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Millwall v Bolton, EFL Championship, Sat, 5 Sept 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 5. Sat, 5 Sept 2026

MillwallHome
40Full time, half-time 1–0
BoltonAway

Millwall won by 4 goals.

WLDDWLeague form, oldest to newestLLWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Millwall have 2 scored home results and Bolton 2 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Millwall at home: 1.50 points per match (2 measured matches); Bolton away: 0.50 points per match (2 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Millwall scored 1.50 per home match (2 measured matches); Bolton scored 1.00 away (2). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.47 per club appearance across 102 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 1 of 4 pooled club appearances (25.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Millwall: 1 wins; Bolton: 1 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10
Second half30

The match in numbers

MillwallBolton
  • 12Shots13
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 2.63xG1.15
  • 3Corners9
  • 13Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 1Red cards1

From shots to goals

Millwall

xG 2.63
  • Shots12
  • On target5
  • Goals4

42% of shots on target, 80% of those scored.

Bolton

xG 1.15
  • Shots13
  • On target4
  • Goals0

31% of shots on target, 0% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Millwall wins
2
Draws
1
Bolton wins
Goals / meeting
2.25
9 goals in 4 meetings
Both scored
75%
3 of 4 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
4 of 4 meetings
Over 2.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 4 meetings
Millwall clean sheets
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Bolton clean sheets
0%
0 of 4 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.50
4 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.75
4 with card data
  1. Bolton v MillwallSat, 9 Mar 2019 · EFL Championship 2018-192–1HT 0–0
  2. Millwall v BoltonSat, 24 Nov 2018 · EFL Championship 2018-191–1HT 0–1
  3. Bolton v MillwallTue, 10 Apr 2018 · EFL Championship 2017-180–2HT 0–1
  4. Millwall v BoltonSat, 12 Aug 2017 · EFL Championship 2017-181–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Millwall at homeWWLWLD
Bolton awayDLDLLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Millwall at home, Bolton away
  • 38%
    Both teams scored
    League 67%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 9%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.85
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 79%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 9.9
    Corners per match
    League 10.60
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 71%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 59%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.1
    Cards per match
    League 3.92
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 48%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 36%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Millwall at home, Bolton away
Millwall (home)Bolton (away)
9Position17
WLWDLast 5, oldest to newestDLLW
4Played4
1.75Points per match1.00
50%Win %25%
2.25Scored / match1.50
1.25Conceded / match2.50
3.50Avg total goals4.00
25%Both scored50%
50%Clean sheets25%
25%Failed to score50%
2.06xG for1.09
1.23xG against1.84

Half by half

MillwallBolton
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.75
  • 0.251st half conceded / match1.00
  • 1.252nd half scored / match0.75
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match1.50
  • 75%Leading at half-time0%
  • 100%1st half over 0.575%
  • 25%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 100%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 50%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Millwall at home, Bolton away, this season.

Goals

MillwallBolton
  • 2.25Scored / match1.50
  • 1.25Conceded / match2.50
  • 3.50Match total / match4.00
  • 75%Scored 1+50%
  • 75%Scored 2+50%
  • 50%Conceded 1+75%
  • 50%Conceded 2+75%
  • 100%Match over 1.575%
  • 100%Match over 2.575%
  • 50%Match over 3.575%

Shots and xG

MillwallBolton
  • 13.50Shots for10.50
  • 11.25Shots against13.25
  • 4.75On target for3.75
  • 3.75On target against6.00
  • 17%Shot conversion14%
  • 2.06xG for1.09
  • 1.23xG against1.84

Corners

MillwallBolton
  • 3.75Corners for4.50
  • 6.25Corners against5.25
  • 10.00Match total9.75
  • 75%Over 7.575%
  • 75%Over 8.575%
  • 75%Over 9.575%
  • 75%Over 10.550%
  • 50%Over 11.525%

Cards

MillwallBolton
  • 1.25Cards for1.50
  • 3.00Cards against0.50
  • 4.25Match total2.00
  • 100%Over 2.550%
  • 50%Over 3.50%
  • 50%Over 4.50%
  • 25%Over 5.50%
  • 13.75Fouls committed11.75
Referee this season
W Finnie
Matches
4
Cards / match
3.25
4 matches
Over 3.5 cards
25%
4 matches
Over 4.5 cards
25%
4 matches
Fouls / match
24.25
4 matches

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
7QPR9314
8Birmingham9214
9Millwall9114
10West Brom9114
11Bristol City9-114
15Wrexham9-311
16Lincoln9-411
17Bolton9-510
18Norwich9-29
19Portsmouth7-18
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.