wolfsburg34243
12Augsburg34-1643
13Union Berlin34-1640
Full table →

Where to watch

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.