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Midlands Wanderers FC v University of Pretoria FC, Motsepe Foundation Championship, Sat, 23 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 18. Sat, 23 Jan 2027

Midlands Wanderers FCHome
vKick-off 13:30 UTC
University of Pretoria FCAway
WLDLWLeague form, oldest to newestLWDDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Midlands Wanderers FC have 3 scored home results and University of Pretoria FC 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Midlands Wanderers FC at home: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches); University of Pretoria FC away: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Midlands Wanderers FC scored 0.67 per home match (3 measured matches); University of Pretoria FC scored 1.67 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 0.95 per club appearance across 92 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 2 of 6 pooled club appearances (33.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Midlands Wanderers FC: 1 wins; University of Pretoria FC: 0 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 46 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Midlands Wanderers FC
0.73
Expected goals, University of Pretoria FC
0.79
Most likely score
0-0 (22%)
Three or more goals
20%
Both clubs score
28%
Midlands Wanderers FC score at least once
52%
University of Pretoria FC score at least once
55%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Midlands Wanderers FC win–
Draw–
University of Pretoria FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Midlands Wanderers FC goals, columns are University of Pretoria FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
022%17%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
116%13%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
26%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (0.98 goals) and away average (0.91 goals).

Sample. Midlands Wanderers FC 6 matches, University of Pretoria FC 6, the league 46, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 18 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 46 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.554.2%45.8%
2.525.0%75.0%
3.514.6%85.4%
4.58.3%91.7%

First-half goals · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Midlands Wanderers FC wins
0
Draws
0
University of Pretoria FC wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
2 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Midlands Wanderers FC clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
University of Pretoria FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. University of Pretoria FC v Midlands Wanderers FCSat, 29 Aug 2026 · Motsepe Foundation Championship 2026-270–2HT 0–2

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Midlands Wanderers FC at homeLDW
University of Pretoria FC awayDLWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Midlands Wanderers FC at home, University of Pretoria FC away
  • 33%
    Both teams scored
    League 37%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 89%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 54%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 24%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 13%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 7%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 2.2
    Avg total goals
    League 1.89
    3 + 3 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 18%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Midlands Wanderers FC at home, University of Pretoria FC away
Midlands Wanderers FC (home)University of Pretoria FC (away)
12Position9
LDWLast 5, oldest to newestLWD
3Played3
1.33Points per match1.33
33%Win %33%
0.67Scored / match1.67
0.67Conceded / match1.33
1.33Avg total goals3.00
33%Both scored33%
33%Clean sheets33%
33%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Midlands Wanderers FCUniversity of Pretoria FC
  • 0.501st half scored / match1.50
  • 0.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.502nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 50%Leading at half-time50%
  • 50%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves100%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Midlands Wanderers FC at home, University of Pretoria FC away, this season.

Goals

Midlands Wanderers FCUniversity of Pretoria FC
  • 0.67Scored / match1.67
  • 0.67Conceded / match1.33
  • 1.33Match total / match3.00
  • 67%Scored 1+67%
  • 0%Scored 2+67%
  • 67%Conceded 1+67%
  • 0%Conceded 2+33%
  • 33%Match over 1.567%
  • 0%Match over 2.533%
  • 0%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Motsepe Foundation Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.