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MGS Apollon Kalamarias v Asteras Aktor B, Superbet League 2, Sat, 16 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 18. Sat, 16 Jan 2027

MGS Apollon KalamariasHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Asteras Aktor BAway
DLLWDLeague form, oldest to newestLLWLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, MGS Apollon Kalamarias have 1 scored home results and Asteras Aktor B 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: MGS Apollon Kalamarias at home: 3.00 points per match (1 measured matches); Asteras Aktor B away: 0.00 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. MGS Apollon Kalamarias scored 1.00 per home match (1 measured match); Asteras Aktor B scored 0.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.06 per club appearance across 84 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 0 of 4 pooled club appearances (0.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. MGS Apollon Kalamarias: 0 wins; Asteras Aktor B: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 42 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, MGS Apollon Kalamarias
0.95
Expected goals, Asteras Aktor B
0.42
Most likely score
0-0 (25%)
Three or more goals
16%
Both clubs score
21%
MGS Apollon Kalamarias score at least once
61%
Asteras Aktor B score at least once
34%
Season sample
5 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

MGS Apollon Kalamarias win–
Draw–
Asteras Aktor B win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are MGS Apollon Kalamarias goals, columns are Asteras Aktor B goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
025%11%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
124%10%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
211%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.33 goals) and away average (0.79 goals).

Sample. MGS Apollon Kalamarias 5 matches, Asteras Aktor B 5, the league 42, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 23 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 42 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.561.4%38.6%
2.536.4%63.6%
3.515.9%84.1%
4.59.1%90.9%

First-half goals · 42 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.559.1%40.9%
1.518.2%81.8%
2.54.5%95.5%
3.52.3%97.7%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
MGS Apollon Kalamarias wins
0
Draws
1
Asteras Aktor B wins
Goals / meeting
1.00
1 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
MGS Apollon Kalamarias clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Asteras Aktor B clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Asteras Aktor B v MGS Apollon KalamariasSun, 20 Sept 2026 · Superbet League 2 2026-271–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
MGS Apollon Kalamarias at homeW
Asteras Aktor B awayLLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
MGS Apollon Kalamarias at home, Asteras Aktor B away
  • 0%
    Both teams scored
    League 43%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 90%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 62%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 36%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 14%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 7%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 1.3
    Avg total goals
    League 2.12
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 83%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 60%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 17%
    1 + 3 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
MGS Apollon Kalamarias at home, Asteras Aktor B away
MGS Apollon Kalamarias (home)Asteras Aktor B (away)
10Position9
WLast 5, oldest to newestLLL
1Played3
3.00Points per match0.00
100%Win %0%
1.00Scored / match0.00
0.00Conceded / match1.67
1.00Avg total goals1.67
0%Both scored0%
100%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score100%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

MGS Apollon KalamariasAsteras Aktor B
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.002nd half scored / match0.00
  • 0.002nd half conceded / match0.67
  • 100%Leading at half-time0%
  • 100%1st half over 0.567%
  • 0%1st half over 1.533%
  • 0%2nd half over 0.533%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

MGS Apollon Kalamarias at home, Asteras Aktor B away, this season.

Goals

MGS Apollon KalamariasAsteras Aktor B
  • 1.00Scored / match0.00
  • 0.00Conceded / match1.67
  • 1.00Match total / match1.67
  • 100%Scored 1+0%
  • 0%Scored 2+0%
  • 0%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+67%
  • 0%Match over 1.567%
  • 0%Match over 2.50%
  • 0%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Superbet League 2 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.