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Mirandes v Extremadura UD, Primera Federación, Sun, 6 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 15. Sun, 6 Dec 2026

MirandesHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
Extremadura UDAway
WWWLDLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Mirandes have 3 scored home results and Extremadura UD 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Mirandes at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Extremadura UD away: 1.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Mirandes scored 1.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Extremadura UD scored 2.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 238 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 7 pooled club appearances (57.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Mirandes: 1 wins; Extremadura UD: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 119 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Mirandes
1.31
Expected goals, Extremadura UD
0.84
Most likely score
1-0 (15%)
Three or more goals
36%
Both clubs score
42%
Mirandes score at least once
73%
Extremadura UD score at least once
57%
Season sample
6 and 7 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Mirandes win–
Draw–
Extremadura UD win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Mirandes goals, columns are Extremadura UD goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
012%10%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
115%13%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.50 goals) and away average (1.14 goals).

Sample. Mirandes 6 matches, Extremadura UD 7, the league 119, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 16 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 119 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.570.2%29.8%
2.546.3%53.7%
3.528.9%71.1%
4.514.9%85.1%

First-half goals · 119 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.565.3%34.7%
1.531.4%68.6%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.55.8%94.2%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Mirandes wins
0
Draws
1
Extremadura UD wins
Goals / meeting
3.50
7 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Mirandes clean sheets
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Extremadura UD clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
13.00
2 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
6.00
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Extremadura UD v MirandesSun, 23 Feb 2020 · La Liga 2 2019-203–2HT 0–0
  2. Mirandes v Extremadura UDSat, 9 Nov 2019 · La Liga 2 2019-202–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Mirandes at homeWLWWWD
Extremadura UD awayWLLLWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Mirandes at home, Extremadura UD away
  • 54%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 71%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 71%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 46%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 29%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.64
    3 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 42%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 31%
    3 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Mirandes at home, Extremadura UD away
Mirandes (home)Extremadura UD (away)
9Position16
WWDLast 5, oldest to newestLLWW
3Played4
2.33Points per match1.50
67%Win %50%
1.33Scored / match2.00
0.33Conceded / match1.50
1.67Avg total goals3.50
33%Both scored75%
67%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score25%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

MirandesExtremadura UD
  • 1.331st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.001st half conceded / match1.25
  • 0.002nd half scored / match1.50
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match0.25
  • 100%Leading at half-time25%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 33%1st half over 1.550%
  • 33%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Mirandes at home, Extremadura UD away, this season.

Goals

MirandesExtremadura UD
  • 1.33Scored / match2.00
  • 0.33Conceded / match1.50
  • 1.67Match total / match3.50
  • 100%Scored 1+75%
  • 33%Scored 2+50%
  • 33%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+50%
  • 67%Match over 1.575%
  • 0%Match over 2.575%
  • 0%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Primera Federación matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.